2026-06-18
Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England confirmed that interest rates remain at 3.75% to ensure inflation returns to the 2% target despite recent declines in energy prices. He emphasized continued caution regarding the stability of Middle East peace agreements and the assessment of energy infrastructure damage while declining to comment on political instability during a by-election. Additionally, Bailey assessed that Brexit has negatively impacted economic growth and productivity but has been less detrimental to the City of London's financial markets than initially predicted.
Following the publication of the Monetary Policy Summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting
Published on
18 June 2026
Transcript
Sky News
Governor Andrew Bailey
I think holding is the right, the right position to be in at the moment for that. So I think it's a sensible decision in the light of the news, I'm encouraged. But we've now got to get inflation back down to 2%.
Sky News
Governor Andrew Bailey
I think it's good news. But there is uncertainty around a number of things. There's uncertainty, obviously we need to see it, obviously settle down. I think everybody wants it to settle down and hopes it will. So we need to see that. Then the next step is of course, we need to we need to see the assessment of how much damage has been done to the infrastructure for supplying energy. That's probably a bit more of an issue with gas then oil. But again, we need to see that.
I know there's a huge willingness and commitment to, you know, to get supplies back online, and that's good. But we need to see that assessment.
Then the third piece, which is the one that obviously we look at very closely because it's where our interest rate decisions have their greatest effect is, inflation has been higher than we thought it would be. You know, is the are we going to get any persistence in terms of its impact on conditions in the UK? Now there I would say, look, the conditions are one where the economy has softened. So that's the backdrop against which I'm judging it.
Sky News
Governor Andrew Bailey
Sky News
What is your response to that and are you concerned there is an attempt here by somebody to try and undermine institutions, particularly central banking and your role in the economic system?
Governor Andrew Bailey
Sky News
Governor Andrew Bailey
People obviously then ask me a follow up question, which is perfectly reasonable for a question, that I can answer in two parts, which is what's been the impact of Brexit?
And let me take that in two parts of that which are very much obviously, in the Bank of England's area of responsibility and expertise. One is the economy as a whole. I think the level of activity and growth in the economy has been lower. And the reason for that is that if you reduce Britain's, the markets, the size of the markets that we trade with, so we reduce our export markets, then that does tend to have a negative impact on growth. It tends to have a negative impact on productivity and the size of the market. We learnt this from Adam Smith by the way. I'm not making this up.
That was at the heart of the points that the Bank has been making for the last ten years. So we thought this would happen. And broadly, it has now. In the long run, trade and markets adapt. But the long run, it's hard to ask people how long is the long run? It's hard to know. So that's the first point.
Second point is a little bit the other way, which is if we go back ten years, people were saying that this would be very bad for the City of London, very bad for Britain's financial markets. Now, I'm not pretending it's been good, but I would say that I think it has been nowhere near as detrimental as many people predicted at the time.
And a lot of people, this is the Bank of England included have been working very hard for the last ten years to make sure that didn't happen. And I think we have been able to, in a sense, reinforce why London is such an important financial centre, why Britain is such an important provider of financial services. So that effect hasn't been anything like what I think a lot of people predicted it would be.
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