2025-02-24
Added · Updated
These guidelines establish common reference parameters for stress test scenarios that money market funds and their managers must include in their stress tests under Article 28 of the MMF Regulation. The document specifies requirements for testing hypothetical changes in liquidity, credit risk, interest and exchange rates, redemption levels, spreads, and macro-systemic shocks. It applies to competent authorities, money market funds, and managers of money market funds, becoming effective two months after publication on ESMA’s website.
24 February 2025 ESMA50-43599798-12301 Guidelines On stress test scenarios under the MMF Regulation
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 1 Table of Contents 1 Scope............................................................................................................................3 2 Purpose.........................................................................................................................3 3 The Compliance and reporting obligations....................................................................5 3.1 Status of the guidelines..........................................................................................5 3.2 Reporting requirements .........................................................................................5 4 Guidelines on stress test scenarios under Article 28 of the MMF Regulation (Financial market participants are not required to report results of stress tests referred to in sections 4.1 to 4.7 below)...................................................................................................................6 4.1 Guidelines on certain general features of the stress test scenarios of MMF .........6 4.2 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical changes in the level of liquidity of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF..................................................9 4.3 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical changes in the level of credit risk of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF, including credit events and rating events .....................................................................................................................9 4.4 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical movements of the interest rates and exchange rates ..................................................................................10 4.5 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical levels of redemption 11 4.6 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical widening or narrowing of spreads among indexes to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied 12 4.7 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical macro systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole ......................................................................12 4.8 Guidelines on the establishment of additional common reference stress test scenarios (the results of which should be included in the reporting template mentioned in Article 37(4) of the MMF Regulation)..............................................................................12 4.8.1 Level of changes of liquidity .............................................................................13 4.8.2 Level of change of credit risk............................................................................15
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 2 4.8.3 Levels of change of the interest rates and exchange rates and levels of widening or narrowing of spreads among indices to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied 16 4.8.4 Levels of redemption ........................................................................................17 4.8.5 Macro-systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole..............................20 5 Calibration...................................................................................................................22 5.1 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical changes in the level of liquidity of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF 23 5.2 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical changes in the level of credit risk of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF, including credit events and rating events...................................................................................................26 5.3 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical movements of the interest rates .................................................................29 5.4 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical movements of the exchange rates .............................................................33 5.5 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical widening or narrowing of spreads among indexes to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied..............................................................................................37 5.6 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical levels of redemption ...................................................................................38 5.7 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical macro systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole ........................40 6 Appendix .....................................................................................................................42
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 3 1 Scope Who?
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 4 e) hypothetical widening or narrowing of spreads among indexes to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied; f) hypothetical macro systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole. 5. In accordance with Article 28(7) MMF Regulation, these guidelines will be updated at least every year taking into account the latest market developments. In 2024, sections 4.8 and 5 of these guidelines were updated so that managers of MMFs have the information needed to fill in the corresponding fields in the reporting template referred to in Article 37 of the MMF Regulation, as specified by Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2018/7082 . This information includes specifications on the types of stress tests mentioned in section 5 and their calibration.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 5 3 The Compliance and reporting obligations 3.1 Status of the guidelines 6. In accordance with Article 16(3) of the ESMA Regulation, competent authorities and financial market participants must make every effort to comply with these guidelines. 7. Competent authorities to which these guidelines apply should comply by incorporating them into their national legal and/or supervisory frameworks as appropriate, including where particular guidelines are directed primarily at financial market participants. In this case, competent authorities should ensure through their supervision that financial market participants comply with the guidelines. 3.2 Reporting requirements 8. Within two months of the date of publication of the guidelines on ESMA’s website in all EU official languages, competent authorities to which these guidelines apply must notify ESMA whether they (i) comply, (ii) do not comply, but intend to comply, or (iii) do not comply and do not intend to comply with the guidelines. 9. In case of non-compliance, competent authorities must also notify ESMA within two months of the date of publication of the guidelines on ESMA’s website in all EU official languages of their reasons for not complying with the guidelines. 10. A template for notifications is available on ESMA’s website. Once the template has been filled in, it shall be transmitted to ESMA.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 6 4 Guidelines on stress test scenarios under Article 28 of the MMF Regulation (Financial market participants are not required to report results of stress tests referred to in sections 4.1 to 4.7 below) 4.1 Guidelines on certain general features of the stress test scenarios of MMF Scope of the effects on the MMF of the proposed stress test scenarios 11. Article 28(1) of the MMF Regulation requires MMFs to put in place “sound stress testing processes that identify possible events or future changes in economic conditions which could have unfavourable effects on the MMF”. 12. This leaves room for interpretation on the exact meaning of the “effects on the MMF”, such as:
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 7 14. With respect to liquidity, it is to be noted that liquidity risk may result from: (i) significant redemptions; (ii) deterioration of the liquidity of assets; or (iii) a combination of the two. Historical scenarios and hypothetical scenarios 15. With respect to both stress test scenarios on i) the portfolio or net asset value of the MMF and ii) the liquidity bucket(s) of the MMF and/or the ability of the manager of the MMF to meet investors’ redemption requests, managers could use the factors specified in sections 4.2 to 4.7 using historical and hypothetical scenarios. 16. Historical scenarios reproduce the parameters of previous event or crises and extrapolate the impact they would have had on the present portfolio of the MMF. 17. While using historical scenarios, managers should vary the time windows in order to process several scenarios and avoid getting stress test results that depend overly on an arbitrary time window (e.g. one period with low interest rates and another with higher rates). By way of example, some commonly used scenarios refer to junk bonds in 2001, subprime mortgages in 2007, the Greek crisis in 2009 and the Chinese stock market crash in 2015. These scenarios may include independent or correlated shocks depending on the model. 18. Hypothetical scenarios are aimed at anticipating a specific event or crisis by setting its parameters and predicting its impact on the MMF. Examples of hypothetical scenarios include those based on economic and financial shocks, country or business risk (e.g. bankruptcy of a sovereign state or crash in an industrial sector). This type of scenario may require the creation of a dashboard of all changed risk factors, a correlation matrix and a choice of financial behaviour model. It also includes probabilistic scenarios based on implied volatility. 19. Such scenarios may be single-factor or multi-factor scenarios. Factors can be uncorrelated (fixed income, equity, counterparty, forex, volatility, correlation, etc.) or correlated: a particular shock may spread to all risk factors, depending on the correlation table used. Aggregation of stress tests 20. In certain circumstances, in addition, managers could use aggregate stress test scenarios on a range of MMFs or even on all the MMFs managed by the manager. Aggregating results would provide an overview and could show, for example, the total volume of assets held by all the MMFs of the manager in a particular position, and the potential impact of several portfolios selling out of that position at the same time during a liquidity crisis. Reverse stress testing 21. In addition to the stress test scenarios discussed in this section, the inclusion of reverse stress testing may also be of benefit. The intention behind a reverse stress test is to subject the MMF to stress testing scenarios to the point of failure, including the point where the regulatory thresholds set up in the MMF Regulation, such as those included in its Article
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 8 37(3)(a) would be breached. This would allow the manager of a MMF to have another tool to explore any vulnerabilities, pre-empt, and resolve such risks. Combination of the various factors mentioned in the following sections 4.2 to 4.7 with investors’ redemption requests 22. All factors mentioned in the following sections 4.2 to 4.7 should be tested against several levels of redemption. This is not to say that at first, managers should not also test them separately (without combining them with tests against levels of redemption), in order to be able to identify the corresponding respective impacts. The way this combination of the various factors mentioned in the following sections 4.2 to 4.7 with investors’ redemption requests could be carried out is further specified in each of these sections. 23. In that context, some hypothesis on the behaviour of the manager with regard to honouring the redemption requests could be required. 24. A practical example of one possible implementation is given in Appendix. Stress tests in the case of CNAV and LVNAV MMFs 25. Article 28(2) of the MMF Regulation indicates that in addition to the stress test criteria as set out in Article 28(1), CNAV and LVNAV MMFs shall estimate for different scenarios, the difference between the constant NAV per unit or share and the NAV per unit or share. While estimating this difference, and if the manager of the MMF is of the view that this would be useful additional information, it may also be relevant to estimate the impact of the relevant factors included in sections 4.2 to 4.7 on the volatility of the portfolio or on the volatility of the net asset value of the fund. Non-exhaustiveness of the factors mentioned in the following sections 4.2 to 4.7 26. The factors set out in the following sections 4.2 to 4.7 are minimum requirements. The manager would be expected to tailor the approach to the specificities of its MMFs and add any factors or requirements that it would deem useful to the stress test exercise. Examples of other factors that could be taken into account include the repo rate considering MMFs are a significant player in that market. 27. More generally the manager should build a number of scenarios, with different levels of severity, which would combine all the relevant factors (which is to say that there should not just be separate stress tests for each factor – please also refer to the following sections 4.2 to 4.7).
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 9 4.2 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical changes in the level of liquidity of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF 28. With respect to the level of changes of liquidity of the assets mentioned in Article 28(1)(a) of the MMF Regulation, managers could consider such parameters as:
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 10 32. With respect to such stress tests involving the levels of changes of credit risk of the asset, it would also be relevant to consider the impact of such stress tests on the credit quality assessment of the corresponding asset in the context of the methodology described in Article 19 of the MMF Regulation. 33. The manager should, for the purpose of combining different factors, combine changes to the level of credit risk of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF with given levels of redemptions. The manager could consider a stress test scenario that would reflect an extreme event of stress due to uncertainty about the solvency of market participants, which would lead to increased risk premia and a flight to quality. This stress test scenario would combine the default of a certain percentage of the portfolio with spreads going up together while assuming a certain redemption rate of the NAV. 34. The manager could also consider a stress test scenario that would combine a default of a certain percentage of the value of the portfolio with an increase in short term interest rates and a certain redemption rate of the NAV. 4.4 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical movements of the interest rates and exchange rates 35. With respect to the levels of change of the interest rates and exchange rates mentioned in Article 28(1)(c) of the MMF Regulation, managers could consider stress testing of parallel shifts of a certain level. More specifically, managers could consider depending on the specific nature of their strategy: i. an increase in the level of short term interest rates with 1-month and 3-month treasury rates going up simultaneously while assuming a certain redemption rate; ii. a gradual increase in the long term interest rates for sovereign bonds; iii. a parallel and/or non parallel shift in the interest rate curve that would change short, medium and long interest rate; iv. movements of the FX rate (base currency vs other currencies). 36. The manager could also consider a stress test scenario that would reflect an extreme event of increased interest rates that would combine an increase in short-term interest rates with a certain redemption rate. The manager could also consider a matrix of interest rates / credit spreads.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 11 4.5 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical levels of redemption 37. With respect to the levels of redemption mentioned in Article 28(1)(d) of the MMF Regulation, managers could consider redemption stress tests following from historical or hypothetical redemption levels or with the redemption being the maximum of either a certain percentage of the NAV or an opt-out redemption option exercised by the most important investors. 38. Stress tests on redemptions should include the specific measures which the MMF has the constitutional power to activate (for instance, gates and redemption notice). 39. The simulation of redemptions should be calibrated based on stability analysis of the liabilities (i.e. the capital), which itself depends on the type of investor (institutional, retail, private bank, etc.) and the concentration of the liabilities. The particular characteristics of the liabilities and any cyclical changes to redemptions would need to be taken into account when establishing redemption scenarios. However, there are many ways to test liabilities and redemptions. Examples of significant redemption scenarios include i) redemptions of a percentage of the liabilities ii) redemptions equal to the largest redemptions ever seen iii) redemptions based on an investor behaviour model. 40. Redemptions of a percentage of the liabilities could be defined based on the frequency of calculating the net asset value, any redemption notice period and the type of investors. 41. It is to be noted that liquidating positions without distorting portfolio allocation requires a technique known as slicing, whereby the same percentage of each asset (or each liquidity class if the assets are categorised according to their liquidity, also known as bucketing) is sold, rather than selling the most liquid assets first. The design and execution of the stress test should take into account and specify whether to apply a slicing approach or by contrast a waterfall approach (i.e. selling the most liquid assets first). 42. In the case of redemption of units by the largest investor(s), rather than defining an arbitrary redemption percentage as in the previous case, managers could use information about the investor base of the MMF to refine the stress test. Specifically, the scenario involving redemption of units by the largest investors should be calibrated based on the concentration of the fund’s liabilities and the relationships between the manager and the principal investors of the MMF (and the extent to which investors’ behaviour is deemed volatile). 43. Managers could also stress test scenarios involving redemptions equal to the largest redemptions ever seen in a group of similar (geographically or in terms of fund type) MMFs or across all the funds managed by the manager. However, the largest redemptions witnessed in the past are not necessarily a reliable indicator of the worst redemptions that may occur in the future.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 12 44. A practical example of one possible implementation is given in Appendix. 4.6 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical widening or narrowing of spreads among indexes to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied 45. With respect to the extent of a widening or narrowing of spreads among indexes to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied as mentioned in Article 28(1)(e) of the MMF Regulation, managers could consider the widening of spreads in various sectors to which the portfolio of the MMF is exposed, in combination with various increase in shareholder redemptions. Managers could in particular consider a widening of spreads going up. 4.7 Guidelines on stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical macro systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole 46. With respect to the identification of macro-systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole mentioned in Article 28(1)(f) of the MMF Regulation, guidance on this item should not be prescriptive because the choice of hypothetical macro systemic shocks will depend to a large extent on the latest developments in the market. 47. However, ESMA is of the view that managers could use an adverse scenario in relation to the GDP. Managers could also replicate macro systemic shocks that affected the economy as a whole in the past. 48. Examples of such global stress test scenarios that the manager could consider are provided in Appendix. 4.8 Guidelines on the establishment of additional common reference stress test scenarios (the results of which should be included in the reporting template mentioned in Article 37(4) of the MMF Regulation) 49. In addition to the stress tests managers of MMFs conduct taking into account sections 4.1 to 4.7 of these guidelines, managers of MMFs should conduct the following common reference stress test scenarios. the results of which should be included in the reporting template mentioned in Article 37(4) of the MMF Regulation.