2025-06-25
Added · Updated
The National Bank of Ethiopia reports an 8.1 percent real GDP growth for the 2023/24 fiscal year, driven by increases in the service, industrial, and agricultural sectors. Headline inflation declined to 19.9 percent from 29.3 percent in the previous year, supported by a tight monetary policy that limited credit growth to 14 percent and reduced government direct advances. The budget deficit narrowed to 2.1 percent of GDP, while the Birr depreciated by 5.0 percent against the US Dollar under a managed float regime. The financial sector remained stable with continued branch expansion and increased foreign direct investment.
ANNUAL REPORT nbe.gov.et 2023 | 2024
NBE Annual Report © 2025 National Bank of Ethiopia Sudan Street, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia www.nbe.gov.et Prepared by Domestic Economic Analysis and Publication Directorate National Bank of Ethiopia Designed by NBE Communications Address_Tel +251 115 51 74 30 +251 115 51 45 88 P.O.Box 5550 nbeinfo@nbe.gov.et nbe.gov.et Addis Ababa, Ethiopia This publication can be acquired by subscription or exchange Please contact: National Bank of Ethiopia Domestic Economic Analysis and Publication Directorate P.O.BOX 5550 Tel. +251 115 17 52 62/115 17 52 68 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
NBE's BOARD OF DIRECTORS H.E. Ambassador Girma Birru Chairperson H.E. Dr. Fitsum Assefa Member H.E. Dr. Eyob Tekalign Member H.E. Mamo E. Mihretu Member H.E. Yasmin Wohabrebbi Member Mr. Gebreyesus Gunte Member H.E. Fikadu Digafie Member
NBE's EXCECUTIVE MANAGEMENT MEMBERS H.E. Mamo E. Mihretu Governor & Chairperson Mr. Gebreyesus Gunte Senior Advisor to the Governor Member & Secretary H.E. Fikadu Digafie Vice Governor & Chief Economist, Monetary Stability Cluster Member H.E. Eyob G/Eyesus Vice Governor, Corporate Service Cluster Member H.E. Solomon Desta Vice Governor, Financial Institution Supervision Cluster Member
NBE's SENIOR MANAGEMENT MEMBERS H.E. Mamo E. Mihretu Governor & Chairperson H.E. Fikadu Digafie Vice Governor & Chief Economist, Monetary Stability Cluster Member Mr. Gebreyesus Gunte Senior Advisor to the Governor Member H.E. Eyob G/Eyesus Vice Governor, Corporate Service Cluster Member H.E. Solomon Desta Vice Governor, Financial Institution Supervision Cluster Member Mrs. Martha H/Mariam Advisor to Vice Governor, Financial Institution Suppervision Cluster Member Mr. Mulualem Eshetu Advisor to Vice Governor & Chief Economist Member
Mr. Wondimeneh Asrat Director, Internal Audit and Risk Management Directorate Member CONTINUED Mr. Befekadu Gashaw Director, Domestic Economic Analysis and Publication Directorate Member Mr. Habtamu Wokineh Director, External Economic Analysis and International Relations Directorate Member Mr. Tilahun Benalf, Acting Director, Change Management, Planning and Communication Directorate Member Mrs. Zemzem Ahmed Acting Director, Economic Modeling and Statistical Analysis Directorate Member Mrs. Workabeba Bahiru Advisor to Vice Governor, Corporate Service Cluster Member Mr. Gebeyaw Takele Director, Project Management Oce Member Mrs. Woyenshet Zeberga Director, Monetary and Financial Analysis Directorate Member
Mr. Abebe Senbete Director, Currency Management Directorate Member Mr. Sintayehu Dessalegn Acting Director, Micro-Finance Institutions Supervision Directorate Member Mr. Belay Tulu Director, Insurance Supervision Directorate Member Mr. Frezer Ayalew Director, Bank Supervision Directorate Member Mrs. Yenehassab Tadesse Director, Foreign Exchange Monitoring and Reserve Management Directorate Member Mrs. Habtam Shumbeza Manager, Construction Project Member CONTINUED Mr. Solomon Damtew Director, Payment & Settlememt System Directorate Member Mr. Dawit Tesfaye Acting Manager - ICT and Consultancy Projects Member
Mr. Wondewosen Tsegaw Director, Information System Management Directorate Member Mr. Zelalem Abera Director, Human Resource Management Directorate Member Mr. Temeliso Abebe Director, Credit Reference and Movable Collateral Registry Directorate Member Mr. Temesgen Zeleke Head, Financial Inclusion Secretariat Member Mrs. Merema Kamil Director, Corporate Finance Directorate Member CONTINUED Mr. Muhudin Shifa Acting Director, Financial Consumer Protection and Education Directorate Member Mr. G-Medhen Tsegaye Acting Director, Engineering, Property, and Transport Services Management Directorate Member Mr. Filimon Rezene Acting Director, Procurement Service Management Directorate Member
Mr. Shambel Teshome Acting Deputy Director, Foreign Exchange Monitoring and Reserve Management Directorate Member CONTINUED Mr. Abebayew Dufera Acting Deputy Director, Foreign Exchange Monitoring and Reserve Management Directorate Member Mr. Kassahun Yohannes Acting Director, Ethiopian Institute of Financial Studies Member Mr. Girmaye Amare Acting Deputy Director, Ethiopian Institute of Financial Studies Member Mr. Eyasu Teshome Deputy Director, Information System Management Directorate Member Mr. Mesfin Getachew Director, Legal Service Directorate Member Mr. Gobena Worana Deputy Director, Bank Supervision Directorate Member
ETHIOPIA: MACROECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INDICATORS I GOVERNOR’S NOTE 1 I. OVERALL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE 4 1.1 Economic Growth 4 1.2 GDP by Sector 6 1.3 GDP by Expenditure Components 8 1.4 Micro and Small-Scale Enterprises 9 1.5 Access to Water Supply 11 1.6 Road Sector Development 13 1.7 Developments in Education sector 17 1.8 Telecommunication 20 II. ENERGY PRODUCTION 24 2.1 Electric Power Generation 24 2.2 Volume and Value of Petroleum Imports 25 III. PRICE DEVELOPMENTS 29 3.1 Developments in Consumer Price at National Level 29 3.2 Consumer Price Developments in Regional States 32 IV. MONETARY AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS 36 4.1 Monetary Developments and Policy 36 4.2 Developments in Interest Rate 39 4.3 Developments in Financial Sector 41 4.4 Financial Activities of NBE 53 4.5 Developments in Financial Markets 54 V. DEVELOPMENTS IN EXTERNAL SECTOR 59 5.1 Overall Balance of Payments 59 5.2 Developments in Merchandise Trade 61 5.3 Services and Transfers 70 5.4 Current Account 72 5.5 Capital Account 72 5.6 Changes in Reserve Position 73 5.7 External debt 73 5.8 Developments in Foreign Exchange Markets 74 CONTENTS
VI. GENERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE 80 6.1 General 80 6.2 Revenue and Grants 81 6.3 Expenditure 83 6.4 Deficit Financing 85 6.5 General Government Public Debts 87 VII. INVESTMENT 90 7.1 Investment by Sector 92 7.2 Distribution by Region 93 VIII. INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS 96 8.1 International Economic Developments 96 8.2 Implications of International Economic Developments on the Ethiopia Economy 99 Financial Statements for the Year Ended 30 June 2024 100 Statistical Annexes 211
I Ethiopia: Macroeconomic and Social Indicators 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2008) (2009) (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016)
II 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2008) (2009) (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) 3. Macroeconomic Indicators 3.1. Real sector Development 2 GDP at Current Market Price (In Mn. Birr) 1568097.5 1832553.7 2202372.7 2696222.7 3374746.9 4341024.2 6157015.2 8723116.8 11752138.1 Nominal GDP Growth Rate (In %) 17.7 16.9 20.2 22.4 25.2 28.6 41.8 41.7 34.7 Average Marginal Exchange Rate (Birr per USD) 21.1 22.4 26.1 28.1 31.3 39.0 48.6 53.3 56.0 GDP at Current Market Price (In Mn. USD) 74296.6 81760.4 84355.6 95951.0 107672.6 111261.9 126772.7 163712.9 210000.9 Nominal GDP per Capita (In USD) 814.6 875.8 883.3 983.1 1079.4 1091.7 1217.8 1548.7 1937.0 Real GDP per Capita (In Birr) 17192.4 18393.9 19204.9 20312.7 21144.7 21860.6 22543.2 23664.4 24761.9 Real GDP per Capita Growth Rate (In %) 5.0 7.0 4.4 5.8 4.1 3.4 3.1 5.0 4.6 GDP Deflator (% change) 9.5 6.7 12.5 13.2 81 .2 21.8 34.7 32.9 25.5 Real GDP at constant basic price (In Mn. Birr) 1449397.5 1596481.6 1719491.3 1874689.3 1989587.7 2114238.3 2248662.8 2409921.4 2603952.9 Real GDP at constant market price (In Mn. Birr) 1568097.5 1717127.2 1834066.5 1982516.7 2109180.1 2227894.7 2346748.0 2501498.3 2684525.2 Real GDP Growth Rate (In %) 8.0 10.1 7.7 9.0 6.1 6.3 6.4 7.2 8.1 Agriculture & Allied Activties(In Billion Birr) 544.1 580.4 600.9 623.8 650.3 686.4 728 4. 774.0 827.9 Industrial Sector (In Billion Birr) 343.9 413.8 464.4 526.2 576.9 618.8 649.2 694.2 758.4 Service Sector(In Billion Birr) 575.9 619.3 673.9 745.7 786.8 836.2 899.8 971.3 1046.1 Agriculture & Allied Activties (% of GDP) 37.2 36.0 34.5 32.9 32.3 32.1 32.0 31.7 31.5 Industrial Sector (% of GDP) 23.5 25.6 26.7 27.8 28.6 28.9 28.5 28.5 28.8 Service Sector (% of GDP) 39.3 38.4 38.7 39.3 39.1 39.0 39.5 39.8 39.7 Private Consumption Expenditure 1042264.6 1219365.9 1441581.1 1848070.0 2360896.0 3134993.8 4764429.0 6882737.9 9422416.4 Government Consumption Expenditure 174598.8 203607.9 225523.2 247362.0 307769.0 383565.3 453263.0 551106.6 650000.0 Investment 585665.0 704596.0 751626.2 948866.0 1037685.0 1216584.9 1560325.0 1933863.0 2409022.1 Exports 122500.8 139830.1 184282.1 213437.0 239229.0 329634.5 507692.0 575061.6 652778.8 Imports 424749.9 430233.2 502112.9 561512.0 571230.0 723391.3 1128171.0 1220461 4. 1382079.2 Resource Balance -302249.0 -290403.0 -317831.0 -348075.0 -329096.0 -394236.0 -620479.0 -645399.8 -729300.4 Gross Private Consumption (% of GDP) 66.5 66.5 65.5 68.5 70.0 72.2 77.4 78.9 80.2 Gross Government Cosumption (% of GDP) 11.1 11.1 10.2 9.2 9.1 8.8 7.4 6.3 5.5 Gross Domestic Fixed Investment (% of GDP) 37.3 38.4 34.1 35.2 30.7 28.0 25.3 22.2 20.5 Resource Balance (% of GDP) (19.3) (15.8) (14.4) (12.9) (9.8) -9.08 -10.1 -7.4 -6.2 3.2. Monetary Indicators Narrow Money Supply (M1) (In Mn. Birr) 178,609.66 216,769.62 281,154.66 308,937.13 360,585.50 437,391.97 588,015.82 706,142.20 822,498.60 Broad Money Supply (M2) (In Mn. Birr) 445,266.25 573,384.05 740,572.88 886,752.53 1,037,646.33 1,348,266.15 1,715,310.03 2,170,848.37 2,477,891.90 Net Foreign Assets (In Mn. Birr) 21,524.19 38,034.79 39,376.20 14,506.19 (8,321.31) (812.32) (111,427.54) (160,097.68) (245,298.39) Reserve Requirement (CBs) 21,745.43 28,278.91 36,385.76 44,861.74 51,952.51 67,732.40 119,022.60 147,931.40 149,916.90 Interest Rate (In %) Minimum Deposit Rate 5.00 5.00 7 Lending Rate 12.75 12.75 13.5 13.5 14.25 Total Net Domestic Credit (in mn. Birr) 490,230.35 631,092.73 784,621.73 963,699.91 1,176,926.45 1,481,844.43 1,930,621.80 2,444,435.50 2,797,752.10 Government 47,524.36 85,441.85 102,002.83 109,799.21 137,082.91 214,275.16 422,864.02 573,675.72 745,541.10 Other Sectors 442,705.99 545,650.89 682,618.90 853,900.70 1,039,843.53 1,267,569.27 1,507,757.78 1,870,759.78 2,052,211.00 Indicators C ontinued ….
