2020-06-05 | DOF 5594551Added
The National Commission of Insurance and Surety Bonds updates the market parameters in Annex 5.3.1 for calculating risk reserves and outstanding claims, the market information in Annex 5.15.3 for valuing surety reserves, and the statutory scenarios in Annex 7.2.5 for the Dynamic Solvency Test. These updates require insurance institutions and mutual societies to apply new indices and scenarios for the 2019 fiscal year, with the circular entering into force the day after its publication in the Official Journal of the Federation.
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DOF: 05/06/2020
CIRCULAR Modificatoria 5/20 of the Single Circular on Insurance and Surety Bonds
At the margin a seal with the National Coat of Arms, which says: United Mexican States.- TREASURY.- Ministry of
Treasury and Public Credit.- National Commission of Insurance and Surety Bonds.
AMENDING CIRCULAR 5/20 OF THE SINGLE CIRCULAR ON INSURANCE AND SURETY BONDS
(Annexes 5.3.1., 5.15.3. and 7.2.5.)
The National Commission of Insurance and Surety Bonds, based on the provisions of articles 366, fraction II, 372, fractions VI and XLII, 373 and 381 of the Law of Insurance and Surety Institutions, and
CONSIDERING
That in accordance with what is established in Provision 5.3.1. of the Single Circular on Insurance and Surety Bonds,
Insurance Institutions and Mutual Societies that, for the valuation of risk reserves in
course and for obligations pending fulfillment for accidents occurred and not reported, use the statutory
method, must apply the financial and technical parameters determined with the market information
referred to in the aforementioned Circular, resulting necessary for such effect, update the parameters contained
in Annex 5.3.1. of the same Circular.
That in terms of what is provided in Chapter 5.15. of the Single Circular on Insurance and Surety Bonds, the
Institutions will value the surety reserve in force using the paid claim indices that will be
calculated by this Commission and assigned to each Institution during the first quarter of each year.
That Institutions that do not have timely, homogeneous, reliable and sufficient information to carry out the valuation of the surety reserve in force, must use the paid claim indices
and the annual index of administrative expenses of the surety market.
That in accordance with what is provided in Provision 5.15.2., fraction IV, of the Single Circular on Insurance
and Surety Bonds, said claim indices will be reviewed during the first quarter of each year and will be
updated when a significant change in their value is observed.
That with the objective that Institutions comply with the foregoing, this Decentralized Body
considers it convenient to update in the same way the market parameters referred to in Annex 5.15.3.
of the indicated Circular.
That Chapter 7.2. of said Circular indicates that Institutions are obliged to report to this
Commission the report of the results of the Dynamic Solvency Test carried out with the
statutory scenarios referred to in Annex 7.2.5. of the Single Circular on Insurance and Surety Bonds.
That Provision 7.2.1. of the Circular in question provides that Institutions must carry out, at least
annually, a Dynamic Solvency Test whose purpose will be to evaluate the sufficiency of the
Admissible Own Funds of such entities to cover the Solvency Capital Requirement under various
prospective scenarios in their operation.
That in view of the foregoing, the Commission has determined the statutory scenarios that could affect
the financial condition of the Institutions taking into account the general evolution of the markets
insurer and surety and the macroeconomic context of the country, so it is necessary to update the
statutory scenarios for the Dynamic Solvency Test, which Institutions must use to carry out said test, corresponding to the 2019 fiscal year
For the above reasons, this Commission issues the following modification to the Single Circular on
Insurance and Surety Bonds in the following terms:
AMENDING CIRCULAR 5/20 OF THE SINGLE CIRCULAR ON INSURANCE AND SURETY BONDS
(Annexes 5.3.1, 5.15.3 and 7.2.5)
FIRST.-
Annex 5.3.1. of the Single Circular on Insurance and Surety Bonds is modified.
SECOND.- Annex 5.15.3. of the Single Circular on Insurance and Surety Bonds is modified.
THIRD.- Annex 7.2.5. of the Single Circular on Insurance and Surety Bonds is modified.
TRANSITORY
SINGLE.- This Amending Circular will enter into force the day after its publication in the Official Journal of the Federation.
The foregoing is made known to you, based on articles 366, fraction II, 372, fractions
VI and XLII, 373 and 381 of the Law of Insurance and Surety Institutions.
Sincerely
Mexico City, May 27, 2020. - The President of the National Commission of Insurance and Surety Bonds, Ricardo Ernesto Ochoa Rodríguez. - Signature.