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 13 4.8.1 Level of changes of liquidity 50. With respect to the level of changes of liquidity of the assets mentioned in Article 28(1)(a) of the MMF Regulation: • Managers of MMFs should apply the discount factors specified in section 5 of the guidelines3 to reflect the increase in liquidity premia due to deterioration of market liquidity conditions in a stress scenario. • At the same time, managers of MMFs should assume redemption requests and simulate the sale of a vertical slice of the fund portfolio whereby the same percentage of each asset is sold to meet redemptions. The redemption requests are calibrated according to the redemption scenario specified in section 5 of the guidelines. • Asset sales would impact asset prices. The “price impact parameter” is the impact on the price of an asset for a given amount of sales. The more the fund sells an asset, the more it impacts the price of the given (“price impact factor”). For each asset, managers of MMFs should apply the price impact parameter specified in section 5 of the guidelines: 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 = 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐫 ∗ 𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭 𝐬𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬 • For each relevant transferable security, managers of MMFs should apply the discount factors and the price impact factors to the price used for the valuation of the fund at the time of the reporting (𝐕𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞) in accordance with Article 29(3)(a), according to their type and maturity, to derive an adjusted price (𝐕𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐣): 𝐕𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐣 = (𝟏 − 𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭 − 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫) ∗ 𝐕𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 • The impact of the liquidity discount should be evaluated for all assets including the following (non-exhaustive list of) eligible assets: Sovereign Bonds, Corporate Bonds, Commercial Papers, Certificates of deposit, ABCPs and eligible securitisations. • The manager of the MMF should estimate the impact of the potential losses by (a) valuing the remaining investment portfolio at the derived adjusted price, 𝐕𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐣, to determine the stressed NAV; (b) valuing assets sold at the derived adjusted price, 𝐕𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐣; and (c) calculating the impact as a percentage of the reporting NAV: 3 The discount factor is calibrated on bid-ask spreads.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 14 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭 𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 (%) = 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐍𝐀𝐕 − (𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐍𝐀𝐕 + 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐒𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬) 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐍𝐀𝐕 Notes: The following assets should be stressed, using the discount factors specified in section 5 of the guidelines: • Sovereign bonds, with a break down at country level; • Corporate bonds, including commercial papers issued by financial and nonfinancial corporates and certificates of deposits, distinguishing at least between investment grade and high yield instruments; • ABCPs and eligible securitisations, using the corporate bond parameters. • Shares issued by other MMFs, using the corporate bond parameters (when there is a difference between financial and non-financial, it shall be the financial corporate bond parameters). • Other assets (especially repos), using the corporate bond parameters (when there is a difference between financial and non-financial, it shall be the financial corporate bond parameters). Managers of MMFs should assume redemption requests and simulate the sale of a vertical slice of the fund portfolio whereby the same percentage of each asset is sold to meet redemptions. Asset sales would impact asset prices. According to the price impact parameter specified in section 5 of the guidelines: • For example, if a fund meets a redemption shock of 30%, it is expected to sell for 30% of each asset (for the sake of consistency this is to be understood in a strict sense and manager should simulate the sale of 30% of each security, or nearest) • If the funds hold EUR 500mn of commercial papers issued by banks, it is expected to sell for EUR 150mn of them (=30%500,000,000) • If the corresponding price impact factor is 8E-13, the resulting price impact for this asset is 0.01% (=8E-13150,000,000) The calibration is available in section 5 of the Guidelines.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 15 4.8.2 Level of change of credit risk 51. With respect to the levels of change of credit risk of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF, including credit events and rating events, in accordance with Article 28(1)(b) of the MMF Regulation:
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 16 4.8.3 Levels of change of the interest rates and exchange rates and levels of widening or narrowing of spreads among indices to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied 54. With respect to the levels of change of the interest rates and exchange rates referred to in Article 28(1)(c) of the MMF Regulation, managers of MMFs should apply the following stressed market parameters using the parameters specified in section 5 of the guidelines in respect of (a) interest rate yield shocks which correspond to movements of the interest rates; and (b)FX shocks which corresponds to movements of the exchange rates.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 17 𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 (%) = 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐍𝐀𝐕 − 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐍𝐀𝐕 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐍𝐀𝐕 Notes: The calibration is available in section 5 of the Guidelines. 4.8.4 Levels of redemption 59. With respect to the levels of redemption referred to in Article 28(1)(d) of the MMF Regulation, managers of MMFs should apply the following stressed redemption scenarios: a reverse liquidity stress test, a weekly liquidity stress test and a concentration stress test.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 18 • For these purposes, the regulatory requirements are not limited to but should include at least: o Diversification (Article 17 of the MMF Regulation); o Concentration (Article 18 of the MMF Regulation); o Portfolio rules for short-term MMFs (Article 24 of the MMF Regulation) and for standard MMFs (Article 25 of the MMF Regulation), in particular, Maximum weighted average maturity (WAM); Maximum weighted average life (WAL), daily maturing assets; and weekly maturing assets. • For example, if 50% of a LVNAV MMF assets are tradable within a week but its WAM becomes higher than 60 days after selling 30%, the manager should report 30%. The calibration is available in section 5 of the Guidelines. 2) Weekly liquidity stress test: 61. The weekly liquidity stress test assesses the fund’s capacity to meet outflows with available weekly liquid assets, considered as the sum of highly liquid assets and weekly maturing assets and comprises the following steps: • managers of MMFs should apply a stressed redemption scenario where the fund receives net weekly redemption requests from 40% of the professional investors and 30% of the retail investors. • managers of MMFs should measure available weekly liquid assets to meet the redemption requests according to the following table: Assets Article CQS Assets referred to in Article 17(7)5 of the MMF Regulation which are highly liquid and can be redeemed and settled within one working day and have a residual maturity of up to 190 days. 17(7) 1 Cash which is able to be withdrawn by giving prior notice of five working days without penalty. 24(1) 25(1) Weekly maturing assets 24(1) 25(1) Reverse repurchase agreements which are able to be terminated by giving prior notice of five working days 24(1) 25(1) x100% = Weekly liquid assets (bucket 1) 5 Money market instruments issued or guaranteed separately or jointly by the Union, the national, regional and local administrations of the Member States or their central banks, the European Central Bank, the European Investment Bank, the European Investment Fund, the European Stability Mechanism, the European Financial Stability Facility, a central authority or central bank of a third country, the International Monetary Fund, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the Council of Europe Development Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the Bank for International Settlements, or any other relevant international financial institution or organisation to which one or more Member States belong.