III 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2008) (2009) (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) 3.3. Inflation (CPI growth rate) 3 Country Level -General inflation 9.7 7.4 14.60 12.60 19.90 20.20 33.80 32.50 26.60 -Food inflation 11.2 7.2 13.40 13.10 23.30 23.20 40.30 31.70 28.10 -Non-Food inflation (core inflation) 8.1 7.5 15.80 11.90 15.80 16.40 25.15 33.90 24.40 Addis Ababa -General inflation 10.3 2.3 16.5 14.6 18.8 19.5 29.8 37.3 31.20 -Food inflation 16.6 1.2 8.7 15 25.9 26.2 36.6 35.5 34.10 -Non-Food inflation (core inflation) 5.8 3.2 22.6 14 13.9 14.4 24.1 39.0 28.60 3.4. External Trade(In Mn.USD) Export of goods & services 6077.3 6257.2 7095.9 7694.9 7715.7 8498.9 10457.7 10855.8 11763.6 Import of goods & services 20552.1 19714.0 19707.4 20704.8 18828.3 19177.0 23845.0 23430.0 25128.0 Net trade in goods & services -14474.7 -13456.9 -12611.4 -13009.9 -11112.6 -10678.0 -13387.3 -12574.2 -13364.4 Current account balance including ocial transfers -6655.1 -6543.2 -5285.0 -4948.0 -4401.9 -3190.7 -5145.1 -4672.9 -5916.9 Capital account balance 6554.1 6885.3 6184.6 4822.4 4326.5 3785.8 2723.7 3547.3 4128.3 Overall balance of payments -830.9 658.6 -201.6 -941.6 -833.4 298.7 -2149.8 -752.0 -1347.9 3.5. Government Finance (In Mn .Birr 4) Total Revenue (including grants) 244,819.4 270,214.1 287,562.1 344,936.5 394,965.8 478,888.1 566,753.6 717,586.7 873,126.5 Total Revenue (excluding grants) 231,805.2 257,737.2 269,648.2 311,317.4 354,312.8 444,582.6 540,060.5 685,459.1 840,094.8 o/w Tax-Revenue 190,519.7 210,172.5 235,229.5 268,457.4 311,476.5 388,763.5 477,770.3 593,232.1 716,172.2 Tax-Revenue as % of GDP 12.1 11.5 10.7 10.0 9.2 9.0 7.8 6.8 6.1 Total Expenditures 280,892.8 329,658.1 354,205.3 413,105.7 488,243.2 599,006.7 779,099.0 938,771.6 1,120,077.3 Current Expenditures 136,708.7 176,634.6 210,470.2 238,156.6 280,667.0 363,596.9 517,043.4 582,854.6 652,619.7 Capital Expenditures 144,184.1 153,023.5 143,735.1 174,949.1 207,576.1 235,409.7 262,055.7 355,917.0 467,457.6 Equity Contribution (Sinking Fund) - - - - - - - - 0 Special Programs - - - - - - - - 0 Total Expenditures as % of GDP 17.9 18.0 16.1 15.4 14.5 13.8 12.7 10.8 9.5 Current Surplus/Deficit 108,110.7 93,579.4 77,091.9 106,779.9 114,298.8 115,291.2 49,710.3 134,732.1 220,506.9 Overall Budget Deficit (including grants) (36,073.4) (59,444.0) (66,643.2) (68,169.2) (93,277.4) (120,118.5) (212,345.4) (221,184.9) (246,950.7) Deficit as % of GDP (2.3) (3.2) (3.0) (2.5) (2.8) (2.8) (3.4) (2.5) (2.1) Overall Budget Deficit (excluding grants) (49,087.6) (71,920.9) (84,557.1) (101,788.3) (133,930.4) (154,424.0) (239,038.5) (253,312.4) (279,982.5) Deficit as % of GDP (3.1) (3.9) (3.8) (3.8) (4.0) (3.6) (3.9) (2.9) (2.4) 3.6. Exchange Rate (Birr/ USD) Inter-Bank Forex Market Rate 5
IV 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2008) (2009) (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) 3.7. Treasury Bill Market (In Mn. Birr) T-Bills Demanded (Total) 161,575.24 225,321.24 323,991.24 422,633.54 242,155.09 284,783.55 599,478.63 595,231.34 812,892.09 T-Bills Sold 161,475.24 225,321.24 323,991.24 422,633.54 242,155.09 238,799.55 582,268.63 576,081.34 797,797.09 Average Weighted Yield (in %) 1.438 1.424 1.420 1.741 4.808 7.970 9.459 9.70 9.74 T-Bills Outstanding by holder 57,252.56 73,271.56 111,213.56 138,054.36 23,724.00 116,559.95 317,169.59 341,869.53 447,802.85 Banks - - - 650.00 5,604.00 52,040.00 195,432.29 146,568.05 162,259.26 Non-Banks 57,252.56 73,271.56 111,213.56 137,404.36 18,120.00 64,519.95 121,737.30 195,301.48 285,543.59 3.8. Inter Bank Money Market Rate5 3.9. Financial Institutions Number of Commercial Banks 17.00 18.00 30.00 31.00 32.00 (o/w Private banks) 16.00 17.00 28.00 29.00 30.00 Number of Bank Branches 3,301.00 4,257.00 4,757.00 5,564.00 6,511.00 7,344.00 8,944.00 11,281.00 12,278.00 Population : Bank Branch 27,932.00 22,164.00 20,286.50 17,732.20 15,702.00 13,921.00 11,516.00 9,514.00 8,918.00 Number of Insurance Companies 17.00 18.00 (o/w Private Insurance Companies) 16.00 17.00 Number of Insurance Branches 426 492.00 532.00 568.00 605.00 635.00 690.00 741.00 799.00 Population : Insurance Branch 216,443.00 191,772.00 181,396.00 173,848.00 168,983.00 160,629.92 149,272.50 144,846.00 147,771.93 Number of Development Banks 1.00 1.00 1.00 Number of Development Bank Branches 110 110.00 107 107 93 82 83 83 105.00 Number of Micro-financial Institutions 35.00 35.00 38 38 39 39 43 47 48.00 Source : Ministries of Agriculture, Finance, Health, and Education, National Bank of Ethiopia, Ethiopian Statistical Services, … etc Note:- *population is estimated using component method a©er 2006/2007
Excluding manpower out side the Ministry of Health.
The GDP data series is revised on basis of 2015/16 =100 base year
Inflation data is calculated using the new base year (December 2016=100)
Figures for government finance are preliminary estimates from 1999/00 onwards.
Inter-bank money market was first introduced in Aug.1998 and Inter-bank forex market started as of September 1998, and the daily trasactions introduced beginning from october 24, 2001. *Mid year population was obtained from MoF Indicators Continued….
In 2023/24, the Ethiopian economy encountered a range of domestic and global challenges. Domestically, the country faced high inflation, foreign exchange pressures, internal conflict, and adverse climate conditions, including drought in certain regions. On the global front, challenges included the Russia-Ukraine conflict, political tensions in the Middle East, a global economic slowdown, rising international prices for basic commodities, and reduced funding from donors and lenders. GOVERNOR'S NOTE
Despite these obstacles, the Ethiopian economy has shown impressive resilience, achieving an annual growth rate of 8.1 percent in 2023/24, up from 7.2 percent in 2022/23. This growth not only outpaces the average for Sub-Saharan Africa but also reflects a broad-based improvement across key sectors. The service sector grew by 7.7 percent, the industrial sector by 9.2 percent, and agriculture by 7.0 percent, all of which represent increases compared to the previous year's growth rates of 7.9 percent, 6.9 percent, and 6.3 percent, respectively. This trend indicates a robust economic recovery and diversification, highlighting Ethiopia's potential for sustainable development.
The sustained high economic growth over the past 15 years has enabled Ethiopia to improve its per capita income, which reached USD 1,937 in 2023/24. It also resulted in improvement in income inequality, poverty reduction and expansion of critical infrastructure particularly in power and transport sectors. Notably, consumption expenditure was the major driver of domestic demand, accounting for 85.7 percent of GDP in 2023/24. Meanwhile, gross capital formation and domestic savings saw declines, constituting 20.5 percent and 14.3 percent of GDP, respectively.
During the fiscal year, NBE implemented various measures aimed at modernizing its policy objectives and tools. A new strategy plan was adopted that gave primacy to NBE’s role in maintaining price, external, and financial stability while also targeting improvements in the central bank’s internal capabilities and governance.
To combat inflation and achieve the target of 20.0 percent by June 2024, NBE has implemented a tight monetary policy stance throughout the fiscal year characterized by several strategic actions. The monetary policy actions includes limiting credit and base money growth to 14 percent; sharply reducing the annual direct advance allocation to Government; and raising interest rates on its emergency lending facility.
The monetary policy measures were complemented by fiscal consolidation and sector-specific initiatives designed to boost production and address critical product markets. Specifically, the government budget enacted in July 2023 played a crucial role in curbing inflation by substantially limiting expenditure growth to just 2 percent in nominal terms, resulting in negative growth in real terms, and reducing the deficit relative to GDP. As a result, annual headline inflation fell to 19.9 percent in 2023/24, down from 29.3 percent the previous year. This decline was primarily driven by decreases in both food and non-food components, which dropped by 5.2 percent and 15.6 percent, respectively. Despite a significant slowdown in the annual headline inflation, inflation remained above the single-digit target thereby signifying the need for a continued tight monetary stance.
Moreover, on the fiscal side, the government implemented significant measures to limit expenditure growth and reduce the deficit relative to GDP. Furthermore, it extended revenue mobilization and fiscal consolidation e°orts that have led to an increase in tax revenue. Consequently, domestic revenue experienced a 21.7 percent annual growth in 2023/24, while general government expenditure rose by 19.3 percent. This led to a budget deficit of 2.1 percent of GDP, an improvement from the 2.5 percent deficit recorded in the previous year.
In the external sector, the merchandise trade deficit widened in 2023/24 as the increase in import bills outpaced growth in export receipts. Merchandise exports rose by 4.8 percent, a notable recovery compared to the 11.8 percent decline experienced in the last fiscal year. The increase in export receipts was primarily driven by improvements in the sales of co°ee, gold, oilseeds, pulses, electricity, and live animals. Conversely, merchandise imports grew by 7.5 percent due to higher expenditures on capital goods, semi-finished goods, raw materials, and miscellaneous items. The current account deficit, including ocial transfers, widened as a result of the increasing trade deficit and a decline in net private transfers. However, net services and net ocial transfers showed positive improvement. The capital account also recorded a surplus increase compared to the previous year, mainly due to the rise in foreign direct investment (13.9 percent).
Regarding the foreign exchange market, the NBE continued to use a managed float exchange rate regime. Consequently, the Birr was allowed to depreciate by 5.0 percent in nominal terms against the US Dollar, while the real e°ective exchange rate appreciated by 23.1 percent due to elevated domestic inflation and the appreciation of the Birr against the currencies of Ethiopia’s major trading partners.
The NBE issued several regulatory and supervisory directives during the fiscal year to maintain the safety and soundness of the financial sector. Accordingly, the sector has remained stable and resilient in terms of key financial soundness indicators. In 2023/24, bank branch expansion at a strong pace, raising the number of bank branches to 12,278 from 11,281 a year ago. Their deposit mobilization also went by 15.3 percent to reach Birr 2.5 trillion. Similarly, their loan collection grew by 13.2 percent while loan disbursement declined by 15.7 percent. The sector’s non-performing loan ratio remained within the required limit of 5 percent. Additionally, insurance companies, microfinance institutions, and capital goods finance companies expanded their outreach by increasing their networks and products. Consequently, financial intermediation and access to finance, as well as financial inclusion have significantly improved during the review fiscal year.
Looking forward, the Ethiopian economy is expected to maintain a robust growth trajectory in 2024/25 and beyond, supported by ongoing reform e°orts and an improving macroeconomic environment. Downside risks include domestic inflationary pressure, and instability in some parts of the country that may limit the growth potential. Risks related to global economic conditions, such as geopolitical tensions, economic fragmentation, rising public debt, and commodity price fluctuations, could also pose challenges to the domestic economy. To mitigate these headwinds, the NBE is committed to further modernizing its monetary policy framework, supporting digitization, enhancing competition, enforcing sound financial system, and expanding financial inclusion.
In closing, I would like to commend the NBE management and sta°s for their commitment and hard work in realizing the strategic objectives of the Bank during the review fiscal year, and I call upon them for their continued support to achieve our common objective of ensuring the wellbeing and prosperity of Ethiopia in the next year and beyond. 1
In 2023/24, the Ethiopian economy encountered a range of domestic and global challenges. Domestically, the country faced high inflation, foreign exchange pressures, internal conflict, and adverse climate conditions, including drought in certain regions. On the global front, challenges included the Russia-Ukraine conflict, political tensions in the Middle East, a global economic slowdown, rising international prices for basic commodities, and reduced funding from donors and lenders.
Despite these obstacles, the Ethiopian economy has shown impressive resilience, achieving an annual growth rate of 8.1 percent in 2023/24, up from 7.2 percent in 2022/23. This growth not only outpaces the average for Sub-Saharan Africa but also reflects a broad-based improvement across key sectors. The service sector grew by 7.7 percent, the industrial sector by 9.2 percent, and agriculture by 7.0 percent, all of which represent increases compared to the previous year's growth rates of 7.9 percent, 6.9 percent, and 6.3 percent, respectively. This trend indicates a robust economic recovery and diversification, highlighting Ethiopia's potential for sustainable development.
The sustained high economic growth over the past 15 years has enabled Ethiopia to improve its per capita income, which reached USD 1,937 in 2023/24. It also resulted in improvement in income inequality, poverty reduction and expansion of critical infrastructure particularly in power and transport sectors. Notably, consumption expenditure was the major driver of domestic demand, accounting for 85.7 percent of GDP in 2023/24. Meanwhile, gross capital formation and domestic savings saw declines, constituting 20.5 percent and 14.3 percent of GDP, respectively.
During the fiscal year, NBE implemented various measures aimed at modernizing its policy objectives and tools. A new strategy plan was adopted that gave primacy to NBE’s role in maintaining price, external, and financial stability while also targeting improvements in the central bank’s internal capabilities and governance.
To combat inflation and achieve the target of 20.0 percent by June 2024, NBE has implemented a tight monetary policy stance throughout the fiscal year characterized by several strategic actions. The monetary policy actions includes limiting credit and base money growth to 14 percent; sharply reducing the annual direct advance allocation to Government; and raising interest rates on its emergency lending facility.
The monetary policy measures were complemented by fiscal consolidation and sector-specific initiatives designed to boost production and address critical product markets. Specifically, the government budget enacted in July 2023 played a crucial role in curbing inflation by substantially limiting expenditure growth to just 2 percent in nominal terms, resulting in negative growth in real terms, and reducing the deficit relative to GDP. As a result, annual headline inflation fell to 19.9 percent in 2023/24, down from 29.3 percent the previous year. This decline was primarily driven by decreases in both food and non-food components, which dropped by 5.2 percent and 15.6 percent, respectively. Despite a significant slowdown in the annual headline inflation, inflation remained above the single-digit target thereby signifying the need for a continued tight monetary stance.
Moreover, on the fiscal side, the government implemented significant measures to limit expenditure growth and reduce the deficit relative to GDP. Furthermore, it extended revenue mobilization and fiscal consolidation e°orts that have led to an increase in tax revenue. Consequently, domestic revenue experienced a 21.7 percent annual growth in 2023/24, while general government expenditure rose by 19.3 percent. This led to a budget deficit of 2.1 percent of GDP, an improvement from the 2.5 percent deficit recorded in the previous year.
In the external sector, the merchandise trade deficit widened in 2023/24 as the increase in import bills outpaced growth in export receipts. Merchandise exports rose by 4.8 percent, a notable recovery compared to the 11.8 percent decline experienced in the last fiscal year. The increase in export receipts was primarily driven by improvements in the sales of co°ee, gold, oilseeds, pulses, electricity, and live animals. Conversely, merchandise imports grew by 7.5 percent due to higher expenditures on capital goods, semi-finished goods, raw materials, and miscellaneous items. The current account deficit, including ocial transfers, widened as a result of the increasing trade deficit and a decline in net private transfers. However, net services and net ocial transfers showed positive improvement. The capital account also recorded a surplus increase compared to the previous year, mainly due to the rise in foreign direct investment (13.9 percent).
Regarding the foreign exchange market, the NBE continued to use a managed float exchange rate regime. Consequently, the Birr was allowed to depreciate by 5.0 percent in nominal terms against the US Dollar, while the real e°ective exchange rate appreciated by 23.1 percent due to elevated domestic inflation and the appreciation of the Birr against the currencies of Ethiopia’s major trading partners.
The NBE issued several regulatory and supervisory directives during the fiscal year to maintain the safety and soundness of the financial sector. Accordingly, the sector has remained stable and resilient in terms of key financial soundness indicators. In 2023/24, bank branch expansion at a strong pace, raising the number of bank branches to 12,278 from 11,281 a year ago. Their deposit mobilization also went by 15.3 percent to reach Birr 2.5 trillion. Similarly, their loan collection grew by 13.2 percent while loan disbursement declined by 15.7 percent. The sector’s non-performing loan ratio remained within the required limit of 5 percent. Additionally, insurance companies, microfinance institutions, and capital goods finance companies expanded their outreach by increasing their networks and products. Consequently, financial intermediation and access to finance, as well as financial inclusion have significantly improved during the review fiscal year.
Looking forward, the Ethiopian economy is expected to maintain a robust growth trajectory in 2024/25 and beyond, supported by ongoing reform e°orts and an improving macroeconomic environment. Downside risks include domestic inflationary pressure, and instability in some parts of the country that may limit the growth potential. Risks related to global economic conditions, such as geopolitical tensions, economic fragmentation, rising public debt, and commodity price fluctuations, could also pose challenges to the domestic economy. To mitigate these headwinds, the NBE is committed to further modernizing its monetary policy framework, supporting digitization, enhancing competition, enforcing sound financial system, and expanding financial inclusion.