ANNEX 5.3.1
MARKET PARAMETERS FOR THE PURPOSES OF VALUATION OF RISK RESERVES IN
COURSE AND FOR OBLIGATIONS PENDING FULFILLMENT FOR ACCIDENTS OCCURRED NOT
REPORTED AND ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES ASSIGNED TO THE ACCIDENT, EMPLOYING THE STATUTORY
METHOD
I.
Market information for the calculation of the risk reserve in course
Branch/type
Last loss ratio
Percentile 99.5% of the
statistics of last loss ratios
Percentage of
administrative expense
Duration
Short-term Life
57.38%
85.51%
6.75%
1.62
Medical Expenses
75.99%
100.62%
6.16%
1.71
Personal Accidents
26.85%
69.90%
9.81%
1.90
Health
62.65%
102.97%
26.40%
1.52
Civil Liability
37.54%
139.45%
8.47%
2.46
Maritime and transports
67.12%
136.91%
8.79%
2.00
Fire
67.32%
358.64%
5.07%
1.91
Agricultural and animal
81.12%
329.22%
13.55%
1.67
Automobiles
68.71%
112.91%
4.84%
1.59
Credit
68.76%
206.58%
18.60%
2.45
Various
61.47%
204.38%
8.14%
2.85
Market percentage of administrative expense
for the calculation of the risk reserve in course of
long-term life insurance
Insurance
Percentage of administrative expense
Massive
6.00%
Non-massive
12.00%
II.
Market information for the calculation of the reserve for obligations pending fulfillment
for accidents occurred not reported and adjustment expenses assigned to the accident
Branch/type
Last loss ratio
Percentile
99.5% of the
statistics of
last loss ratios
Duration of the
future payment obligations
associated with the
reserve for
OPC by SONR
Accrual factors
1
2
3
4
5
Long-term endowment Life
2.99%
21.48%
2.06
100%
31.34%
22.11%
15.08%
9.30%
Long-term non-endowment Life
8.80%
29.45%
2.04
100%
18.75%
11.35%
8.23%
6.24%
Short-term Life
16.95%
35.29%
1.74
100%
15.93%
7.72%
5.27%
3.75%
Medical Expenses
11.36%
38.42%
1.95
100%
15.86%
10.97%
8.32%
6.04%
Personal Accidents
7.40%
50.12%
1.69
100%
23.69%
10.47%
5.44%
3.24%
Health
10.63%
22.38%
1.03
100%
2.82%
0.18%
0.02%
0.02%
Civil Liability
15.09%
79.13%
2.21
100%
53.82%
32.38%
22.38%
13.92%
Maritime and transports
10.80%
58.70%
1.88
100%
37.06%
23.85%
17.78%
11.57%
Fire
10.92%
82.87%
1.94
100%
25.35%
13.96%
9.89%
7.29%
Agricultural and animal
10.19%
40.71%
1.75
100%
10.16%
8.69%
7.18%
5.11%
Automobiles
5.27%
44.13%
1.69
100%
31.93%
15.42%
8.79%
5.80%
Credit
1.63%
21.45%
1.54
100%
63.52%
30.62%
13.70%
6.57%
Catastrophic risks
14.45%
182.73%
2.37
100%
24.98%
9.84%
6.72%
5.05%
Various
10.26%
64.70%
1.95
100%
39.29%
24.02%
17.07%
13.21%
ANNEX 5.15.3.
SURETY MARKET INFORMATION, FOR THE PURPOSES OF VALUATION OF THE RESERVE OF
SURETIES IN FORCE IN THE CASE PROVIDED FOR IN PROVISION 5.15.3
Institutions that do not have timely, homogeneous, reliable and sufficient information to carry out the calculation for the constitution, increase and valuation of the surety reserve in force, while
generating such information, must use the method described in Provision 5.15.3, using the indices
of paid claims and the annual indices of administrative expenses of the surety market, which are
indicated below.
I.
Paid claim indices
Branch or type of surety
Index
First risk fidelity
92.96%
Other fidelity
1.69%
Judicial that cover drivers of
motor vehicles
0.58%
Other judicial
0.83%
Administrative
0.22%
Credit
0.86%
II.
Annual administrative expense indices
Surety branch
Index
Fidelity
0.86%
Judicial
0.22%
Administrative
0.10%
Credit
0.25%
ANNEX 7.2.5.
STATUTORY SCENARIOS FOR THE CONDUCT OF THE DYNAMIC SOLVENCY TEST
For the purposes of conducting the dynamic solvency test, the following are defined below the hypotheses
and statutory scenarios with which the dynamic solvency test must be carried out:
HYPOTHESES RELATED TO UNDERWRITING RISK
1.1.
Hypotheses for scenarios based on the Business Plan
1.1.1.