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 19 Assets referred to in Article 17(7) of the MMF Regulation which can be redeemed and settled within one working week. 17(7) 1,2 Money market instruments or units or shares of other MMFs which they are able to be redeemed and settled within five working days. 24(1) 25(1) 1,2 Eligible securitisations and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCPs). 9(1)(b) 1 x85% = Weekly liquid assets (bucket 2) • Managers of MMFs should calculate the coverage of outflows by weekly liquid assets as a percentage in the following way: 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭 (%) = 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝 𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬 Notes: • Weekly liquid assets are classified in two buckets (bucket 1 and 2) according to their category and credit quality. CQS refers to “Credit Quality Steps”, within the meaning of the COMMISSION IMPLEMENTING REGULATION (EU) 2016/17996 . • The sum of the weighted weekly liquid assets will be expressed in percentage of the redemption shock. For example, if a fund meets a redemption shock of 30% with 20% of bucket 1 liquid assets and 45% of total weekly liquid assets (buckets 1 and 2), the manager should report the ratio (Weekly liquid assets)/(Weekly outflows) as a result: o 20%/30% = 67% (bucket 1); and o 45%/30% = 150% (bucket 1 and 2). • It is important to note that the liquidity of any assets should always be checked in an appropriate manner. If there is any doubt regarding the liquidity of a security, managers of MMFs should not include it in the weekly liquid assets. The calibration is available in section 5 of the Guidelines. 3) Concentration stress test 6 https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legalcontent/EN/TXT/?toc=OJ%3AL%3A2016%3A275%3ATOC&uri=uriserv%3AOJ.L_.2016.275.01.0003.01.ENG
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 20 62. The concentration stress test is a scenario where the MMF faces redemption requests from its two main investors. The impact of the stress test should be assessed according to weekly liquidity stress test methodology. 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭 (%) = 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝 𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐦𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐭𝐰𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐬 Note: The calibration is available in section 5 of the Guidelines. 4.8.5 Macro-systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole 63. With respect to the identification of macro-systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole referred to in Article 28(1)(f) of the MMF Regulation, managers of MMFs should take the following steps: • measure the impact of a market shock combining different risk parameters in accordance with the table below; • assess the impact of a redemption shock following the market shock. Assets sold in response to the redemption shock will result in additional losses, as defined in the liquidity stress test; • calculate the result as a percentage of NAV; • calculate the value of weekly liquid assets after market shock as a percentage of outflows. Risk factors Parameters used for the calibration Market shock
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 21
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 22 • The impact on liquidity is calculated using the weekly liquidity stress test methodology. The calibration is available in section 5 of the Guidelines. 5 Calibration 66. The following section includes the 2024 calibration for the MMF stress tests the results of which have to be reported in accordance with Article 37 of the MMF Regulation, and which are detailed in section 4.8 above. 67. ESMA has worked in collaboration with the ESRB and the ECB for the annual calibration of the risk parameters. Most of the parameters have been updated from the new ESRB adverse scenario. In addition, some parameters were added by ESMA in section 5 and are underlined. If managers need a parameter that is not indicated in this section, they may consult the adverse scenario on the ESRB website7 . 68. Finally, in case of inconsistency between the Guidelines and the ESRB scenario, managers should use the values provided in the Guidelines. 7 Stress testing (europa.eu)
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 23 5.1 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical changes in the level of liquidity of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF Scope of the scenario MMFR Typical assets Liquidity Eligible assets Stressed Parameters (a) money market instruments -Certificate of deposit (CD) Yes Table 3, 4 -Commercial Paper (CP) Yes Table 3, 4 -Government bonds, treasury and local authority bills Yes Table 1,2, 4 -Corporate bonds Yes Table 3, 4 (b) eligible securitisations and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCPs) -Eligible securitisations Yes Table 3, 4 -ABCPs Yes Table 3, 4 (c) deposits with credit institutions -Deposits, of which time deposits No (d) financial derivative instruments -Financial derivative instruments dealt in on a regulated market No -Financial derivative instruments dealt OTC No (e) repurchase agreements -Repos Yes 4 (f) reverse repurchase agreements -Reverse repos Yes 4 (g) units or shares of other MMFs -Shares issued by other MMFs Yes Extrapolation of the results to shares issued by other MMFs
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 24 Table 1 Table 2 Liquidity discount factor - Sovereign bonds by residual maturity - Reference countries (in %) Liquidity discount factor - Sovereign bonds by rating and residual maturity (in %) 3M 6M 1Y 1.5Y 2Y 3M 6M 1Y 1.5Y 2Y DE 0.19 0.23 0.27 0.37 0.47 AAA 0.20 0.28 0.30 0.39 0.48 ES 0.23 0.40 0.44 0.53 0.61 AA 0.21 0.27 0.28 0.38 0.48 FR 0.21 0.27 0.28 0.38 0.48 A 0.23 0.40 0.44 0.53 0.61 IT 0.20 0.30 0.32 0.42 0.51 BBB 0.23 0.40 0.44 0.53 0.61 NL 0.21 0.34 0.33 0.41 0.48 Below BBB or unrated 0.30 0.53 0.57 0.68 0.79 Table 3 Liquidity discount factor - Corporate bonds by rating and residual maturity 3M 6M 1Y 1.5Y 2Y AAA 0.62 0.92 1.16 1.25 1.34 AA 0.62 0.92 1.16 1.26 1.36 A 0.63 0.93 1.18 1.26 1.36 BBB 0.64 0.94 1.21 1.28 1.36 Below BBB or unrated 0.83 1.22 1.58 1.67 1.76
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 25 Table Option 4: Price impact parameter Price impact parameter (%) Cash and deposits - Sovereign bonds 1E-13 Corporate bonds (non-financial) 4.3E-13 Corporate bonds (financial) 8E-13 Securitisation and ABCPs 4E-13 Shares issued by other MMFs 2.7E-13 Other (incl. repos) 4.7E-13