In closing, I would like to commend the NBE management and sta°s for their commitment and hard work in realizing the strategic objectives of the Bank during the review fiscal year, and I call upon them for their continued support to achieve our common objective of ensuring the wellbeing and prosperity of Ethiopia in the next year and beyond. 2
OVERALL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
I. THE OVERALL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE The Ethiopian economy continued to grow with annual average growth rate of 7.9 percent from 2014/15 to 2023/24. During the fiscal year 2023/24, the economy registered 8.1 percent growth compared to 3.6 percent growth forecast for Sub-Saharan African countries (WEO, October 2024). This growth was attributed to service (38.1 percent), industry (33.1 percent) and agriculture (27.8 percent) sectors. The nominal GDP per capita went up to USD 1,937 in 2023/24 from USD 1,549 in the preceding year, signifying a 25.1 percent annual increase while real per capita GDP marginally rose by 0.3 percent to reach USD 429.2. The Ethiopian economy is projected to grow by 8.4 percent in 2024/25 performance improvement in (MoPD, 2024) compared with 4.2 percent forecast for Sub-Saharan African countries (WEO, October 2024). 1.1 Economic Growth ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 4 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Table 1.1: Sectorial Contributions to GDP and GDP Growth Source: Ministry of Planning and Development (MoPD) (In Billions of Birr) 5 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Items Year 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Sector Agriculture 580.4 600.8 623.8 650.3 686.4 728.4 774.0 827.9 Industry 414.7 467.5 526.2 576.9 618.8 649.2 694.2 758.4 Services 619.3 671.8 747.3 786.9 836.2 899.8 971.3 1046.1 Total 1,614.3 1,740.1 1897.4 2,014.1 2,141.5 2,277.5 2,439.5 2,632.4 Less FISIM 17.0 19.8 21.0 24.5 27.2 28.8 29.6 28.4 Real GDP 1,596.5 1,719.5 1,874.7 1,989.6 2,114.2 2,248.7 2,409.9 2,604.0 Growth in Real GDP 10.1 7.7 9.0 6.1 6.3 6.4 7.2 8.1 Per capita GDP (USD) (Nominal) 876 883 985 1,080 1,092 1,218 1,549 1,937 Growth in per capita GDP 7.5 0.9 11.6 9.6 1.1 11.6 27.1 25.1 Mid-year population (in millions) 93.4 95.5 97.6 99.7 101.9 104.1 105.7 108.4 Share in GDP (in %) Agriculture 36.3 34.9 33.3 32.7 32.5 32.4 32.1 31.8 Industry 25.9 27.0 28.1 29.0 29.3 28.9 28.8 29.1 Services 38.8 39.2 39.8 39.5 39.6 40.0 40.3 40.2 Agriculture Real Growth rate 6.7 3.5 3.8 4.3 5.6 6.1 6.3 7.0 Contribution to real GDP growth 2.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.2 Growth contribution in percent 24.6 16.4 14.7 22.8 29.0 31.2 28.2 27.8 Industry Real Growth rate 20.6 12.7 12.6 9.6 7.3 4.9 6.9 9.2 Contribution to real GDP growth 4.8 3.3 3.4 2.6 2.1 1.4 2.0 2.7 Growth contribution in percent 47.3 42.5 37.5 42.4 33.6 22.6 27.9 33.1 Services Real Growth rate 7.5 8.5 11.0 5.3 6.3 7.6 7.9 7.7 Contribution to real GDP growth 3.0 3.3 4.3 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.1 Growth contribution in percent 29.3 42.3 48.2 34.0 39.1 46.7 43.8 38.1
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 6 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA The agricultural sector showed moderate growth of 7.0 percent in 2023/24 mainly due to 7.8 percent expansion in crop production which accounted for 66.7 percent of total agricultural production (Table 1.3). The share of agriculture in GDP slightly dropped to 31.8 in 2023/24 from 32.1 percent a year ago (Table 1.1). Likewise, the industrial sector registered 9.2 percent annual growth and contributed 33.1 percent to the overall economic growth. Manufacturing, with an 8.4 percent expansion, contributed about 21.2 percent share to industrial output and 7 percent to real GDP growth during the review period. The construction sector contributed around 23 percent to GDP and 70.1 percent to industrial sector. On the other hand, the service sector had a 40.2 percent share in the overall economy and it registered a 7.7 percent annual growth. Its contribution to the GDP growth was 38.1 percent. Whole sale and retail trade had the larger share; constituting about 14.6 percent of the economy followed by transport & communications (5.9 percent), real estates, renting & business activities (4.7 percent), public administration & defense (3.9 percent), financial intermediation (3.5 percent), hotels & restaurants (2.5 percent), education (1.9 percent) and health & social work (1.4 percent). 1.2 GDP by Sector Fig.I.1: GDP Growth by Major Sectors Source: Ministry of planning and development (MoPD) 4.3 5.5 6.1 6.3 7 9.6 7.3 4.9 6.9 9.2 5.3 6.3 7.6 7.9 7.7 6.1 6.3 6.4 7.2 8.1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Agriculture Industry Service Real GDP
7 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 1.2: Growth and Percentage Distribution of Major Agricultural, Industrial and Service Sub-sectors Source: Ministry of Planning and Development (MoPD)
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 8 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 1.3: Expenditure on GDP and Gross Domestic Savings The total consumption expenditure (public and private) as a percent of GDP marginally increased to 85.7 percent in 2023/24 from 85.2 percent in the preceding year. The growth was mainly attributed to 1.3 percentage point rise in private consumption expenditure, despite the 0.8 percentage point decline in government consumption expenditure. On the other hand, gross domestic saving saw a 0.5 percentage point decline and reached 14.3 percent of GDP. Likewise, the ratios of gross capital formation to GDP and government consumption to GDP during the review period dropped by 1.7 and 0.8 percentage points respectively. Similarly, the domestic absorption to GDP ratio declined by 1.2 percentage point vis-à-vis last fiscal year and reached 106.7 percent of GDP. 1.3 GDP by Expenditure Components (As Percentage of GDP) Year Domestic Absorption Consumption Expenditure Gross Capital Formation Resource Balance Exports of Goods & Services Imports of Goods & Services Gross Domestic Savings Total Govt. Pvt. 2011/12 116.4 80.4 9.5 71.0 36.0 (17.4) 13.4 30.8 19.6 2012/13 115.2 82.2 10.2 71.9 33.0 (16.1) 12.2 28.2 17.8 2013/14 116.2 79.3 10.6 68.8 36.8 (17.0) 11.3 28.4 20.7 2014/15 116.1 77.9 10.3 67.6 38.2 (20.4) 9.1 29.5 22.1 2015/16 115.0 77.6 11.1 66.5 37.3 (19.3) 7.8 27.1 22.4 2016/17 116.1 77.6 11.1 66.5 38.4 (15.8) 7.6 23.5 22.4 2017/18 109.8 75.7 10.2 65.5 34.1 (14.4) 8.4 22.8 24.3 2018/19 112.9 77.7 9.2 68.5 35.2 (12.9) 7.9 20.8 22.3 2019/20 109.8 79.2 9.1 70.0 30.6 (9.8) 7.1 16.9 20.8 2020/21 109.1 81.1 8.8 72.2 28.0 (9.1) 7.6 16.7 18.9 2021/22 110.1 84.8 7.4 77.4 25.3 (10.1) 8.2 18.4 15.2 2022/23 107.4 85.2 6.3 78.9 22.2 (7.4) 6.6 14.0 14.8 2023/24 106.2 85.7 5.5 80.2 20.5 (6.2) 5.6 11.8 14.3 Average 2019/20- 2023/24 108.5 83.2 7.4 75.8 25.3 -8.5 7.0 15.5 16.8 Average 2014/15- 2023/24 111.2 80.3 8.9 71.3 31.0 -12.5 7.6 20.1 19.7 Source: Ministry of Planning and Development (MoPD)
9 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table: 1.4: Numbers, Amount of Credit and Jobs Created through MSEs Source: Federal Urban Job Creation and Food Security Agency (FeUJCFSA) Source: Federal Urban Jobs Creation and Food Security Agency 282,193 new micro and small scale enterprises (MSEs) were established during 2023/24. These enterprises created employment opportunities for about 2.6 million people and acquired about Birr 17 billion in loans for their operations. 1.4 Micro and Small-Scale Enterprises (Credit in Millions of Birr) (Credit in Millions of Birr) Particulars 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 No. of MSE’s 160,099 208,667 282,193 Amount of credit 9,444.2 10,557 17,029 No of Total employment 2,009,140 4,467,023 2,568,340 Table: 1.5: Numbers, Amount of Credit and Jobs Created through MSEs by Region
! 2,829 86 2,421 23 646 10 16 5,543 387 559 252 1,156 140 2,961 0.0 1000.0 2000.0 3000.0 4000.0 5000.0 6000.0 Addis Ababa Afar Amhara Ben.Gumuz Diredawa Gambela Harari Oromia Central Ethiopia South Ehiopia Sidama Somale South West Ethiopia Tigray Millions of Birr ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 10 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA In terms of regional distribution, 62.7 percent of the newly established MSEs were located in Oromia followed by Tigray (10.2 percent), Amhara (10.1 percent), Central Ethiopia region (4.1 percent), South Ethiopia region (3.9 percent), Addis Ababa (2.1 percent), Sidama (1.8 percent), South west Ethiopia (1.7 percent), Somali (1.5 percent) and other regions (1.9 percent). With respect to total loans, SMEs in Oromia received 32.5 percent, Tigray 17.4 percent, Addis Ababa 16.6 percent, Amhara 14.2 percent, Somali 6.8 percent; Dire Dawa 3.8 percent, South Ethiopia region 3.3 percent, Sidama 1.5 percent and other regions 1.6 percent. Of the total jobs created by these enterprises, about 76 percent was in Oromia, 10.9 percent in Amhara, 3.4 percent in southern Ethiopia region, 3 percent in central Ethiopia region, 1.3 percent in Tigray and 1.1 percent in Somali; Addis Ababa and South West Ethiopia region 1 percent each. Source: Federal Urban Jobs Creation and Food Security Agency Source: Federal Urban Jobs Creation and Food Security Agency Fig.I.2: Annual Distribution of Numbers of MSEs during 2023/24 Fig.I.3: Annual Distribution of Amount of Credit to MSEs during 2023/24
11 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.I.4: Annual Distribution of Employment Created by MSEs during 2023/24 Source: Federal Urban Jobs Creation and Food Security Agency 24,983 12,781 279,888 11,775 2,409 4,663 2,528 1,952,570 78,042 87,099 22,700 28,078 26,534 34,290 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 Addis Ababa Afar Amhara Ben.Gumuz Diredawa Gambela Harari Oro mia Central Ethiopia South Ehiopia Sidama Somale South West Ethiopia Tigray The proportion of population with access to potable water supply improved by 2.4 percentage point to reach 69.5 percent (66.6 percent for rural and 79.1 percent for urban population); relative to 67.1 percent (64.5 percent rural and 75.7 percent urban people) a year ago (Table 1.7). In terms of access to potable water, Oromia registered 87.4 percent followed by Gambella (83.9 percent), Amhara (75.1 percent), Benishangul Gumuz (69.4 percent), Dire Dawa (61 percent), Sidama (60.4 percent), Addis Ababa (57 percent), Afar (54.7 percent), Central Ethiopia (53.4 percent), Southern Ethiopia (52 percent), Somali (47.4 percent), South West Ethiopia (42.8 percent) and Harari (40 percent). Regarding access to potable water in urban areas, Oromia had 89.4 percent share followed by Gambella (75.6 percent), Amhara (75.1 percent), Benshangul Gumuz (72.1 percent), Sidama (66.7 percent), Central Ethiopia region (63.3 percent), Southern Ethiopia region (62 percent), South West Ethiopia (59 percent), Addis Ababa (57 percent), Afar (55.1 percent), Somali (51.4 percent), Dire Dawa (45 percent) and Harari (26 percent). In terms of access to potable water in rural areas, Gambella registered the highest (93.2 percent) followed by Dire Dawa (91 percent), Oromia (88.5 percent), Amhara (75.1 percent), Benishangul Gumuz (68.4 percent), Sidama (58.4 percent), Afar (54.2 percent), Harari (53 percent), Central Ethiopia (51 percent), Southern Ethiopia (50 percent), Somali (45.7 percent) and South West Ethiopia (39.7 percent) (Table 1.7). 1.5 Access to Water Supply
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 12 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 1 This result has been computed based on 2nd water supply inventory Table 1.6: Percentages of People with Access to Potable Water by Region Fig.I.5: Access to water supply by Region 2023/24 (in %) Regions 2022/23 2023/24 Change in percentage point Rural Urban Total Rural Urban Total A B C D E F D-A E-B F-C Tigray - - - - - - - - - Afar 52.3 62.7 50.8 54.2 55.1 54.7 1.9 -7.6 3.9 Amhara 73.9 72.2 73.6 75.1 1.2 2.9 1.4 Oromia 87.9 88.3 86.7 88.5 89.4 87.4 0.7 1.1 0.7 Somali 41.5 47.9 43.4 45.7 51.4 47.4 4.2 3.5 4.0 B.Gumuz 65.1 62.9 64.6 68.4 72.1 69.4 3.3 9.1 4.8 Gambella 86.2 63.2 76.7 93.2 75.6 83.9 7.0 12.4 7.2 Harari 63 24.0 44.0 53.0 26.0 40.0 -10.0 2.0 -4.0 D. Dawa 78 68 77 91.0 45.0 61.0 13.0 -23.0 -16.0 Sidama 54.26 62.4 55.3 58.4 66.7 60.4 4.1 4.3 5.1 Southwest Ethiopia 38.7 46.0 39.8 39.7 59.0 42.8 - - - Central Ethiopia - - - 51.0 63.3 53.4 - - - South Ethiopia - - - 50.0 62.0 52.0 - - - AA - 55.0 55.0 - 57.0 57.0 - 2.0 2.0 Total 64.5 75.7 67.1 66.6 79.1 69.5 2.1 3.4 2.4 Source: Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Energy and NBE Sta° Computation1 Source: Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Energy; and NBE Sta° Computation 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 Addis Ababa A mhara Oro mia Afar S o mali Ben-Gumuz Harari Gambella Dire Dawa Sidama S WER CER SER National Rural Urban Total
13 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 1.6 Road Sector Development 1.6.1 Road Network Road transport is the dominant and crucial mode of transport in Ethiopia. Hence, road transport network has improved over the last decades which facilitated accessibility and mobility of agricultural and industrial products. In 2023/24, total road network reached 171,176 Km, which depicted a 3.2 percent annual expansion. The country’s total road network consisted of 66,288 Km (38.7 percent) woreda road, 39,891 Km (23.3 percent) urban road, 34,174 Km (20 percent) rural road and 30,823 Km (18 percent) federal road. The Federal roads included 18,754 Km (60.8 percent) asphalt network and 12,069 Km (39.2 percent) gravel road. Total asphalt road accounted for about 11.0 percent of the total road network. Table 1.7: Classification of Road Network Source: Ethiopian Roads Authority
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 14 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 1.6.2 Road Density The proper level of road network is assessed by road density as measured by road length per 1,000 persons or by road length per 1,000 km2. At the end of 2023/24, road density per 1,000 square Km was 149.1 km depicting a 3.2 percent improvement over the previous year. Meanwhile, road density per 1,000 population reached 1.44 km sharing a 2.1 percent annual improvement (Table 1.9). 1.6.3 Road Accessibility Annual average distance from all-weather roads increased by 7.3 percent from 4.1 Km in 2022/23 to 4.4 Km 2023/24. Similarly, the proportion of area more than 5 km from all-weather roads went up to 32 percent from 29.8 percent a year ago (Table 1.10). Regarding, the status of road transport network about 22 percent of the asphalt road and 5 percent of the gravel road were in good condition (Figure I.6). Table 1.8: Road Densities Year Road Density /1000 person Road density /1000 sq. km 2010/11 0.65 48.3 2011/12 0.75 57.3 2012/13 1.00 78.2 2013/14 1.10 90.5 2014/15 1.20 100.4 2015/16 1.23 102.8 2016/17 1.30 109.2 2017/18 1.30 115.2 2018/19 1.43 130.9 2019/20 1.41 131.3 2020/21 1.42 135.8 2021/22 1.43 141.0 2022/23 1.41 144.5 2023/24 1.44 149.1 Growth rate 2.13 3.2 Source: Ethiopian Roads Authority
15 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 1.9: Road Accessibility Indicator 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage change Proportion of area more than 5Km from all-weather road 29.8 32.0 7.4 Average distance from all-weather roads 4.1 4.4 7.3 Source: Ethiopian Roads Authority Fig.I.6: Status of Roads Source: Ethiopian Roads Authority 73 28.5 26 24 22 22 62 13.6 14 5 71 20.1 20.8 22 26.7 25.9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Asphalt Roads in Good Condition Gravel Roads in Goods Condition Total Roads Network in Good Condition 1.6.4 Road Sector Financing During the review period, total investment in road construction and expansion increased by 18.4 percent to Birr 82.5 billion from Birr 69.7 billion a year ago (Table 1.11 and fig.I.7). Investment in Federal road construction and expansion constituted 79.3 percent of the total road investment capital (Birr 65.4 billion), while regional roads accounted for 10.9 percent followed by woreda road (5.3 percent) and urban road (4.4 percent) (Table 1.11) and (Fig.1.7).