Hypothesis of Gross Premium Written Projection
The amount of gross premium written in each of the projection years , must be determined
as the estimated gross premium written amount by the Institution in its base scenario , in each
branch of insurance or surety, which respond to expectations of growth or decrement based
on their business development plans.
1.1.2.
Hypothesis of Ceded Premium Projection
The amount of ceded premium in each of the projection years , must correspond to
the projected ceded premium amounts that correspond to their risk cession strategy and
reinsurance or reinsure plans, as well as their business development plans.
1.1.3.
Hypothesis of Retained Premium Projection
The amount of retained premium in each of the projection years
must be determined
as the difference between the projected gross premium written amount and the projected ceded premium amount
determined in accordance with fractions 1.1.1. and 1.1.2. above.
1.1.4.
Hypothesis of Net Acquisition Cost Projection
The amount of net acquisition costs, in each of the projection years, must be determined by applying to the gross premium written amounts defined in fraction 1.1.1, the own
percentage indices of net acquisition costs of each branch or type of insurance and surety, corresponding to the acquisition costs that the Institution foresees having according to the design
of the insurance and surety products that it projects to sell as part of its plans of
business development.
1.1.5.
Hypothesis of Operating Cost Projection
The amount of operating costs in each of the future years considered in the
projection
must be determined starting from the operating costs of the Institution
based on its business plan and its experience in costs. The amount of future operating costs, must be estimated as a function of fixed costs and variable costs, determined from
the Institution's own structure of fixed and variable costs. For these purposes,
the portion of variable costs
must be projected in congruence with the projected amounts of
gross premium written, while the portion corresponding to fixed cost
must be estimated based on the fixed cost observed in the last three years of operation of the
Institution, updated with the estimated cumulative inflation for each future year of
operation .
In the case of surety and surety insurance operations, the amount of expenses associated with the
recovery of payments must be incorporated as part of the
operating costs.
1.1.6.
Hypothesis of Future Claims and Accidents Projection
The amount of gross claims and accidents in each of the projection years ,
must be determined in congruence with the projected amounts of gross premium written in accordance with
fraction 1.1.1.
and with the levels and patterns of claims or loss ratios observed by
the Institution, for each branch or type of insurance and surety
taking into account its
experience or the market experience when the Institution lacks its own experience. For
these purposes, market experience will be that made known in Annexes 5.3.1 and 5.15.3 of the
CUSF or that used by the Institution for the design of its registered products.
Ceded and retained accidents must be calculated based on gross claims and accidents
brut, applying the levels of reinsurance or reinsure ceded, based on the reinsurance or reinsure contracts
ceded that the Institution has in force or that it projects to have in the
future, according to its business plan.
Recovery of Claim Payments
In the case of surety and surety insurance operations, as part of the projections of the amount
of gross claims, it may be taken into account, as income, the amount of a part of the payments of
claims or accidents, recovered through counter-guarantees or other recovery rights that the
institution has, within the framework of regulation ( ). The value of said recovered amount, must be calculated
in accordance with the own percentage indices of recovery of paid claims ,
determined by the Institution based on its own patterns of payment recovery observed in
previous years, or in case of not having experience, it must be calculated with the market recovery patterns
of guarantees.
The market experience in terms of recovery of paid claims, expressed in terms
of the percentage that has been observed that institutions recover, of each peso of paid amount, is the
following:
Market experience for sureties and surety insurance:
Branch or type of surety
First risk fidelity
2%
Other fidelity
5%
Judicial that cover drivers
of motor vehicles
20%
Other judicial
33%
Administrative
19%
Credit
43%
Surety Insurance
19%
The income from recovery of paid claims, if taken into account, must be
reflected in a congruent manner in the items of ceded loss ratio, retained loss ratio, amounts
recoverable and any other variable that is related.
1.1.7.
Hypothesis of Financial Products Projection
The amount of the Institution's financial products, in each of the projection years
based on its business plan, must be that which the Institution itself calculates according to the
yield rates associated with the assets that the Institution has at the time of projection
and those it foresees obtaining in the future from new asset flows derived from its business plan.
1.1.8.
Hypothesis of Liability Projection
The projected value of the liability must be estimated, insofar as technical reserves are concerned, in
congruence with the parameters and methodologies that the Institution has registered as part of
its technical reserve methods, or with the methods that are applicable within the framework of the
current regulation.
Likewise, the projection of other liabilities must be carried out based on its current value and its
possible future value, as well as in accordance with its business plan.
1.1.9.
Hypothesis of Asset Projection
The projected value of the asset must be estimated, based on the value that assets have had in
the last operating year of the Institution and based on the probable value that they will have
in the future according to the Institution's investment plans.