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 26 5.2 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical changes in the level of credit risk of the assets held in the portfolio of the MMF, including credit events and rating events Scope of the scenario MMFR Typical assets Credit (credit spreads) Credit (2 main counterparties) Eligible assets Stressed Parameters Stressed Parameters (a) money market instruments -Certificate of deposit (CD) Yes Table 6 Yes Table 7 -Commercial Paper (CP) Yes Table 6 Yes Table 7 -Government bonds, treasury and local authority bills Yes Table 5 Yes Table 7 -Corporate bonds Yes Table 6 Yes Table 7 (b) eligible securitisations and assetbacked commercial paper (ABCPs) -Eligible securitisations Yes Table 6 Yes Table 7 -ABCPs Yes Table 6 Yes Table 7 (c) deposits with credit institutions -Deposits, of which time deposits No No (d) financial derivative instruments -Financial derivative instruments dealt in on a regulated market No No -Financial derivative instruments dealt OTC No No (e) repurchase agreements -Repos No No (f) reverse repurchase agreements -Reverse repos No No (g) units or shares of other MMFs -Shares issued by other MMFs Yes Extrapolation of the results to shares issued by other MMFs Yes Extrapolation of the results to shares issued by other MMFs
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 27 Table 5: Shocks to government bond credit spreads Credit Spread by residual maturity - Government bonds (absolute changes - basis points) Geographic Area Country 3M 6M 1Y 2Y EU Austria 35 45 55 60 EU Belgium 30 40 55 60 EU Bulgaria 50 60 75 95 EU Croatia 40 50 65 70 EU Cyprus 40 50 65 70 EU Czech Republic 55 70 95 105 EU Denmark 15 35 45 50 EU Finland 30 40 50 60 EU France 15 30 40 45 EU Germany 10 20 30 35 EU Greece 60 80 95 110 EU Hungary 55 80 95 115 EU Ireland 25 35 50 55 EU Italy 55 70 85 105 EU Latvia 45 60 75 85 EU Lithuania 45 55 70 85 EU Luxembourg 15 25 35 50 EU Malta 45 50 50 85 EU Netherlands 15 25 35 40 EU Poland 45 60 70 85 EU Portugal 35 45 55 65 EU Romania 40 55 65 80 EU Slovakia 40 45 70 75 EU Slovenia 30 35 50 55 EU Spain 50 60 70 75 EU Sweden 15 25 35 40 EA (weighted averages) EA (weighted averages) 25 35 50 60 EU (weighted averages) EU (weighted averages) 30 40 50 60 Advanced economies United Kingdom 15 30 40 45 Advanced economies Switzerland 25 35 40 40 Advanced economies Norway 15 30 35 45 Advanced economies United States 15 25 30 40 Advanced economies Japan 30 30 35 40 Advanced economies Advanced economies 20 30 35 40 non EU and non US Emerging markets 85 110 145 200
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 28 Table 6: Shocks to corporate bond and ABS credit spreads (all maturities) Corporate credit spreads (absolute changes - basis points) Rating Non-financial Financial covered Financial ABS AAA 110 90 120 110 AA 120 110 130 140 A 150 140 160 200 BBB 190 180 220 240 BB 270 260 300 336 B 340 310 350 336 ≤CCC 380 360 410 336 Table 7: Loss given default Loss given default (%) Senior exposure 45 Subordinated exposure 75
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 29 5.3 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical movements of the interest rates Scope of the scenario MMFR Typical assets IR (Interest rate swap) Eligible assets Stressed Parameters (a) money market instruments -Certificate of deposit (CD) Yes Table 8, 9 -Commercial Paper (CP) Yes Table 8, 9 -Government bonds, treasury and local authority bills Yes Table 8, 9 -Corporate bonds Yes Table 8, 9 (b) eligible securitisations and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCPs) -Eligible securitisations Yes Table 8, 9 -ABCPs Yes Table 8, 9 (c) deposits with credit institutions -Deposits, of which time deposits Yes Table 8, 9 (d) financial derivative instruments -Financial derivative instruments dealt in on a regulated market Yes Table 8, 9 -Financial derivative instruments dealt OTC Yes Table 8, 9 (e) repurchase agreements -Repos No (f) reverse repurchase agreements -Reverse repos Yes Table 8, 9 (g) units or shares of other MMFs -Shares issued by other MMFs Yes Extrapolation of the results to shares issued by other MMFs
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 30 Table 8: Shocks to swap rates Interest rate yield shocks absolute changes (basis points) Geographic Area Country Description 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y EU Euro area Interest rate swap on the EUR (euro) 90 90 120 130 140 EU Bulgaria Interest rate swap on the BGN (Bulgarian lev) 120 140 160 170 180 EU Czech Republic Interest rate swap on the CZK (Czech koruna) 100 110 120 150 180 EU Denmark Interest rate swap on the DKK (Danish krone) 90 100 120 130 140 EU Hungary Interest rate swap on the HUF (Hungarian forint) 110 120 140 160 180 EU Poland Interest rate swap on the PLN (Polish zloty) 110 110 140 160 180 EU Romania Interest rate swap on the RON (Romanian leu) 120 140 160 170 180 EU Sweden Interest rate swap on the SEK (Swedish krona) 90 90 120 130 140 Rest of Europe United Kingdom Interest rate swap on the GBP (British pound) 100 100 120 130 140 Rest of Europe Norway Interest rate swap on the NOK (Norwegian krone) 100 100 120 130 140 Rest of Europe Russia Interest rate swap on the RUB (Russian ruble) 210 210 220 220 260 Rest of Europe Switzerland Interest rate swap on the CHF (Swiss franc) 80 90 110 130 140
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 31 Rest of Europe Turkey Interest rate swap on the TRY (Turkish lira) 230 270 310 340 380 North America Canada Interest rate swap on the CAD (Canadian dollar) 100 110 130 140 150 North America United States Interest rate swap on the USD (US dollar) 100 110 130 140 150 Australia and Pacific Australia Interest rate swap on the AUD (Australian dollar) 100 130 130 150 160 Australia and Pacific New Zealand Interest rate swap on the NZD (New Zealand dollar) 100 130 140 150 160 South and Central America Chile Interest rate swap on the CLP (Chilean peso) 170 190 220 240 280 South and Central America Colombia Interest rate swap on the COP (Colombian peso) 230 250 250 260 270 South and Central America Mexico Interest rate swap on the MXN (Mexican peso) 160 180 200 220 250 Asia China Interest rate swap on the CNY (Chinese yuan) 100 120 140 170 190 Asia Hong Kong Interest rate swap on the HKD (Hong Kong dollar) 110 130 150 170 190 Asia India Interest rate swap on the INR (Indian rupee) 120 140 160 180 200 Asia Japan Interest rate swap on the JPY (Japanese yen) 10 20 30 Asia Korea Interest rate swap on the KRW (South Korean won) 100 120 130 170 200 Asia Malaysia Interest rate swap on the MYR (Malaysian ringgit) 40 60 80 110 120 Asia Singapore Interest rate swap on the SGD (Singapore dollar) 120 130 140 150 160 Asia Thailand Interest rate swap on the THB (Thai baht) 50 70 90 120 130 Africa South Africa Interest rate swap on the ZAR (South African rand) 150 160 160 190 220
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 32 Table 9 Shocks to swap rates (default values for countries not included in table 8) Interest rate yield shocks absolute changes (basis points) Geographic Area Description 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y EU Default value for countries not included in table 8 100 110 140 150 170 Other advanced economies Default value for countries not included in table 8 90 100 120 140 150 Other emerging markets Default value for countries not included in table 8 150 170 180 200 230