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 16 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 1.10: Investments in the Road Sector Fig.I.7 Investment in Road Construction and Expansion Source: Ethiopian Roads Authority
17 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA The education sector has showed improvement in terms of coverage during the last few years. The sector has the objective of ensuring e°ective, quality and equitable education and training system to produce ecient, e°ective and innovative citizens. Primary and middle school (grades 1-8) enrolments during 2023/24 marginally increased to 19.2 million from 19.1 million in the previous fiscal year; due to the marginal increase in gross enrolment ratio of grade (G1-6) and middle level (G7-8) by 0.7 and 2 percentage point respectively. During the review period, the number of primary schools reached 37,310 from 37,051 of the preceding year with additional establishment of 259 new schools. Of the total number of primary schools, 29,189 (78.2 percent) were located in rural areas and 8,121 (21.8 percent) in urban centers. On the other hand, secondary education enrolment went down by 13.7 percent relative to the preceding year and reached to 3.3 million. By the end of 2023/24 the number of secondary schools reached 3,762 exhibiting a slight increment over the previous year. The enrolment in technical & vocational education and training (TVET) during the fiscal year was 240,975 depicting 12.9 percent increase relative to the previous year. During the fiscal year the number of TVET institutions run by both government and non-government ownership was 1,394. The share of education expenditure from the annual government expenditure in 2023/24 was 19.7 percent which was 0.9 percentage point lower than the preceding year. 1.7 Developments in Education Sector
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 18 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 1.11: Education Sector Data Indicators 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number of primary schools (urban, rural) & including others 36,437 37,039 37,742 35,980 36,492 37,051 37,310 i Urban 5,504 5,799 5,305 3,612 5,692 8,646 8,121 ii. Rural 30,933 31,188 31,586 30,038 30,800 28,405 29,189 Number of secondary schools (urban, rural) & including others 3,589 3,739 3,687 3,481 3,636 3,733 3,762 i. Urban 2,171 2,247 1,938 1,379 2,027 2,436 1,308 ii. Rural 1,418 1,490 1525 1,770 1,609 1,297 2,454 No of TVET centers (public, private, mission) 919 1,567 1,568 1,602 1,870 1,408 1,394 Number of tertiary level institutions (public, private) 177 227 329 332 429 Universities 49 50 55 56 53 Participation of women in higher education institutions (%) 34.1 35.5 39.7 45.5 45.5 42 Primary enrolment (in millions) 20.7 20.04 20.4 18.4 19.2 19.1 19.2 Secondary enrolment (in thousands) 2,666 2,820 3,466 3,540 3,867 3,769 3,254 TVET enrolment 292,378 317,727 386,811 283,968 283,968 213,385 240,975 Middle school (Grade 7-8) enrolment ratio (%) NA 68.6 65.9 67.9 a. Girls' gross enrolment ratio (%) 43 70 66.6 67 b. Boys' gross enrolment ratio (%) 40 67.1 65.1 68.8 Gross primary (Grade 1-6) enrolment ratio (%) 102.6 105.9 105.4 106.1 a. Girls' gross enrolment ratio (%) 107.8 111 110.0 109.9 b. Boys' gross enrolment ratio (%) 97.3 100.7 100.6 102.2 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
19 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Indicators 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Primary net enrolment rate (%) 100.05 94.7 95.3 86.4 92.6 94.1 NA No. of students registered in the primary schools (1-6) (in millions) 13.5 12.7 12.8 15.3 16.6 NA NA No. of students registered in the middle schools (7-8) (in millions) 7.2 7.3 7.6 3.1 3.2 NA NA Number of students registered in the secondary schools (9- 12) (in millions) 2.1 2.2 2.3 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.7 Completion rate of primary School (%) 57.7 62.1 71 69.8 63.8 71.4 60.2 Girls/boys ratio in primary schools (%) 88.1 88.1 88.6 89.1 89.8 72.6 91.6 Girls/boys ratio in secondary schools (%) 86.4 84.7 85 92.2 94.4 70.2 100.9 Girls/boys ratio in TVET (%) 103.4 81.8 50.5 49.5 49.5 51.6 51.8 Girls/boys ratio in higher education (%) 51.8 52.1 53 54 54 42.5 39 Grade 1-8(primary) repetition rates (%) 5.3 4.1 5 4 3 2.9 4.4 Primary school dropout rate (%) 11.1 17.5 13.9 14.5 13.4 15.8 17.4 1 st grade dropout rate (%) 19.5 25 22 25.8 14.8 21 20.9 Pupil to teacher ratio i. Grade (1-8) 43 39 39 34.8 34.6 36.4 35.5 ii. Grade (9-12) 26 22.5 24 27.4 27.7 26.6 22.6 iii. TEVT 15 13.3 13.3 1:11 1:11 1:18 1:17 iv. In higher education 17 20.3 30:1 30:1 28:1 1:18 1:9 Pupil to Section Ratio i. Grade (1-8) 56 53 52.5 43.7 53.5 50.1 50.1 ii. Grade (9-12) 56 49.7 64.3 47.5 77.9 60.2 60.9
Indicators 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number of classrooms in primary schools 380,979 502,738 379601 422139 359,250 382,842 364,778 Pupil to Textbook Ratio i. Grade (1-8) 4.1 4 4 NB 5.1 NB NB 4.1 4 4 NA ii. Grade (9-12) 12 10.9 9 7.9 6.3 NB 6 12 10.9 9 7.9 Pupil to School Ratio i. Grade (1-8) 628 628 528 512.7 526.6 517.6 513.3 ii. Grade (9-12) 568 940 1017 1063.6 1009.6 864.9 iii. TEVT 318 246.8 246.6 177.2 158 151.5 172.8 Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 5(%) 53 53 54 NA Percentage of female enrolled in undergraduate degree (%) 36 37 37.8 37.5 38.3 30 39.9 Percentage of female graduated in under-graduate degree (%) 33.2 35.8 NA 38 38.3 30 36.8 Percentage of female enrolled in post-graduate degree 16.6 18.1 10 20.2 22.7 25.7 29.5 Percentage of female graduated in post- graduate degree 17.6 20 NA 24.7 22.7 22.7 27.5 Annual education share of the national expenditure {%} 25 24.9 24.9 23.6 21.7 20.6 19.7 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 20 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Note: a. The previous classification of Primary Education in Ethiopia which consists grades (1 to 8), and was implemented in two cycles, Primary 1st cycle (Grades 1-4), and Primary 2nd cycle (Grades 5-8). Based on the new Education Road Map, since 2020/21, the classification system has been changed to Primary education (Grades 1-6) and Middle school (Grades 7-8). b. The report does not include data of Tigray region. Telecommunication is the prime engine to support the 2020 (E.C.) Ethiopian Digital Transformation Strategy and harness technology to drive economic growth. Expansion of infrastructure development such as telecommunication would have a significant impact on attracting investment, creating market opportunities, enhancing competitiveness and boosting regional economic integration. Cognizant of this fact, the Ethiopian government has made major investment for improving service quality, expansion of service coverage and enhancing institutional capacity in the telecom sector. As a result, Ethio-telecom has set ambitious targets to enhance customer acquisition, customer satisfaction and provision of quality services to customers. 1.8 Telecommunication
Source: Ethio-Telecom Note: Total subscriber base doesn't include internet and data user. Table 1.12: Number of Subscribers (In 000’) 21 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Service Type 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change Total subscriber 71,922 78,342 8.9 Mobile voice subscriber 69,500 75,594 8.8 Internet and data subscriber 1,569 1,927 22.8 Fixed voice service subscriber 854 822 -3.7 Internet and data user 33,897 41,193 21.5 Mobile voice 69,500 75,594 8.8 Residential 68,478 74,599 8.9 Enterprises 1,020 994 -2.5 Broad band & internet subscriber 1,222 1,535 25.6 Residential 926 1,186 28.1 Enterprises 296 349 17.9 Narrow band data & internet subscriber 347 392 13.0 Residential 0.2 - - Enterprises 347 392 13.0 Fixed voice 854 822 -3.7 Residential 491 464 -5.5 Enterprises 363 357 -1.7 Broad band data & internet user 33,435 40,801 22.0 Broad band data Residential 32,197 40,001 24.2 Broad band data enterprise 1,239 800 -35.4 Narrow data & internet user 461 393 -14.8 Narrow band residential 0.4 - - Narrow band enterprise 461 392 -15.0 In 2023/24, total number of subscribers reached 78.3 million with a 8.9 percent annual expansion. This was attributed to 8.8 percent increase in mobile voice and 22.8 percent increase in internet & data subscribers. On the other hand, 3.7 percent decline is observed in fixed voice service subscriber. Of the total subscriber, mobile voice accounted for a lion’s share of 75.6 million (96.5 percent) followed by internet & data 1.9 million or 2.5 percent) and fixed voice service (822 thousand or 1 percent) (Table 1.13).
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 22 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 1.13: Telecom Density Table 1.14: Financial Performance and Asset of Ethio-Telecom Tele density/100 Subscribers* 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Fixed line 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 Mobile 52.9 62 65.4 69.6 Total 54.8 62.8 66.2 71.0 Internet and data 24.3 24.8 31.5 37.4 Source: Ethio-Telecom *Tele-density is mobile plus fixed telephone subscribers per 100 inhabitants The income of Ethio-telecom increased 26.2 percent to Birr 95.7 billion in 2023/24 vis-à-vis Birr 75.8 billion registered a year ago. At same time, its total expenses rose to Birr 57.5 billion depicting a 35.8 percent annual increment. Consequently, Ethio-telecom earned a gross profit of Birr 29.8 billion in 2023/24 that was 3.8 percent higher than the previous year (Table 1.16). (In Billions of Birr) Finance and Asset 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A B C C/A C/B Income 62.2 75.8 95.7 53.8 26.2 Expense 31.9 42.3 57.5 80.3 35.8 Gross Profit 30.3 28.7 29.8 -1.7 3.8 Assets 40.2 143.3 156.2 288.6 9.0 Depreciation 6.4 6.2 8.4 30.6 34.6 Source: Ethio – telecom The country’s telecommunication penetration rate (telecom density) increased from 66.2 percent in 2022/23 to 71 percent in 2023/24 as a result of improvement in mobile density to 69.6 percent compared to 65.4 percent in the previous year. At the same time, internet and data density rose to 37.4 percent from 31.5 percent a year ago. On the contrary, fixed line density went down to 0.7 per 100 subscribers relative to the 0.8 per 100 subscribers a year ago (Table 1.14).