1.2.
Hypotheses of Scenarios of Increase in Future Claims or Accidents
1.2.1.
Hypothesis of Scenarios of Increase in Claims or Accidents
The amount of gross claims or accidents, in this scenario , must consist of
incorporating to the amounts of claims or loss ratios projected by the Institution in accordance
with fraction 1.1, an increase in the percentages, in accordance with the values indicated below:
Branch or Type of Insurance
Life Insurance
Individual
50%
Group
50%
Accident and Health Insurance
Medical expenses
30%
Personal accidents
160%
Health
65%
Property Insurance
Automobiles
65%
Credit
200%
Civil liability and professional risks
270%
Catastrophic risks
400%
Fire
430%
Agricultural and animal
400%
Various
230%
Maritime and transports
105%
Financial guarantee
50%
Housing credit
50%
Surety
300%
Branches or types of sureties
First risk fidelity sureties
10%
Other fidelity sureties
350%
Judicial sureties that cover drivers of
motor vehicles
250%
Other judicial sureties
450%
Administrative sureties
300%
Credit sureties
260%
In congruence with the above, the amount of ceded claims or accidents
must be increased, and ceded or retained claims or accidents in accordance with the reinsurance or
reinsure contracts in force that cover the risk of the branch or type of insurance or surety in question, or of those contracts that the Institution projects to have in the future to cover the flows of
accidents or claims that derive from future business.
NOTE: In the case of insurance that consist of the payment of periodic annuities, other than pension insurance contracts derived from social security laws, the amount of projected claims under
this scenario, in the year in which the shock is to be introduced, must correspond to that obtained by
assuming that all beneficiaries of the annuity payment of the previous year, remain alive.
1.2.2.
Hypothesis of Projection of Increase in Gross Accidents of Pension Insurance
In the case of pension insurance derived from social security laws, the amount of the
gross claims or loss ratio of the direct insurance under this scenario for each year of
projection t , will be that obtained from the loss ratio estimated by the Institution
under its base scenario , multiplied by the factor
of the projection year in question, without such amount resulting in excess of the amount of claims that is obtained if all
insured and policy beneficiaries in force remain alive during the projection period , in which case this latter must be used, that is:
t
1
2
3
4
5
1.0257
1.0520
1.0790
1.0956
1.0956
In the projection of the parameter
it must be assumed a probability of death and of
school dropout equal to zero for all genders and age groups, as the case may be,
considering the corresponding annuity payments, settlements and other economic benefits
contemplated in the contracts.
HYPOTHESES RELATED TO FINANCIAL RISK
2.1.
Hypothesis for scenario of Decrease in Yield Rates
The amount of the Institution's financial products, must be determined in each of the years
of projection by applying the asset yield rates considered by the Institution in its
base scenario, decreased by 50%.
The financial product corresponding to assets that are not investments that generate yields,
must be calculated in accordance with the Institution's own estimates, based on its experience and
knowledge about the performance of said assets.
HYPOTHESES RELATED TO COUNTERPARTY RISK
3.1.
Hypothesis for scenario of losses by Insolvency of Reinsurer or Reinsurer
This hypothesis must consist of assuming the insolvency of the reinsurer or reinsurer that has the
largest share of ceded risk of the Institution, whether in proportional or non-proportional contracts.
For these purposes, it must be assumed that the loss, given the insolvency of a reinsurer or
reinsurer, is at least 50% of the amount of gross claims or accidents, projected
in accordance with what is indicated in fraction 1.1.6., that the reinsurer or reinsurer would have had to
cover in a solvent situation.
DEFINITION OF STATUTORY SCENARIOS
For the purposes of what is established in Provisions 7.2.3., fraction IX and 7.2.5 of this Circular, the
statutory scenarios will be those defined below:
4.1.
Statutory Scenario 1 - Increase in Loss Ratio in Life Operation:
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, carrying out
the projection of the Institution's financial statements, under the hypotheses indicated in
fraction 1.1. and the hypothesis of increase in loss ratio, indicated in fraction 1.2.1 in what
corresponds only to the life operation. This effect of increase in gross accidents of the life operation must be reflected in all other variables that have
relation with said accidents.
The increase in loss ratio must be assumed in the year in which the solvency margin,
projected in accordance with the hypotheses given in fraction 1.1., presents its lowest amount, with
the exception of pension insurance derived from social security laws, which will be
attended to what is indicated in fraction 1.2.2.
4.2.