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 33 5.4 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical movements of the exchange rates Scope of the scenario MMFR Typical assets FX (Appreciation of the EUR) FX (Depreciation of the EUR) Eligible assets Stressed Parameters Stressed Parameters (a) money market instruments -Certificate of deposit (CD) Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 -Commercial Paper (CP) Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 -Government bonds, treasury and local authority bills Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 -Corporate bonds Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 (b) eligible securitisations and assetbacked commercial paper (ABCPs) -Eligible securitisations Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 -ABCPs Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 (c) deposits with credit institutions -Deposits, of which time deposits Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 (d) financial derivative instruments -Financial derivative instruments dealt in on a regulated market Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 -Financial derivative instruments dealt OTC Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 (e) repurchase agreements -Repos No No (f) reverse repurchase agreements -Reverse repos Yes Table 10 Yes Table 11 (g) units or shares of other MMFs -Shares issued by other MMFs Yes Extrapolation of the results to shares issued by other MMFs Yes Extrapolation of the results to shares issued by other MMFs
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 34 Table 10 FX shocks (appreciation of the EUR against the USD) relative changes (%) Geographic Area Description Exchange rate name Shock EU EURCZK represents 1 EUR per x CZK (Czech koruna) EURCZK 6 EU EURHUF represents 1 EUR per x HUF (Hungarian forints) EURHUF 16 EU EURPLN represents 1 EUR per x PLN (Polish zloty) EURPLN 10 EU EURRON represents 1 EUR per x RON (Romanian leu ) EURRON 3 EU EURSEK represents 1 EUR per x SEK (Swedish krona) EURSEK 11 Rest of Europe EURRSD represents 1 EUR per x RSD (Serbian dinar ) EURRSD 2 Rest of Europe EURNOK represents 1 EUR per x NOK (Norwegian krone) EURNOK 9 Rest of Europe EURGBP represents 1 EUR per x GBP (British pound) EURGBP 10 Rest of Europe EURCHF represents 1 EUR per x CHF (Swiss franc) EURCHF 6 Rest of Europe EURRUB represents 1 EUR per x RUB (Russian ruble) EURRUB 46 Rest of Europe EURTRY represents 1 EUR per x TRY (Turkish lira) EURTRY 20 North America USDCAD represents 1 USD per x CAD (Canadian dollar) USDCAD -5 North America EURUSD represents 1 EUR per x USD (US dollar) EURUSD 6 Australia and Pacific AUDUSD represents 1 AUD per x USD (Australian dollar) AUDUSD 8 Australia and Pacific NZDUSD represents 1 NZD per x USD (New Zealand dollar) NZDUSD 7 South and Central America USDARS represents 1 USD per x ARS (Argentine peso) USDARS 9 South and Central America USDBRL represents 1 USD per x BRL (Brazilian real) USDBRL -18
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 35 South and Central America USDMXN represents 1 USD per x MXN (Mexican peso) USDMXN -8 Asia USDCNY represents 1 USD per x CNY (Chinese yuan renminbi) USDCNY -3 Asia USDHKD represents 1 USD per x HKD (Hong Kong dollar) USDHKD -1 Asia USDINR represents 1 USD per x INR (Indian rupee) USDINR -2 Asia USDJPY represents 1 USD per x JPY (Japanese yen) USDJPY -6 Asia USDKRW represents 1 USD per x KRW (South korean won) USDKRW -9 Asia USDMYR represents 1 USD per x MYR (Malaysian ringgit) USDMYR -4 Asia USDSGD represents 1 USD per x SGD (Singapore dollar) USDSGD -4 Asia USDTHB represents 1 USD per x THB (Thai baht) USDTHB -5 Asia USDTWD represents 1 USD per x TWD (New Taiwan dollar) USDTWD -3 Africa USDZAR represents 1 USD per x ZAR (South African rand) USDZAR -11 Table 11 FX shocks (depreciation of the EUR against the USD) relative changes (%) Geographic Area Description Exchange rate name Shock EU EURCZK represents 1 EUR per x CZK (Czech koruna) EURCZK -6 EU EURHUF represents 1 EUR per x HUF (Hungarian forints) EURHUF -9 EU EURPLN represents 1 EUR per x PLN (Polish zloty) EURPLN -5 EU EURRON represents 1 EUR per x RON (Romanian leu ) EURRON -2 EU EURSEK represents 1 EUR per x SEK (Swedish krona) EURSEK -3 Rest of Europe EURRSD represents 1 EUR per x RSD (Serbian dinar ) EURRSD -2 Rest of Europe EURNOK represents 1 EUR per x NOK (Norwegian krone) EURNOK -9 Rest of Europe EURGBP represents 1 EUR per x GBP (British pound) EURGBP -5
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 36 Rest of Europe EURCHF represents 1 EUR per x CHF (Swiss franc) EURCHF -10 Rest of Europe EURRUB represents 1 EUR per x RUB (Russian ruble) EURRUB -44 Rest of Europe EURTRY represents 1 EUR per x TRY (Turkish lira) EURTRY -7 North America USDCAD represents 1 USD per x CAD (Canadian dollar) USDCAD 10 North America EURUSD represents 1 EUR per x USD (US dollar) EURUSD -12 Australia and Pacific AUDUSD represents 1 AUD per x USD (Australian dollar) AUDUSD -15 Australia and Pacific NZDUSD represents 1 NZD per x USD (New Zealand dollar) NZDUSD -15 South and Central America USDARS represents 1 USD per x ARS (Argentine peso) USDARS 18 South and Central America USDBRL represents 1 USD per x BRL (Brazilian real) USDBRL 14 South and Central America USDMXN represents 1 USD per x MXN (Mexican peso) USDMXN 11 Asia USDCNY represents 1 USD per x CNY (Chinese yuan renminbi) USDCNY 7 Asia USDHKD represents 1 USD per x HKD (Hong Kong dollar) USDHKD 1 Asia USDINR represents 1 USD per x INR (Indian rupee) USDINR 8 Asia USDJPY represents 1 USD per x JPY (Japanese yen) USDJPY 16 Asia USDKRW represents 1 USD per x KRW (South korean won) USDKRW 12 Asia USDMYR represents 1 USD per x MYR (Malaysian ringgit) USDMYR 6 Asia USDSGD represents 1 USD per x SGD (Singapore dollar) USDSGD 5 Asia USDTHB represents 1 USD per x THB (Thai baht) USDTHB 10 Asia USDTWD represents 1 USD per x TWD (New Taiwan dollar) USDTWD 7 Africa USDZAR represents 1 USD per x ZAR (South African rand) USDZAR 20
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 37 5.5 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical widening or narrowing of spreads among indexes to which interest rates of portfolio securities are tied Scope of the scenario MMFR Typical assets IR (Interest rate swap) Eligible assets Stressed Parameters (a) money market instruments -Certificate of deposit (CD) Yes Table 8, 9 -Commercial Paper (CP) Yes Table 8, 9 -Government bonds, treasury and local authority bills Yes Table 8, 9 -Corporate bonds Yes Table 8, 9 (b) eligible securitisations and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCPs) -Eligible securitisations Yes Table 8, 9 -ABCPs Yes Table 8, 9 (c) deposits with credit institutions -Deposits, of which time deposits Yes Table 8, 9 (d) financial derivative instruments -Financial derivative instruments dealt in on a regulated market Yes Table 8, 9 -Financial derivative instruments dealt OTC Yes Table 8, 9 (e) repurchase agreements -Repos No (f) reverse repurchase agreements -Reverse repos Yes Table 8, 9 (g) units or shares of other MMFs -Shares issued by other MMFs Yes Extrapolation of the results to shares issued by other MMFs