ENERGY PRODUCTION
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA II. ENERGY PRODUCTION Ethiopia has a huge potential for renewable electric power generation from hydro, wind, solar and geothermal sources. Hydro remains the predominant energy source though it is vulnerable to the e°ects of climatic changes. According to the Ethiopian Electric Power (EEP), the country has an estimated hydro-power potential of 45,000 MW, a geothermal (10,000 MW) and wind farm (1.3 million MW). Ethiopia has set an ambition to fully meet the domestic energy demand through renewable energy. To achieve this objective, the government has been implementing various renewable energy projects such as the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), wind farms, bio-mass sources, and geothermal plants. In 2023/24, the total amount of electric power generated was about 20.6 billion KWH, about 16.3 percent higher than the previous year. 19.87 billion KWH (96.5 percent) of the electric power was generated from hydropower, 3.3 percent from wind and 0.2 percent from bio-mass sources (Table 2.1). About 684.7 million KWH wind energy was produced from Adama I (51 MW), Adama II (153 MW), Ashegoda (120 MW), and Ayisha II wind farms. In addition, a process was underway to undertake the construction of Ayisha I (300 MW) wind power project. Ethiopia is also identified to possess a promising potential for solar energy due to its geographical location near the equator. In its bid to become a major power exporter and green economy in East Africa, the country has been building several geothermal power plants which are expected to contribute towards enhancing Ethiopia’s economic growth and to its bid to become a carbon-neutral middle income economy. 2.1 Electric Power Generation Table 2.1: Electric Power Generation in Interconnected System (in kilowatts hour) Source 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change [A] Share (In %) [B] Share (In %) [C] Share (In %) [C/A] [C/B] Hydro Power 14,914,367.2 96.2 17,126,115.6 96.7 19,868,434.9 96.5 33.2 16.0 Thermal Power - - - - - - - Geothermal - - - - - - - Wind 560,562.1 3.6 575,617.1 3.3 684,651.1 3.3 22.1 18.9 Biomass 29,149.8 0.2 6,575.0 0.0 41,123.8 0.2 41.1 525.5 Total 15,504,079.1 100 17,708,307.7 100 20,594,209.8 100 32.8 16.3 Source: Ethiopian Electric Power
25 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA In 2023/24, the Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise imported about 3.8 million metric tons of petroleum products worth Birr 197.5 billion which was 3.1 percent lower than that of the previous year due to slowdown the combined e°ect of the reduction in international oil price in import volume. The volume of imported gas oil (accounting for 60.7 percent of total petroleum import) declined by 7.2 percent. On the other hand, the total volume of jet fuel, fuel oil and regular gasoline imports increased. In terms of value import of these petroleum products (fuel oil, jet fuel and regular gasoline) rose while that of gas oil declined (Table 2.2). 2.2 Volume and Value of Petroleum Imports Table 2.2 Volume and Value of Petroleum Imports Source: Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise Fig.II.1: Trends in Volume of Petroleum Imports (In MT) Source: Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise (Volume in MT and Value in '000 Birr) Petroleum Products 2022/23 2023/24 Volume Value Volume Value Percentage Change A B C D C/A D/B Regular Gasoline (MGR) 706,499.4 37,906,113.5 708,569.7 39,841,056.0 0.3 5.1 Jet Fuel 621,715.4 31,711,252.4 672,561.0 35,283,000.2 8.2 11.3 Fuel Oil 65,442.0 1,885,446.0 69,380.6 2,455,560.3 6.0 30.2 Gas Oil (ADO) 2,546,849.9 132,302,935.2 2,362,773.6 119,875,256.5 -7.2 -9.4 Total 3,940,506.7 203,805,747.0 3,813,284.9 197,454,873.1 -3.2 -3.1 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 MGR Jet Fuel Fuel Oil Gas Oil
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 26 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.II.2: Trends in Value of Petroleum Imports (In ‘000’) Table 2.3: Annual Retail Prices of Petroleum Products in Addis Ababa 0 20000000 40000000 60000000 80000000 100000000 120000000 140000000 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 MGR Jet Fuel Fuel Oil Gas Oil Source: Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise Source: Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise Following the li´ing up of fuel subsidy, domestic retail prices were adjusted upwards despite the reduction in international oil price. Accordingly, retail prices of regular gasoline rose 27.9 percent followed by gas oil and kerosene (23.6 percent each) and fuel oil (17.6 percent) while jet fuel price declined (7.4 percent) (Table 2.3). (Birr/liter) Year Quarter Regular Gasoline (MGR) Fuel Oil Gas Oil Kerosene Jet fuel 2021/22 Qtr.1 25.86 40.05 23.18 23.18 47.76 Qtr.2 29.78 44.70 27.02 27.02 56.43 Qtr.3 31.74 68.33 28.94 28.94 68.29 Qtr.4 35.16 95.81 33.27 33.27 79.46 Average 30.64 62.22 28.10 28.10 62.99 2022/23 Qtr.1 50.90 105.47 52.65 52.65 94.03 Qtr.2 59.88 100.74 64.83 64.83 73.41 Qtr.3 61.29 98.37 67.30 67.30 70.60 Qtr.4 69.52 114.60 71.15 71.15 65.35 Average 60.40 104.79 63.98 63.98 75.85 2023/24 Qtr.1 74.01 120.47 75.75 75.75 68.33 Qtr.2 77.65 123.52 79.75 79.75 70.83 Qtr.3 77.65 123.52 79.75 79.75 70.83 Qtr.4 79.64 125.58 81.08 81.08 70.83 Average 77.24 123.27 79.08 79.08 70.21 Annual percentage change 27.88 17.63 23.60 23.60 -7.44
27 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.II.3: Trends in Average Fuel Price in Addis Ababa ! 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 MGR Fuel Oil Gas Oil Kerosene Jet Fuel ! 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 MGR Fuel Oil Gas Oil Kerosene Jet Fuel Source: Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise
PRICE DEVELOPMENTS
29 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA III. PRICE DEVELOPMENTS In 2023/24, the annual average headline inflation rate dropped to 26.6 percent 32.5 percent from a year ago. Food inflation contributed 16.7 percent and non-food inflation 9.9 percent to the annualized average headline inflation. The slowdown was attributed to 3.6 percentage point decline in annual average food inflation and 9.5 percentage point drop in average annual non-food inflation (Table 3.2). The underlying reasons for the fall in food inflation was the decrease in the inflation rate of meat (12.2 percentage points), ‘fish & sea food’ (116.4 percentage points), ‘milk, cheese and egg’ (19.5 percentage points), ‘oils & fats’ (40.4 percentage points), fruits (27.8 percentage points) and non-alcoholic beverages by (35.3 percentage points) (Table 3.3). Bread & cereals contributed the highest (14.4 percent) to the 28.1 percent annualized average inflation rate. Meanwhile, the decline in annualized average non-food inflation rate was mainly attributed to the fall in inflation rate of ‘clothing and foot wear’ (25.1 percentage points), ‘furniture & household equipment’ (28.8 percentage points), restaurant and hotels (14.6 percentage points) and ‘recreation & culture (49.4 percentage points). ‘Housing, water, electricity, gas & fuels’ were the major absolute contributors (8.9 percent) to the 24.4 percent average annual non-food inflation in 2023/24(Table 3.4). Year-on-year, general inflation declined to 19.9 percent from 29.3 percent a year ago on account of 15.6 percentage points decrease in non-food inflation and 5.2 percentage points in food inflation. Food inflation contributed 13.5 percent and non-food inflation 6.4 percent to its absolute growth (Table 3.1). 3.1 Developments in Consumer Price at National Level Table 3.1: National Annual Year-on Year Inflation Rates (in %) Inflations Weight (in %) 2022/23 2023/24 Change (in %age Points) Contribution in % to annual inflation A B B-A Absolute Relative General 100 29.3 19.9 -9.4 19.9 100 Food and Nonalcoholic Beverages 54 28.0 22.7 -5.2 13.5 67.9 Non-Food 46 31.4 15.8 -15.6 6.4 32.1 Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS)
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 January February March A pril May June July August Septem ber Octo ber N ovem ber Decem ber January February March A pril May June July August Septem ber Octo ber N ovem ber Decem ber January February March A pril May June 2022 2023 2024 Percent General Food & Non-alcoholic bevarages Non Food ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 30 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 3.2: National Annual Average Inflation Rates Fig.III.1: Developments in Average National Inflation Rates Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS) Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS) (in %) Inflations Weight (in %) 2022/23 2023/24 Change (in %age Points) Contribution(in%) to annual average inflation A B B-A Absolute Relative General 100.0 32.5 26.6 -6.0 26.6 100 Food and Nonalcoholic Beverages 54.0 31.7 28.1 -3.6 16.7 62.9 Non-Food 46.0 33.9 24.4 -9.5 9.9 37.3
31 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA December 2016=100 Fig.III.2: Development in Annual Year-on-Year National Inflation Rate Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS) Table 3.3: Average Annual Inflation of Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 January February March A pril May June July August Septem ber Octo ber N ovem ber Decem ber January February March A pril May June July August Septem ber Octo ber N ovem ber Decem ber January February March A pril May June 2022 2023 2024 % General Food & Non-alcoholic bevarages Non Food Inflations Weights (in %) 2022/23 Change in %age points Contribution(in%) to Annual Average Inflation A B B-A Absolute Relative Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages 0.54 31.7 28.1 -3.6 28.1 100 Bread and Cereals 0.17 30.8 38.5 7.6 14.4 51.2 Meat 0.04 39.7 27.5 -12.2 2.2 7.7 Fish and Sea food 0.00 107.7 -8.7 -116.4 0.0 0.0 Milk, cheese and egg 0.03 41.5 22.0 -19.5 1.2 4.4 Oils & Fats 0.04 43.5 3.0 -40.4 0.3 0.9 Fruit 0.00 45.2 17.4 -27.8 0.1 0.3 Vegetables 0.12 30.1 40.4 10.3 8.3 29.4 Sugar jam, honey, chocolate 0.01 33.6 34.2 0.7 0.5 1.6 Food products n.e.c 0.06 14.1 13.8 -0.3 1.3 4.7 Non-alcoholic beverages 0.05 34.7 -0.6 -35.3 -0.1 -0.2 2023/24
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 32 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA In 2023/234, the regional annual average headline inflation decreased to 23.9 percent from 35.5 percent recorded in the preceding year. Benishangul Gumuz (36.6%), Amhara (31.7%), Oromia (26.7 %) and Addis Ababa (31.2%) registered annual average headline inflation rates greater than the regional average. Benishangul Gumuz experienced the highest headline inflation (36.6 percent) while the lowest (13.6 percent) was in Afar; revealing a 23 percentage points margin in the rates of inflation between the highest and lowest regional headline inflation (Table 3.5). 3.2 Consumer Price Developments in Regional States Table 3.4: Average Annual Inflation of Non-food by Component December 2016=100 Inflations Weights (in %) 2022/23 2023/24 Change in %age points Contribution(in%) to Annual Average Inflation A B B-A Absolute Relative Non-Food Inflation 0.46 33.9 24.4 -9.5 24 100 Alcoholic Beverages and tobacco 0.05 33.2 27.7 -5.5 3.0 12.3 Clothing and Footwear 0.06 39.7 14.6 -25.1 2.2 9.1 Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and other Fuel 0.17 23.9 28.3 4.4 8.9 36.8 Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine maintenance of houses 0.05 51.0 22.2 -28.8 3.2 13.2 Health 0.01 26.5 37.1 10.6 0.8 3.4 Transport 0.02 29.3 17.1 -12.2 1.0 3.9 Communication 0.02 5.3 28.6 23.3 0.3 1.2 Recreation and culture 0.00 49.7 0.3 -49.4 0.0 0.0 Education 0.00 20.1 23.1 3.0 0.2 0.7 Restaurant & hotel 0.05 41.4 26.8 -14.6 3.4 14.1 Miscellaneous Goods 0.03 54.3 20.7 -33.7 1.3 5.2 Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS)
33 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 3.5: Regional Average Annual Inflation (2022/23 FY) Fig.III.3: Variation in Regional-Average-Annual Headline Inflation Regions 2022/23 2023/24 Change General Food &Nonalcoholic beverages Nonfood General Food & Nonalcoholic beverages Non-food General Food &Nonalcoholic beverages Nonfood A B C D E F D-A E-B F-C SNNP 32.4 31.7 33.5 21.9 18.2 28.2 -10.4 -13.5 -5.3 Harari 33.5 35.9 31.5 19.9 30.7 10.5 -13.6 -5.2 -21.0 Oromia 33.5 32.3 35.6 26.7 28.6 23.6 -6.8 -3.7 -12.0 Tigray 0.0 Gambela 34.7 35.4 33.6 23.7 26.7 18.8 -11.0 -8.7 -14.9 Addis Ababa 37.3 35.5 39.0 31.2 34.1 28.6 -6.1 -1.5 -10.3 Dire Dawa 62.7 40.9 49.1 11.0 30.3 18.9 -51.7 -10.6 -30.2 Ben.Gumuz 32.4 32.6 32.1 36.6 38.5 34.2 4.2 5.9 2.1 Somali 40.2 37.3 44.5 22.9 26.4 18.1 -17.3 -10.9 -26.4 Afar 15.0 13.6 14.2 12.7 -1.4 -0.8 -2.3 Amhara 33.1 32.2 34.3 31.7 34.4 28.2 -1.3 2.3 -6.0 Regions Average 35.5 32.9 34.8 23.9 28.2 22.2 Standard deviation 35.5 32.9 34.8 23.9 28.2 22.2 Coe²cient of variation 11.6 6.9 9.0 8.0 7.4 7.6 Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS) Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS) 32.4 33.5 33.5 34.7 37.3 62.7 32.4 40.2 15.0 33.1 21.9 19.9 26.7 23.7 31.2 11.0 36.6 22.9 13.6 31.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 SNN P Harari Oro mia Tigray Gam b ella Addis A baba Dire Dawa B en. Gumuz S o mali Afar A mhara 2022/23 2023/24
33.5 31.5 35.6 33.6 39.0 49.1 32.1 44.5 15.0 34.3 28.2 10.5 23.6 18.8 28.6 18.9 34.2 18.1 12.7 28.2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 SNNP Harari Oromia Tigray Gambella Addis Ababa Dire Dawa Ben. Gumuz Somali Afar Amhara 2022/23 2023/24 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 34 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA The regional average food & non-alcoholic beverages inflation fall to 28.2 percent from 32.9 percent last year. Amhara (34.4%), Dire Dawa (30.3%), Benishangul Gumuz (38.5%), Harari (30.7 %), Addis Ababa (34.1%) and Oromia (38.6%) saw higher food inflation than the regional average. The highest food & non-alcoholic beverages inflation was registered in Benishangul Gumuz (38.5%) and the lowest in Afar (14.2%), showing a 24.3 percentage point margin among the regions (Fig.3.4). The average annual regional non-food inflation decreased to 22.2 percent from 34.8 percent in 2022/23. Benishangul Gumuz (34.2%), Amhara (28.2%), SNNP (28.2%), Addis Ababa (28.6%) and Oromia (23.6%) recorded non-food inflation higher than the regional average. The highest non-food inflation as seen in Benishangul Gumuz (34.2%) and the lowest (10.5%) in Harari revealing 23.7 percentage points di°erentials (Fig.3.5). Fig.III.4: Variation in Regional-Average-Annual Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages Inflation Fig.III.5: Variation in Regional-Average-Annual Non-Food Inflation Source: Ethiopian Statistical Service (ESS) 31.7 35.9 32.3 35.4 35.5 40.9 32.6 37.3 15.0 32.2 18.2 30.7 28.6 26.7 34.1 30.3 38.5 26.4 14.2 34.4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 SNN P H arari Oro mia Tigra y G a m b ella Addis A b a b a Dire D a w a B e n. G u m uz S o m ali Afar A m h ara 2022/23 2023/24