Statutory Scenario 2 - Increase in Loss Ratio in Accident and
Disease Operation:
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, carrying out
the projection of the Institution's financial statements, under the hypotheses indicated in
fraction 1.1., incorporating the hypothesis of an increase in loss ratio in the branch of the
accident and disease operation that represents the greatest technical loss, applying the
parameters indicated in fraction 1.2.1. This effect of increase in gross accidents
must be reflected in all other variables that have relation with said accidents.
For these purposes, technical loss will be understood as that which is determined with the amount that
results from subtracting from the amount of the accounting profit or technical loss of the income statement, the
estimated amount of operating expenses and the increase to other reserves. The increase
in loss ratio must be assumed in the year in which the solvency margin, projected
in accordance with the hypotheses given in fraction 1.1., presents its lowest amount.
Institutions that carry out health insurance operations will be located in this scenario.
4.3.
Statutory Scenario 3 - Increase in Loss Ratio in Property Operation:
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, carrying out
the projection of the Institution's financial statements under the hypotheses indicated in
fraction 1.1., and the hypotheses of an increase in loss ratio in the branch that represents the
greatest technical loss, applying the parameters indicated in fraction 1.2.1. This effect of
increase in gross accidents of the property operation must be reflected in all
other variables that have relation with said accidents.
For these purposes, technical loss will be understood as that which is determined with the amount that
results from subtracting from the amount of the accounting profit or technical loss of the income statement, the
estimated amount of operating expenses and the increase to other reserves.
The increase in loss ratio must be assumed in the year in which the solvency margin,
projected in accordance with the hypotheses given in fraction 1.1., presents its lowest amount.
4.4.
Statutory Scenario 4 - Increase in the Amount of Claims in the Operation of
Sureties:
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, projecting the Institution's financial statements under the assumptions set forth in fraction 1.1, and the assumption of an increase in the gross claim amount in the line of business representing the greatest technical loss, applying the parameters indicated in fraction 1.2.1.
This effect of an increase in the gross claim amount of the suretyship operation must be reflected in all other variables related to such claims.
For these purposes, technical loss shall be understood as that determined by the amount resulting from subtracting from the amount of the accounting technical profit or loss in the income statement, the estimated amount of operating expenses and the amount of the increase to other reserves.
The increase in the gross claim amount shall be assumed in the year in which the solvency margin, projected in accordance with the assumptions given in fraction 1.1, presents its lowest amount.
4.5. Statutory Scenario 5 Risk of Loss from Claim Clusters:
This scenario shall only be applicable to suretyship or bail bond insurance operations and will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, under the adverse effect of assuming losses from the occurrence of claim clusters, arising from at least, the three main risk clusters, generated by the coverages provided to the same surety or insured, given in suretyship or bail bond insurance contracts.
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, projecting under the assumptions set forth in fraction 1.1 and under the assumption that a cluster of claims occurs derived from assuming claims arising from the three main clusters operated by the Institution, constituted by all insurance and suretyship coverages provided to the same surety or insured. The amount of the claims must correspond to at least 50% of the insured sums or retained guaranteed amounts of each cluster. This effect of an increase in claim frequency must be reflected in all other variables related to such claim frequency.
The increase in claim frequency shall be assumed in the year in which the solvency margin, projected in accordance with the assumptions given in fraction 1.1, presents its lowest amount.
4.6. Statutory Scenario 6 - Decrease in Financial Products:
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, projecting under the assumptions set forth in fraction 1.1 and assuming a decrease in financial products in accordance with the hypotheses indicated in fraction 2.1.
The decrease in financial products shall be assumed to occur in each of the years comprising the projection period.
4.7. Statutory Scenario 7 - Loss from Counterparty Risk:
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, projecting under the assumptions set forth in fraction 1.1 and assuming losses arising from the insolvency of the reinsurer or re-surety, in accordance with the assumptions set forth in fraction 3.
The losses arising from the insolvency of the reinsurer or re-surety shall be assumed in the year in which the solvency margin, projected in accordance with the assumptions given in fraction 1.1, presents its lowest amount.
4.8. Statutory Scenario 8 - Combined Scenario:
This scenario will consist of analyzing the sufficiency of admissible own funds, against the combined effect of underwriting risks and financial or counterparty risks.
This scenario must consist of assuming one of the statutory scenarios related to underwriting risk, defined in fractions 4.1, 4.2, 4.3, 4.4 or 4.5, as applicable to insurance or suretyship operations, which represents the greatest amount of losses for the Institution, and on that scenario, incorporate the additional effect of losses produced by one of the scenarios defined in fractions 4.6 or 4.7.
The assumption of losses from technical or counterparty risk, in this combined scenario, shall be assumed in the year in which the solvency margin, projected in accordance with the assumptions given in fraction 1.1, presents its lowest amount.
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