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 38 5.6 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical levels of redemption Scope of the scenario MMFR Typical assets Redemption (reverse liquidity ST) Redemption (weekly liquidity ST Redemption (2 main investors) Eligible assets Stressed Parameters Stressed Parameters Stressed Parameters (a) money market instruments -Certificate of deposit (CD) Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 -Commercial Paper (CP) Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 -Government bonds, treasury and local authority bills Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 -Corporate bonds Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 (b) eligible securitisations and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCPs) -Eligible securitisations Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 -ABCPs Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 (c) deposits with credit institutions -Deposits, of which time deposits Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 (d) financial derivative instruments -Financial derivative instruments dealt in on a regulated market Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 -Financial derivative instruments dealt OTC Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 (e) repurchase agreements -Repos Yes Self-assessment No Table 12, 13 No Table 12 (f) reverse repurchase agreements -Reverse repos Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12 (g) units or shares of other MMFs -Shares issued by other MMFs Yes Self-assessment Yes Table 12, 13 Yes Table 12
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 39 Table 12 Table 13 Assets Article CQS Net outflows (%) Assets referred to in Article 17(7) which are highly liquid and can be redeemed and settled within one working day and have a residual maturity of up to 190 days 17(7) 1 Professional investor 40 Cash which is able to be withdrawn by giving prior notice of five working days without penalty 24(1) Retail investor 30 25(1) Weekly maturing assets 24(1) 25(1) Reverse repurchase agreements which are able to be terminated by giving prior notice of five working days 24(1) 25(1) x100% = Weekly liquid assets (bucket 1) Assets referred to in Article 17(7) which can be redeemed and settled within one working week 17(7) 1,2 Money market instruments or units or shares of other MMFs which they are able to be redeemed and settled within five working days 24(1) 1,2 25(1) Eligible securitisations and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCPs) 9(1)(b) 1 x85% = Weekly liquid assets (bucket 2)
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 40 5.7 Common reference parameters of the stress test scenarios in relation to hypothetical macro systemic shocks affecting the economy as a whole Scope of the scenario MMFR Typical assets Macro Eligible assets Stressed Parameters (a) money market instruments -Certificate of deposit (CD) Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 -Commercial Paper (CP) Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 -Government bonds, treasury and local authority bills Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 -Corporate bonds Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 (b) eligible securitisations and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCPs) -Eligible securitisations Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 -ABCPs Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 (c) deposits with credit institutions -Deposits, of which time deposits Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 (d) financial derivative instruments -Financial derivative instruments dealt in on a regulated market Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 -Financial derivative instruments dealt OTC Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 (e) repurchase agreements -Repos No Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 (f) reverse repurchase agreements -Reverse repos Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14 (g) units or shares of other MMFs -Shares issued by other MMFs Yes Tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11, 12, 14
ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - Tel. +33 (0) 1 58 36 43 21 - www.esma.europa.eu 41 Table 14 Net outflows (%) Professional investor 20 Retail investor 10
42 6 Appendix A. Example of stress combining the various factors mentioned in sections 4.2 to 4.7 with investors’ redemption requests A practical example of one possible implementation of the section “Combination of the various factors mentioned in the following sections 4.2 to 4.7 with investors’ redemption requests” is given below. The table below estimates the losses incurred by the MMF in the event of redemptions or market stress (credit or interest rate shocks). First scenario: credit premium shock of 25 bps Second scenario: interest rate shock of 25 bps Three largest investors (25%) ↓ Very stable investors (15%) ↓ Redemptions 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Initial portfolio 2 bps 3 bps 5 bps 6 bps 8 bps 9 bps 11 bps 12 bps First scenario 7 bps 9 bps 13 bps 18 bps 24 bps 32 bps 45 bps 66 bps 110 bps 236 bps Second scenario 3 bps 4 bps 6 bps 9 bps 12 bps 16 bps 21 bps 28 bps 38 bps 85 bps WAL (days) 105 117 131 149 169 192 219 249 290 320 This stress test shows that a redemption by the three largest investors (25% of net assets) would push the weighted average life (WAL) beyond the 120-day regulatory threshold (for a short-term money market fund) and cause the portfolio to lose in the region of 2-3 bps under normal conditions. The same level of cumulative redemptions with a 25 bps rise in credit premium would cause a loss of around 13-18 bps.
43 B. Example of redemptions based on an investor behaviour model, in accordance with the breakdown of liabilities by investor category. This implies the simulation of the behaviour of each type of investor and establishes a simulation based on the composition of the liabilities of the MMF. Example of investor classification and simulation of their behaviour (the figures shown are not real): Investor type Record redemptions for this investor type Over one day Over one week Over one month Large institutional 25% 75% 100% Group entity (bank, insurance, own account) 20% 40% 40% Investment fund 20% 65% 100% Small institutional 10% 25% 40% Private banking network 15% 40% 75% Retail investor with distributor A 5% 10% 20% Retail investor with distributor B 7% 15% 20% Stressed redemptions for this investor category Large institutional 75% Group entity (bank, insurance, own account) 0% (in agreement with the AMC) Investment fund 65% Small institutional 25% Private banking network 40% Retail investor with distributor A 10% Retail investor with distributor B 15% In order to build such a simulation of this kind, the manager needs to make assumptions about the behaviour of each investor type, based in part on historical redemptions. In the example
44 above, the manager has noted that the retail investors who invested through distributor A are historically slower to exit in the event of difficulty, but that they exhibit the same behaviour over one month as retail investors who invested through distributor B. This fictitious example shows a possible classification that the manager may use based on the data available on the liabilities of the MMF and the behaviour of its investors. C. Examples of global stress test scenarios that the manager could consider: i. the Lehman Brothers’ event with the calibration of all relevant factors one month ahead of the failure of this firm; ii. A) a scenario including a combination of the 3 following factors: i) a parallel shift in interest rate (x) ii) a shift in credit spreads (y) and iii) a redemption stress (z)); iii. B) a scenario including a combination of the 3 following factors: i) a parallel shift in interest rate (x) ii) a shift in credit spreads (y) and iii) a redemption stress (z)) Variables x, y and z being the worst figures/shifts experienced by the fund, on an independent basis, for the last 12 months.
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