MONETARY AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS
IV. MONETARY AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS In its monetary policy, the National Bank of Ethiopia always laid emphasis on maintaining price stability due to its prudent monetary policy stance; inflation has showed a significant improvement in 2023/24; consecutively falling the past twelve months. 4.1 Monetary Developments and Policy 4.1.1 Developments in Monetary Aggregate At the end of 2023/24, domestic liquidity, as measured by broad money supply (M2), stood at Birr 2.5 trillion reflecting a 14.1 percent annual growth. This was mainly due to the 14.5 percent increase in domestic credit osetting the 53.2 percent annual decline in external asset (net). The growth in domestic credit was attributed to a 30.0 percent and 9.7 percent increase in both credit to the central government and credit to the non-central government, respectively (Table 4.1). Source: NBE Source: NBE Table 4.1: Factors Influencing Broad Money Fig.V.1: Major Component of Broad Money (Value in millions of birr) 36 Particulars Year Ended June 30 Annual Percentage Change 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2022/23 2023/24 External Assets (net) (812.3) (111,427.54) (160,097.68) (245,298.39) -43.7 -53.2 Domestic Credit 1,481,844.4 1,930,621.8 2,444,435.5 2,797,752.1 26.6 14.5 Claims on Central Gov't (net) 214,269.2 422,864.0 573675.7 745,541.1 38.4 30.0 Claims on Non-Central Gov't 1,267,575.3 1,507,757.8 1,870759.8 2,052,211.0 23.3 9.7 Other Items (net) 132,766.0 103,884.2 113,489.4 74,561.8 9.2 (34.3) Broad Money (M2) 1,348,266.1 1,715,310.0 2,170,848.4 2,477,891.9 26.6 14.1 0.00 500000.00 1000000.00 1500000.00 2000000.00 2500000.00 3000000.00 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 In Millions of Birr Quasi- Money Net Demand Deposit Currency Outside Banks ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
37 All broad money components showed expansion where narrow money rose by 16.5 percent due to growth demand deposits and currency outside banks, reflecting the upsurge in money demand for transaction purposes. Similarly, quasi-money, which included savings and time deposits, rose 13.0 percent and reached Birr 1.66 trillion. The contribution of quasi-money was large compared to net demand deposit and currency outside the bank owing was due to improved capacity of commercial banks in deposit mobilization (Table 4.2). Source: NBE Source: NBE Table 4.1: Components of Broad Money Fig.IV.2: Major Determinants of Monetary Growth (Value in millions of birr) Particulars Year Ended June 30 Annual Percentage Change 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Narrow Money Supply 588,015.8 706,142.2 822,498.6 34.4 20.1 16.5 Currency Outside Banks 173,382.8 211,636.8 205,441.3 29.8 22.1 (2.93) Demand Deposits (net) 414,633.0 494,505.4 617,057.3 36.5 19.3 24.8 Quasi-Money 1,127,294.2 1,464,706.2 1,655,393.3 23.8 29.9 13.0 Savings Deposits 1,016,048.8 1,315,260.4 1,461,904.1 24.5 29.4 11.1 Time Deposits 111,245.4 149,445.8 193,489.2 17.7 34.3 29.5 Broad Money Supply 1,715,310.0 2,170,848.4 2,477,891.9 27.2 26.6 14.1 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2020/22 2022/23 2023/24 Annual Percentage Change Credit to Central Gov't Credit to Non-Central Gov't Broad Money Net Foreign Assets ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
38 4.1.2. Developments in Reserve Money and Monetary Ratios Base money witnessed a slight annual tightening (1.1 percent) to reach Birr 473.2 billion at the end of the fiscal year. The contraction was attributed to 3.7 percent decline in deposits of banks at the NBE, despite a 1.2 percent increase in currency in circulation. The 19.0 percent rise in net domestic credit was oset by the 50.9 decline in net foreign assets. Excess reserves of commercial banks stood compared to Birr 73.9 billion a year ago. The ratio of broad money supply (M2) to GDP2, an indicator of financial deepening was 0.21, a slight decline from 0.25 last year the same period reflecting marginal weakling of financial liquidity and depth. The money multipliers defined as broad money to reserve money reached at 5.2 from 4.5 registered last year at the same period, implying that money is relatively created by commercial banks (Table 4.3). 2 The 2023/24 GDP is measured at current market price obtained from MNPD Table 4.3: Reserve Money and Monetary Ratios Particulars Year Ended June 30 Annual Percentage Change 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2022/23 2023/24 Reserve Requirement (CB's) 67,732.4 119,022.6 147,931.4 149,916.9 24.3 1.3 Actual Reserve (CB's) 101,384.0 145,877.3 221,837.7 211,215.4 52.1 (4.8) Excess Reserve (CB's) 33,651.6 26,854.7 73,906.3 61,298.4 175.2 (17.1) Reserve Money 264,301.8 362,498.7 478,471.7 473,223.2 32.0 (1.1) Currency in Circulation 163,709.1 208,211.3 254,316.1 257,296.3 22.1 1.2 Bank Deposits 100,592.8 154,287.4 224,155.7 215,926.9 45.3 (3.7) Money Multiplier (Ratio): Narrow Money to Reserve Money 1.65 1.62 1.48 1.74 -9.02 17.77 Broad Money to Reserve Money 5.10 4.73 4.54 5.24 (4.12) 15.41 Other Monetary Ratios (%): Currency to Narrow Money 30.55 29.49 29.97 24.98 1.64 -16.66 Currency to Broad Money 9.91 10.11 9.75 8.29 -3.55 -14.96 Narrow Money to Broad Money 32.44 34.28 32.53 33.19 -5.11 2.04 Quasi Money to Broad Money 67.56 65.72 67.47 66.81 2.67 -0.99 M2/GDP Ratio* 0.33 0.28 0.25 0.21 Source: NBE ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
39 Fig.IV.3: Reserve Money 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 value in million of Birr Reserve Requirement (CB's) Actual Reserve (CB's) Excess Reserve (CB's) Reserve Money Source: NBE In 2023/24, both the minimum and maximum saving deposit interest rates were unchanged at 7.0 and 9.0 percent, respectively. Subsequently, the average saving deposit and weighted average demand deposit rate remained constant at their preceding year level of 8.0 and 0.05 percent, respectively. The weighted average time deposit rate, however, showed a slight decline to 7.68 percent from 7.61 percent a year earlier. The simple average lending interest rate was 14.25 percent. Accordingly, both the deposit and lending real interest rates were negative given the 19.9 percent headline inflation (Table 4.4). 4.2 Developments in Interest Rate ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2 012/13 2 013/14 2 014/15 2 015/16 2 016/17 2 017/18 2 018/19 2 019/2 0 2 0 2 0/21 2 0 21/2 0 2 2/2 3 2 0 2 3/2 4 Value in Percent Average Saving Deposit Rate Weighted Average Time Deposit Rate Average Lending Rate 40 Table 4.4: Interest Rate Structure of Commercial Banks Fig.IV.4: Interest Rate Structure of Commercial Banks (In percent per annum) Rates 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24
Banks, insurance companies and micro-finance institutions constitute the major financial institutions in Ethiopia. As June 2023/24, the number of banks reached 32, insurance companies 18 and micro finance institutions 48. Banks opened 997 new branches in 2023/24 thereby raising the total number of branches to 12,278 from 11,281 a year ago. As a result, one bank branch serves about 8,918 people. About 31 percent of the bank branches were located in Addis Ababa. Major branch expansion was undertaken by Tsedey Bank (147 branches), followed by Global Bank (86 branches), Awash Bank (69 branches), Siinqee Bank (52 branches), Oromia Bank (52 branches), Enat Bank (50 branches), Dashen Bank (48 branches), Amhara Bank (45 Branches), Bank of Abyssinia (44 branches), Abay Bank (43 ranches) and Lion International Bank (30 branches). Thus, the share of private banks in total branch network slightly rose to 81.3 percent from 80.0 percent last year (Table 4.5). At the same time, total capital of the banking industry showed a 20 percent annual growth to reach Birr 296.1 billion (Table 4.5). Unlike banks, the number of insurance companies remained at 18 while their branches rose to 799 following the opening of 58 new branches. About 56.6 percent of the insurance branches were in Addis Ababa and 88.6 percent of the total branches were private. Their total capital increased by 36.4 percent to Birr 22.4 billion, of which, the share of private insurance companies was 80.4 percent and the remaining 19.6 percent public (Table 4.6). 4.3 Developments in Financial Sector 41 Fig.IV.5: Branch Network and Capital of Banking System (2020/21-2023/24) 27.3 23.9 20.0 18.7 52.6 41.5 36.2 32.0 72.7 76.1 80.0 81.3 47.4 58.5 63.8 68.0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2020/21 (BN) 2021/22 (BN) 2022/23 (BN) 2023/24 (BN) 2020/21 (C) 2021/22 (C) 2022/23 (C) 2023/24 (C) Percentage share from total Total Private Banks Total Public Banks ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Source: Commercial Banks and DBE
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 42 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 1. State owned Banks Commercial Bank of Ethiopia 1696 477 2173 19.3 1705 480 2185 17.8 58,296.7 23.6 62,470.5 21.1 Development Bank of Ethiopia 77 6 83 0.7 99 6 105 0.9 30,968.6 12.6 32,405.0 10.9 Total State owned Banks 1773 483 2256 20.0 1804.0 486.0 2290.0 18.7 89,265.3 36.2 94875.6 32.0 2. Private Banks Awash Bank 597 296 893 7.9 657 305 962 7.8 19,729.3 8.0 27,141.6 9.2 Dashen Bank 566 295 861 7.6 630 279 909 7.4 15,707.1 6.4 19,166.5 6.5 Bank of Abyssinia 602 329 931 8.3 667 308 975 7.9 14,286.3 5.8 17,579.0 5.9 Wegagen Bank 282 154 436 3.9 307 153 460 3.7 5,996.5 2.4 7,536.9 2.5 Hibret Bank 254 232 486 4.3 272 236 508 4.1 6,568.1 2.7 9,570.6 3.2 Nib International Bank 227 234 461 4.1 236 222 458 3.7 8,080.5 3.3 10,107.0 3.4 Cooperative Bank of Oromia 553 203 756 6.7 590 187 777 6.3 12,217.8 5.0 14,723.1 5.0 Lion International Bank 205 94 299 2.7 238 91 329 2.7 3,496.8 1.4 3,985.8 1.3 Oromia Bank 339 178 517 4.6 392 177 569 4.6 6,980.5 2.8 8,621.0 2.9 Zemen Bank 37 64 101 0.9 47 74 121 1.0 6,570.6 2.7 9,619.1 3.2 Buna Bank 301 171 472 4.2 312 168 480 3.9 5,142.0 2.1 5,902.5 2.0 Berhan Bank 227 171 398 3.5 227 182 409 3.3 4,329.7 1.8 4,751.9 1.6 Abay Bank 338 171 509 4.5 384 168 552 4.5 5,960.3 2.4 7,915.1 2.7 Addis Interational Bank 62 72 134 1.2 78 80 158 1.3 2,179.6 0.9 2,487.6 0.8 Debub Global Bank 70 84 154 1.4 101 139 240 2.0 2,406.9 1.0 3,111.7 1.1 Enat Bank 88 65 153 1.4 130 73 203 1.7 3,019.0 1.2 3,680.5 1.2 Hijra Bank 53 18 71 0.6 73 25 98 0.8 1,274.8 0.5 1,521.1 0.5 Zamzam Bank 41 37 78 0.7 57 47 104 0.8 1,753.4 0.7 2,118.4 0.7 Goh Betoch Bank 4 4 8 0.1 4 4 8 0.1 1,324.8 0.5 1,629.7 0.6 Siinqee Bank 292 64 356 3.2 338 70 408 3.3 7,643.2 3.1 8,886.9 3.0 Tseday Bank 357 37 394 3.5 481 60 541 4.4 11,330.7 4.6 11,331.3 3.8 Shebele Bank 19 4 23 0.2 30 4 34 0.3 609.6 0.2 789.1 0.3 Amahara Bank 166 113 279 2.5 198 126 324 2.6 5,891.5 2.4 6,683.3 2.3 Ahadu Bank 32 44 76 0.7 45 56 101 0.8 672.6 0.3 1,036.1 0.3 Tsehay Bank 49 37 86 0.8 55 39 94 0.8 1,087.8 0.4 1,340.7 0.5 Sidama Bank S.C 15 1 16 0.1 34 4 38 0.3 688.1 0.3 997.5 0.3 Omo Bank S.C 919.5 0.4 922.0 0.3 Gadaa Bank 44 18 62 0.5 55 36 91 0.7 943.0 0.4 1,071.9 0.4 Ramis Bank S.C 13 2 15 0.1 30 7 37 0.3 636.1 0.3 692.9 0.2 Siket bank 6,314.0 2.1 Total Private Banks 5,833 3,192 9,025 80.0 6,668 3,320 9,988 81.3 157,446.2 63.8 201,235.0 68.0 3.Grand Total Banks 7,606 3,675 11,281 100 8,472 3,806 12,278 100.0 246,711.5 100.0 296,110.6 100.0 % Share Regions Capital 2022/23 2023/24 2022/23 2023/24 Banks Branch Network Regions %Share %Share Total Capital % Share Total Capital Addis Ababa Total Addis Ababa Total Table.4.5: Branch Network and Capital of the Banking System at the Close of June 30, 2024
43 Table 4.6: Branch Network & Capital of Insurance Companies as at June 30, 2024 2022/23 2023/24 % Change A.A Regions Total A.A Regions Total A B B/A 1 Ethiopian Ins. Cor. 25 66 91 25 66 91 3,466 4,378 26.3 2 Awash Ins.Com.S.C. 32 27 59 32 32 64 2,553 3,341 30.9 3 Africa Ins.Com S.C. 20 15 35 20 15 35 435 676 55.4 4 National Ins. Co. of Eth. 25 17 42 25 17 42 359 508 41.5 5 United Ins.Com. S.C 34 16 50 34 17 51 1,363 1,798 31.9 6 Global Ins. Com.S.C 13 9 22 13 9 22 272 354 30.1 7 Nile Ins.Com.S.C 35 24 59 37 24 61 1,242 1,597 28.6 8 Nyala Ins.Com.S.C 19 19 38 20 20 40 1,370 1,975 44.2 9 Nib Ins. Com.S.C 31 16 47 31 16 47 995 1,364 37.1 10 Lion Ins. Com.S.C 19 22 41 20 23 43 400 710 77.5 11 Ethio-Life Ins.Com.S.c 21 8 29 23 8 31 286 438 53.1 12 Oromia Ins.Com.S.c 27 28 55 29 32 61 1,350 1,837 36.1 13 Abay Insurance 21 16 37 23 17 40 675 886 31.3 14 Berhan insurance S.C 19 8 27 20 9 29 355 528 48.7 15 Tsehay Insurance S.C 24 10 34 26 12 38 489 687 40.5 16 Lucy Insurance 18 6 24 29 8 37 216 302 39.8 17 Bunna Insurance S.C. 19 13 32 23 15 38 374 512 36.9 18 Zemen Insurance S.C. 16 3 19 22 7 29 199 484 143.2 Total 418 323 741 452 347 799 16,399.0 22,375.0 36.4 No. Capital 2023/24 Insurance Companies 2022/23 Branch ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Fig.IV.6: Branch Network and Capital of Insurance Companies (2020/21-2023/24) Table 4.7: Microfinance Institutions Performance as of June 30, 2024 44 Source: Insurance Companies Source: MFIs 14.2 13.2 12.3 11.4 26.4 25.2 21.1 19.6 85.8 86.8 87.7 88.6 73.6 74.8 78.9 80.4 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2020/21 (BN) 2021/22 (BN) 2022/23 (BN) 2023/24 (BN) 2020/21 (C) 2021/22 (C) 2022/23 (C) 2023/24 (C) Percentage Share fro m total State Owned Insurances Companies Private Insurances Companies By end of 2023/24, the number of micro-finance institutions (MFIs) reached 48. Their total capital increased by 18.8 percent and their total asset by 10.4 percent. At the same time, their deposit mobilization and credit also expanded. Compared to last year, their deposit went up by 12.4 percent and reached Birr 31.4 billion while their outstanding credit slightly increased by 1.2 percent to Birr 39.7 billion (Table 4.7). (In thousands of birr) 2022/23 2023/24 % Change A B C= B/A Total Capital 9,597,910.0 11,399,991.6 18.8 Saving 27,903,518.7 31,374,095.6 12.4 Credit 39,171,342.4 39,650,424.8 1.2 Total Assets 54,445,035.9 60,095,189.3 10.4 Particulars ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
4.3.1 Resource Mobilization Total resources mobilized by the banking system in the form of deposit, borrowing and loan collection decreased by 8.8 percent and reached Birr 806.5 billion at the end of 2023/24 (Table 4.8). Aided by remarkable branch expansion, deposit liabilities of the banking system topped Birr 2.5 trillion, reflecting 15.3 percent annual growth. Similarly, saving deposits by 11.7 percent, demand deposit by 19.6 percent and time deposit increased by 26.7 percent. Of the total deposits, saving deposits accounted for 59.2 percent, demand deposits 32.8 percent and time deposit 7.9 percent (Table 4.9). The share of private banks in total deposit mobilization rose 52.9 partly due to the opening of 1,145 new branches. CBE alone mobilized 47.1 percent of the total deposits due to its extensive branch network. Total outstanding borrowing of the banking system at the end of the fiscal year was Birr 130.2 billion up from Birr 108.9 billion a year earlier due to borrowing by Development Bank of Ethiopia (DBE). Of the total borrowing, domestic sources accounted for 73.1 percent and foreign sources 26.9 percent. The net borrowing in 2023/24 was Birr 21.3 billion (Table 4.8 & 4.9). Moreover, banks collected Birr 454.1 billion in 2023/24, showing a 13.2 percent annual increment. Private banks collected 60.6 percent of the loans previously disbursed (Table 4.8). 45 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Table 4.8: Annual Resource Mobilization & Disbursing Activities of Commercial Banks and DBE (Specialized Bank) as at June 30, 2024 46 Public Banks Private Banks Total (A) Public Banks Private Banks Total (B) Public Banks Private Banks Total (C) C/A C/B
47 Table 4.9: Deposits and Borrowings of Commercial Banks and Specialized Bank as at June 30, 2024 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 % Change A B C D=B/A E=C/B A. Deposits -Demand 568,360.2 685,495.1 819,735.1 20.6 19.6 -Savings 1,016,912.6 1,323,382.9 1,478,389.1 30.1 11.7 -Time 119,756.8 156,641.1 198,452.2 30.8 26.7 T o t a l 1,705,029.5 2,165,519.2 2,496,576.4 27.0 15.3 B. Borrowings -Local 66,456.3 82,509.6 95,141.6 24.2 15.3 -Foreign 19,616.8 26,352.3 35,030.8 34.3 32.9 Total 86,073.1 108,862.0 130,172.3 26.5 19.6 Particulars ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Source: Commercial Banks and DBE
48 Table.4.10: Loans and Advances by Lenders ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA D* C* O/S* D* C* O/S* A B C D E F D/A E/B F/C {A}.Public Banks 1.Commercial Bank of Ethiopia 140,823.73 128,616.86 876,079.80 191,163.83 163,175.72 936,906.98 35.7 26.9 6.9 2.Development Bank of Ethiopia 19,303.24 13,481.10 72,405.38 32,364.26 15,858.71 92,212.02 67.7 17.6 27.4 Sub-Total={A} 160,127.0 142,098.0 948,485.2 223,528.1 179,034.4 1,029,119.0 39.6 26.0 8.5 {B}. Private Banks Awash Bank 58915.0 36847.5 160987.1 39705.8 36829.7 183179.7 -32.6 0.0 13.8 Dashen Bank 45781.2 39029.2 101964.6 43483.9 40941.4 116920.3 -5.0 4.9 14.7 Bank of Abyssinia 39865.5 21631.1 147990.9 17173.9 17410.9 169167.4 -56.9 -19.5 14.3 Wegagen Bank 12661.8 9662.2 39661.5 9667.3 12606.5 45068.3 -23.6 30.5 13.6 United Bank 19356.1 17767.0 60255.1 13365.2 16248.4 69313.3 -31.0 -8.5 15.0 Nib International Bank 21412.1 10778.2 54181.9 2489.0 13517.0 48917.8 -88.4 25.4 -9.7 Cooperatives Bank of Oromia 30994.9 28337.2 102048.3 2444.8 24726.5 99018.6 -92.1 -12.7 -3.0 Lion International Bank 2255.0 2824.0 28372.9 5389.3 5380.6 31891.0 139.0 90.5 12.4 Zemen Bank 13555.3 8004.1 31825.6 8908.9 8816.8 36234.3 -34.3 10.2 13.9 Oromia Bank 14718.1 12834.2 42674.6 5630.7 10697.9 43562.6 -61.7 -16.6 2.1 Berhan Bank 12089.3 10660.4 28478.3 7685.9 11189.9 30328.4 -36.4 5.0 6.5 Buna International Bank 11340.1 5216.8 34633.7 4251.9 5524.1 37938.5 -62.5 5.9 9.5 Abay Bank 13468.0 7140.6 35584.2 9535.4 6950.6 40340.1 -29.2 -2.7 13.4 Addis International Bank 1378.0 1641.5 7592.1 942.6 1627.7 8673.5 -31.6 -0.8 14.2 Debub Global Bank 4508.9 3465.0 13998.1 3015.1 3472.6 15963.8 -33.1 0.2 14.0 Enat Bank 4400.2 4030.3 15368.2 2436.8 3043.9 17495.5 -44.6 -24.5 13.8 ZemZem Bank 7696.7 1744.5 3617.9 3195.9 3267.8 4536.4 -58.5 87.3 25.4 Hijira Bank 7249.5 647.2 3013.7 2926.0 2949.5 3409.1 -59.6 355.7 13.1 Goh Betoch Bank 1050.4 188.7 1318.6 257.1 233.0 1551.8 -75.5 23.5 17.7 Tseday Bank 32760.1 24110.1 37174.9 22478.8 21426.1 41683.4 -31.4 -11.1 12.1 Shebelle Bank 387.4 396.9 1934.3 560.5 565.8 1934.3 44.7 42.5 0.0 Siinqee Bank 12342.4 7717.2 24019.4 15206.6 16562.6 28065.9 23.2 114.6 16.8 Amhara Bank 13273.0 1146.1 15201.0 6185.6 4448.6 20372.1 -53.4 288.1 34.0 Sidama Bank 425.9 384.9 550.6 800.7 565.6 1085.4 88.0 47.0 97.1 Omo Bank 2799.7 2630.0 6807.8 3565.7 3363.2 6431.1 27.4 27.9 -5.5 Tsehay Bank 1102.4 32.3 1063.9 1702.9 459.9 2531.6 54.5 1324.3 138.0 Ahadu Bank 896.0 18.5 899.0 1445.8 468.7 1765.8 61.4 2437.1 96.4 Gadaa Bank 867.1 19.6 866.3 2053.9 997.4 2495.7 136.9 4979.4 188.1 Siket Bank 1358.6 760.5 9163.0 0.0 Rammis Bank 96.2 0.4 93.3 0.0 Sub-Total={B} 387,549.7 258,905.5 1,002,084.6 237,960.7 275,053.6 1,119,132.1 -38.6 6.2 11.7 Grand Total = {( A+B)} 547,676.7 401,003.4 1,950,569.8 461,488.8 454,088.1 2,148,251.1 -15.7 13.2 10.1 Lenders 2022/23 Percentage Change 2023/24
4.3.2 New Lending Activities Commercial banks and Development Bank of Ethiopia (DBE) disbursed Birr 461.5 billion in fresh loans which was 15.7 percent lower than a year ago (Table 4.10). Of the total new loans, about 51.6 percent was provided by private banks and 48.4 percent by the two state owned banks (i.e. CBE and DBE) (Table 4.11). Sector wise, the share of agriculture was 23.2 percent, followed by domestic trade (18.7 percent), manufacturing (15.7 percent), international trade (14.7 percent) consumer & sta loan (9.2 percent), building & construction (7.6 percent), and others. Source: Commercial Banks and DBE 49 Fig.IV.7: Development in Net Deposit, Lending and Loan Collection Activities of the Banking System (2021/22-2023/24) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 400000 450000 2021/22 Public 2021/22 Private 2022/23 Public 2022/23 Private 2023/24 Public 2023/24 Private Value in Millions of Birr Net Deposit Lending Loan collection
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 50 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA D* C* O/S* D* C* O/S* A B C D E F D/A E/B F/C A. Public Banks 1.Commercial Bank of Ethiopia 25.7 32.1 44.9 41.4 35.9 43.6 61.1 12.0 (2.9) 2.Development Bank of Ethiopia 3.5 3.4 3.7 7.0 3.5 4.3 99.0 3.9 15.6 Sub-Total=A 29.2 35.4 48.6 48.4 39.4 47.9 65.7 11.3 (1.5) B. Private Banks Awash Bank 10.8 9.2 8.3 8.6 8.1 8.5 (20.0) (11.7) 3.3 Dashen Bank 8.4 9.7 5.2 9.4 9.0 5.4 12.7 (7.4) 4.1 Bank of Abyssinia 7.3 5.4 7.6 3.7 3.8 7.9 (48.9) (28.9) 3.8 Wegagen Bank 2.3 2.4 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.1 (9.4) 15.2 3.2 United Bank 3.5 4.4 3.1 2.9 3.6 3.2 (18.1) (19.2) 4.4 Nib International Bank 3.9 2.7 2.8 0.5 3.0 2.3 (86.2) 10.7 (18.0) Cooperatives Bank of Oromia 5.7 7.1 5.2 0.5 5.4 4.6 (90.6) (22.9) (11.9) Lion International Bank 0.4 0.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.5 183.6 68.3 2.1 Zemen Bank 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.7 (22.0) (2.7) 3.4 Oromia Bank 2.7 3.2 2.2 1.2 2.4 2.0 (54.6) (26.4) (7.3) Berhan Bank 2.2 2.7 1.5 1.7 2.5 1.4 (24.6) (7.3) (3.3) Buna International Bank 2.1 1.3 1.8 0.9 1.2 1.8 (55.5) (6.5) (0.5) Abay Bank 2.5 1.8 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.9 (16.0) (14.0) 2.9 Addis International Bank 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 (18.8) (12.4) 3.7 Debub Global Bank 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 (20.6) (11.5) 3.5 Enat Bank 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.8 (34.3) (33.3) 3.4 ZemZem Bank 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 (50.7) 65.4 13.8 Hijira Bank 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 (52.1) 302.4 2.7 Goh Betoch Bank 0.2 0.0 0.1 (71.0) 9.0 6.9 Tseday Bank 6.0 6.0 1.9 4.9 4.7 1.9 (18.6) (21.5) 1.8 Shebelle Bank 0.1 71.7 25.9 (9.2) Siinqee Bank 2.3 1.9 1.2 3.3 3.6 1.3 46.2 89.5 6.1 Amhara Bank 2.4 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.9 - - - Sidama Bank 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 - - - Omo Bank 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 - - - Tsehay Bank 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 - - - Ahadu Bank 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 - - - Gadaa Bank 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 - - - Siket Bank - - - 0.3 0.2 0.4 Rammis Bank - - - 0.0 Sub-Total=B 70.8 64.6 51.4 51.6 60.6 52.1 (27.1) (6.2) 1.4 Grand Total ( A+B) 100.0 - - - Lenders 2022/23 Percentage Change 2023/24
4.3.3 Outstanding Loans Outstanding credit of the banking system (including corporate bond) increased by 10.1 percent and reached Birr 2.1 trillion at the end of June 2024. About 18.9 percent of the outstanding loans went to manufacturing, followed by international trade (15.6 percent), other sectors (14.1 percent), domestic trade (12.2 percent), mines, power and water resources (11.5 percent), building construction (9.4 percent), consumer and sta loan (8.3 percent), agriculture (4.9 percent), hotel and tourism (2 percent), transport and communication (1.9 percent), financial institutions (0.9 percent) and health and education (0.3 percent) (Table 4.12). The share of private sector in outstanding credit was 65.3 percent while that of public sector 34.7 percent (Table 4.13). 51 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 52 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA D* C* O/S* D* C* O/S* D* C* O/S* A B C D E F D/A E/B F/C Agriculture 75,885.3 77,174.5 93,402.0 107,232.2 106,530.6 105,128.4 41.3 38.0 12.6 Manufacturing 66,382.8 49,664.2 351,511.4 72,480.3 58,254.1 406,589.0 9.2 17.3 15.7 Domestic Trade 100,111.9 68,726.3 239,715.1 86,108.5 85,723.8 261,669.4 (14.0) 24.7 9.2 International Trade 113,940.8 91,200.6 304,752.6 67,616.3 80,264.4 334,208.7 (40.7) (12.0) 9.7 Export 85,650.6 62,984.0 205,423.2 50,723.9 54,343.9 212,097.3 (40.8) (13.7) 3.2 Import 28,290.2 28,216.7 99,329.5 16,892.4 25,920.5 122,111.4 (40.3) (8.1) 22.9 Hotels and Tourism 10,963.0 8,145.7 37,883.9 7,989.0 8,817.3 43,094.5 (27.1) 8.2 13.8 Building and Construction 44,987.3 40,819.1 176,836.0 35,026.5 46,245.7 202,480.5 (22.1) 13.3 14.5 Mines, Power and Water resources 15,885.5 1,129.1 212,413.5 8,196.2 1,434.9 246,759.2 (48.4) 27.1 16.2 Financial Institutions 7,186.0 5,112.2 12,917.1 7,773.2 6,935.3 18,958.4 8.2 35.7 46.8 Transport and Communication 22,527.7 9,083.3 31,402.2 11,216.7 10,027.6 40,599.7 (50.2) 10.4 29.3 Health and Education 2,153.0 1,064.0 4,292.4 2,617.7 1,489.0 6,891.1 21.6 39.9 60.5 Consumer and Sta Loans 70,663.0 29,010.4 138,265.5 42,272.2 36,487.5 178,826.5 (40.2) 25.8 29.3 Other Sectors 16,990.3 19,874.1 347,178.1 12,960.2 11,877.9 303,045.7 (23.7) (40.2) (12.7) Total 547,676.7 401,003.4 1,950,569.8 461,488.8 454,088.1 2,148,251.1 (15.7) 13.2 10.1 2022/23 2023/24 Economic Sectors Percentage Change
Source: Commercial Banks including DBE Source: Commercial Banks & DBE D*=Disbursement, C*=Collection, O/S*= Outstanding Credit Fig.IV.8: Sectorial Breakdown of Bank Credit (2021/22-2023/24) Table 4.13: Loans and Advances by Borrowers (In Millions of Birr) 53 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 O/S* O/S* O/S* D* C* O/S* A B C E F G G/B G/C Corporate Bond 444,871.7 502,578.4 567,138.3 12,000.0 - 555,131.9 10.5 -2.1 Public Enterprises 612,774.3 700,732.7 747,220.6 99,074.0 97,427.5 745,921.7 6.4 -0.2 Cooperatives 29,129.8 21,398.8 21,148.1 1,586.1 4,831.5 21,343.8 -0.3 0.9 Private & Individuals 641,379.7 868,231.5 1,182,201.1 360,828.8 351,829.1 1,380,985.7 59.1 16.8 Total 1,283,283.8 1,590,362.9 1,950,569.8 461,488.8 454,088.1 2,148,251.1 35.1 10.1 2023/24 Borrowing Sector Percentag e change As of June 2024, gross claims of NBE on the central government reached Birr 675.1 billion which was 19.7 percent higher than a year earlier. Of the total credit to the central government, bond accounted for 64.2 percent and direct advance 35.8 percent. Similarly, NBE’s outstanding claim on DBE was Birr 41.3 billion showing negligible change over last year same period. On the liability side, total deposits at the NBE declined by 3 percent and stood at Birr 259 billion, due to the 3.6 percent decrease in deposit by the financial institutions (Table 4.14). 4.4 Financial Activities of NBE 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 In Millions of Birr 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 In Millions of Birr Agriculture Others Housing & Construction International Trade Domestic Trade & Services Industry Agriculture Others Housing & Construction International Trade Domestic Trade & Services Industry
In the absence of secondary market in Ethiopia, government bonds were occasionally issued to finance fiscal deficit and/or to absorb excess liquidity in the banking system. Similarly, Treasury bills were auctioned bi-weekly basis. Banks also bought T-bonds based on their new monthly loan disbursements. 4.5 Developments in Financial Markets Source: NBE D*=Disbursement, C*=Collection, O/S*= Outstanding Credit Table 4.14: Financial Activities of National Bank of Ethiopia at the Close of June 30, 2024 4.5.1 Treasury Bills Market In 2023/24, T-bills supplied to the biweekly auction amounted to Birr 1.4 trillion, reflecting a 6.0 percent annual increment. At the same time, demand for T-bills rose 36.6 percent to Birr 812.9 billion, indicating that the market was undersubscribed by Birr 542.0 Billion (40 percent). Meanwhile, the amount of T-bills sold reached Birr 797.8 billion of which T-bills worth Birr 321.3 billion were sold to banks and remaining Birr 476.5 billion to non-bank institutions. Birr 105.9 Billion (net of redemption) was mobilized to finance the fiscal deficit through sale of T-bills during the fiscal year. Thus, total outstanding T-bills went up 31 percent and stood at Birr 447.8 billion, of which banks accounted for Birr 162.3 billion (10.7%) and non- bank institutions Birr 285.54 billion (38.4%) (Table 4.15). The average weighted T-bills yield increased to 9.736 percent from 9.704 percent, depicting a 0.33 percent annual growth (Table 4.15). The highest yield (10.217 percent) was recorded for 91-day T-bills while the lowest (9.508 percent) yield was for 28-day T-bills. ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 54 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA (In Millions of Birr) 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 A B C B/A C/B
55 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA C/A C/B Number of Bidders (9.04) (15.93) Amount Demanded (Mn.Birr) 35.60 36.57 28-day bill 87.58 64.71 91-day bill 20.30 62.96 182-day bill 47.00 26.19 364-day bill 23.75 17.16 Amount Supplied (Mn.Birr) 57.82 6.01 28-day bill 157.07 9.43 91-day bill 88.75 19.42 182-day bill 55.30 0.71 364-day bill 14.42 (3.01) Amount Sold (Mn.Birr) 37.02 38.49 Banks (16.33) 19.78 Non-Banks 140.36 54.79 Redemption (Mn. Birr) 79.56 24.93 Banks 24.23 (3.89) Non-Banks 177.15 63.75 NetAmount (Mn. Birr) (46.22) 375.04 Banks (88.53) (131.98) Non-Banks 53.16 25.35 28-day bill (0.07) 0.00 91-day bill 0.05 0.03 182-day bill (0.11) (0.11) 364-day bill (0.19) (0.09) 28-day bill 10.13 (0.59) 91-day bill (2.07) (1.33) 182-day bill 2.55 2.39 364-day bill 2.24 1.02 Banks 195,432.29 61.62 146,568.05 42.87 162,259.26 36.23 10.706 Non-Banks 121,737.30 38.38 195,301.48 57.13 285,543.59 63.77 134.557 46.207 Public Servants Social Security Agency 84,307.00 26.58 134,327.92 39.29 185,246.00 41.37 119.728 37.906 Development Bank of Ethiopia - 0.00 - 0.00 - 0.00 Private Organizations’ Employees Social Security Agency 37,330.30 11.77 60,873.56 17.81 93,961.00 20.98 151.702 54.354 Other Non-Bank Institutions 100.00 0.03 100.00 0.03 6,336.59 1.42 - Treasury Bill Particulars A 2021/22 2022/23 B C 2023/24 Percentage Change 187,382.6 138,331.1 225,427.6 586.00 634.00 533.00 599,478.625 595,231.335 812,892.090 67,664.8 77,059.0 126,925.0 858,468.750 1,278,068.290 1,354,852.165 72,805.0 171,030.0 187,156.8 147,606.1 171,949.9 216,976.9 196,825.1 207,891.3 243,562.6 312,244.4 368,343.6 357,271.6 582,268.625 797,797.090 224,773.8 355,267.6 424,265.5 248,645.6 383,427.1 386,158.3 385,308.990 691,863.775 245,890.0 305,468.1 384,032.3 321,319.3 198,236.3 476,477.8 (0.08) (0.04) 138,142.3 15,851.2 58,817.350 90,082.110 139,419.0 386,395.7 196,959.64 105,933.32 99.342 99.276 97.465 97.516 Average Weighted Price for Successful bids(Birr) 95.953 95.878 9.459 9.736 2.93 0.33 95.493 95.383 91.510 91.336 Share % 41.187 30.986 Outstanding bills at the end of period(Mn.Br.) 317,169.585 Share % 341,869.525 Share % 447,802.850 9.466 9.707 9.303 9.512 8.634 9.508 10.433 10.217 Average Weighted Yeild for Successful bids(%)
200,000.00 400,000.00 600,000.00 800,000.00 1,000,000.00 1,200,000.00 1,400,000.00 1,600,000.00 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/222 2022/23 2023/24 Value in Millions of Birr Annual weighted yield Demand Supply Average Weighted Yield Fig.IV.9: Annual trends of T-Bills Market and its weighted yeild Year 4.5.2 Bonds Market Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) purchased corporate bonds to the tune of Birr 12.0 billion showing a 55.7 percent annual decrease. During the same period, corporate bond valued at Birr 14.5 billion were redeemed, of which Birr 14.3 billion was by Addis Ababa City Administration, Birr 12.1 billion by EEP and Birr 210.72 million by regional governments (Table 4.16). Thus, in 2023/24, outstanding bond held by CBE showed a 2.1percent annual decrease and reached Birr 555.1 billion. The share of Liability & Asset Management Corporation in outstanding corporate bond was 49.9 percent followed by EEP (43.9 percent), and Addis Ababa City Administration (6.2 percent). ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 56 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Table 4.16: Disbursement, Redemption and Outstanding of Coupon and Corporate Bond of CBE4 (In Millions of Birr) 4.5.3 Inter-bank Money Market There has been no interbank money market transaction in 2023/24. 57 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Percentage Change 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Actual A B
DEVELOPMENTS IN EXTERNAL SECTOR
V. DEVELOPMENTS IN EXTERNAL SECTOR The overall balance of payments registered USD 1.3 billion deficit in the 2023/24 compared to USD 752 million deficit a year earlier. This was attributed to widened current account deficit albeit the rise in capital account surplus. The current account deficit widened due to an increase in merchandise trade deficit and a decline in net private transfers. As a result, current account deficit (including o®cial transfers) ratio to GDP reached 2.8 percent in 2023/24. On the other hand, capital account surplus increased by 16.4 mainly due to higher net surplus in o®cial long term capital (15.5 percent) and foreign direct investment (13.9 percent) and decline in net deficit of other public sector long term capital (Table 5.1). 5.1 Overall Balance of Payments 59 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Table 5.1: Balance of Payments1
14,026.5 -13,524.3 - 14,642.4 -3.6 8.3 4 Services, net 639.2 950.1 1,278.0 48.6 34.5 Non-factor services, net 1,212.9 1,399.1 1,610.4 15.4 15.1 Exports of non-factor services 6,349.6 7,174.1 7,865.9 13.0 9.6 Imports of non-factor services 5,136.8 5,775.0 6,255.5 12.4 8.3 Income, net -573.7 -449.0 -332.4 -21.7 -26.0 o/w Gross official int. payment 579.5 504.9 430.0 -12.9 -14.8 Dividend, net 5 Private transfers, net 7,106.0 6,807.9 6,211.1 -4.2 -8.8 o/w: Private Individuals 5,251.5 4,657.7 5,443.5 -11.3 16.9 6 Current account balance excluding off. Transfers (3+4+5) -6,281.3 -5,766.3 -7,153.3 -8.2 24.1 7 Official transfers, net 1,136.3 1,093.3 1,236.4 -3.8 13.1 8 Current account balance including official transfers (6+7) -5,145.1 -4,672.9 -5,916.9 -9.2 26.6 9 Capital account 2,723.7 3,547.3 4,128.3 30.2 16.4 Off. Long-term Cap., net 450.8 546.5 631.2 21.2 15.5 Disbursements 793.5 975.6 1,125.4 22.9 15.4 Amortization 342.7 429.2 494.2 25.2 15.2 Other pub. Long-term cap. -1,005.9 -390.5 -219.2 -61.2 -43.9 Private sector, long term 86.2 101.0 72.7 17.2 -28.0 Foreign Direct Investment(net) 3,307.9 3,428.0 3,905.8 3.6 13.9 Short-term Capital -115.3 -137.7 -262.2 19.4 90.4 10 Errors and Omissions [11-(9+8)] 271.6 373.6 440.6 11 Overall balance (-13) -2,149.8 -752.0 -1,347.9 12 Financing (13+16) 2,149.8 752.0 1,347.9 13 Reserves [ Increase (-), Decrease (+)] (14+15) 2,149.8 752.0 1,347.9 14 Central Bank (NFA) 1,601.8 887.5 1,534.9 Asset 1,370.8 469.2 -403.1 Liabilities 231.0 418.2 1,938.0 15 Commercial banks (NFA) 548.0 -135.4 -186.9 16 Debt Relief Principal Interest -14,026.5 -13,524.3 -14,642.4
5,000.0 10,000.0 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 In Million of USD Merchandise Trade Balance Net Services Net Private Transfers Net O®cial Transfers 5.2 Developments in Merchandise Trade 5.2.1 Balance of Trade Merchandise trade deficit widened to USD 14.6 billion from USD 13.5 billion a year earlier, as the increase in merchandise import bills outpaced that of export receipts. Consequently, merchandise trade deficit as a ratio of GDP narrowed to 7.0 percent from 8.3 percent a year ago.
Total merchandise export earnings reached USD 3.8 billion, reflecting a 4.8 percent increase over the same period last year, driven by higher receipts from coee (6.8 percent), gold (107.4 percent), oilseeds (29.2 percent), pulses (5.9 percent), electricity (36.0 percent), and live-animals (148.9 percent). On the other hand, export receipts from flower (17.2 percent), chat (33.6 percent), textiles and textile products (19.2 percent), fruits and vegetables (29.6 percent), meat and meat products (13.8 percent), leather and leather products (19.5 percent), and other export items (14.4 percent) showed negative growth. Export earnings from coee rose 6.8 percent, driven by a 23.7 percent increase in export volume despite a 13.7 percent decline in international price. Thus, the share of coee in total merchandise exports slightly increased to 37.7 percent from 37.0 percent a year ago. Gold export receipts surged 107.4 percent due to the 21.8 percent increase in export volume and 70.2 percent rise in international price. Hence, the share of gold in total merchandise export earnings doubled to 10.8 percent from 5.4 percent a year ago. Likewise, export revenue from oilseeds grew by 29.2 percent due to an increase in export volume (27.2 percent) and international price (1.5 percent). Accordingly, the share of oilseeds in total export earnings marginally rose to 8.8 percent from 7.1 percent a year earlier. Export earnings from live-animals rose by 148.9 percent due to more than fivefold increase in export volume despite 62.3 percent decline in international price. As a result, the share of live-animals in total merchandise export earnings slightly increased to 1.1 percent from 0.5 percent a year ago. Proceeds from export of pulses went up 5.9 percent, reaching USD 343.8 million due to a 7.5 percent growth in export volume, despite 1.5 percent decline in international price. Consequently, the share of pulses in total merchandise export earnings reached 9.1 percent. Similarly, total export earnings from electricity stood at USD 139.0 million, showing a 36 percent annual increase owing to higher export volume (1.7 percent) and international prices (33.7 percent). Thus, the share of electricity in total merchandise export earnings increased to 3.7 percent from 2.8 percent a year ago. On the other hand, flower export earnings fell by 17.2 percent due to a 2.0 percent decline in international price and 15.5 percent drop in export volume. Hence, the share of flowers in total merchandise export earnings decreased to 12.4 percent compared to 15.7 percent during the same period last year. 5.2.2 Merchandise Export ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 62 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Similarly, export earnings from chat dropped 33.6 percent due to 49.4 percent fall in export volume, despite 31.3 percent rise in the international price. Consequently, the share of chat in total merchandise exports fell to 4.3 percent from 6.8 percent a year ago. Export earnings from leather & leather products decreased 19.5 percent as export volume declined by 3.6 percent and international price by 16.5 percent. As a result, their share in total merchandise export earnings stood 0.5 percent. Export revenue from meat & meat products went down (13.8 percent) owing to the decline in export volume and international price (10.1 percent). Hence, the share of meat & meat products in total merchandise export earnings was 1.9 percent. Receipts from textile & textile products’ export declined (19.2 percent) due to the fall in export volume (1.8 percent) and international price (17.7 percent). As a result, the share of textiles & textile products in total merchandise export was 3.2 percent. Similarly, revenue from export of fruits & vegetables declined by (29.6 percent) as a result of a slowdown in international price (32.5 percent) despite an increase in export volume (4.3 percent). As a result, the share of fruits & vegetables in total merchandise export receipts stood at 1.7 percent. Furthermore, earnings from other export items declined (14.4 percent) to USD 189.9 million. Table 5.3: Values of Major Export Items (In millions of USD) 63 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Particulars 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A %share B %share C %share B/A C/B Coee 1,430.7 34.9 1,340.2 37.0 1,430.8 37.7 (6.3) 6.8 Oilseeds 265.7 6.5 258.0 7.1 333.2 8.8 (2.9) 29.2 Leather and Leather Products 33.2 0.8 24.7 0.7 19.9 0.5 (25.5) (19.5) Pulses 218.9 5.3 324.5 9.0 343.8 9.1 48.2 5.9 Meat & Meat Products 109.6 2.7 81.7 2.3 70.4 1.9 (25.5) (13.8) Fruits & Vegetables 87.8 2.1 92.5 2.6 65.1 1.7 5.3 (29.6) Textile & Textile Prod. 175.6 4.3 148.7 4.1 120.1 3.2 (15.3) (19.2) Live Animals 29.2 0.7 17.5 0.5 43.5 1.1 (40.1) 148.9 Chat 391.6 9.5 247.5 6.8 164.5 4.3 (36.8) (33.6) Gold 546.4 13.3 197.0 5.4 408.6 10.8 (63.9) 107.4 Flower 541.6 13.2 567.8 15.7 469.9 12.4 4.8 (17.2) Electricity 93.5 2.3 102.2 2.8 139.0 3.7 9.3 36.0 Others 177.7 4.3 222.0 6.1 189.9 5.0 24.9 (14.4) Total Export 4,101.5 100.0 3,624.3 100.0 3,798.7 100.0 (11.6) 4.8 Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission, NBE and Ethiopian Electric Power
Coee 42.0% Oilseeds 9.8% Pulses 10.1% Live Animals 1.3% Chat 4.8% Gold 12.0% Flower 13.8% Leather & Leather Products 0.6% Others 5.6% 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2012/13 2014/15 2016/17 2018/19 2020/21 2022/23 (Millions U S D) Coee Oil Seeds Leather & Leather Products Pulses Flower Gold Chat ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 64 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.V.2: Foreign Exchange Earnings from Selected Export Items Source: NBE Sta Computation Fig.V.3: Export Share of Selected Commodities (FY2023/24) Source: NBE Sta Computation
Table 5.4: Volume of Major Exports Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission and Ethiopian Electric Power Fig.V.4: Export Volume of Selected Commodities Source: NBE Sta Computation (In millions of kg unless stated otherwise) 65 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Particulars 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A B C B/A C/B Coee 303.24 241.70 298.97 (20.3) 23.7 Oilseeds 172.14 150.29 191.17 (12.7) 27.2 Leather and Leather Products 2.24 1.70 1.63 (24.3) (3.6) Pulses 213.87 396.22 425.99 85.3 7.5 Meat & Meat Products 19.01 11.53 11.06 (39.4) (4.0) Fruits & Vegetables 222.65 177.24 184.84 (20.4) 4.3 Textile & Textile Prod. 35.23 31.38 30.81 (10.9) (1.8) Live Animals 17.27 7.87 51.99 (54.4) 560.4 Chat 56.33 31.31 15.84 (44.4) (49.4) Gold(In mn. of grams) 8.68 3.46 4.22 (60.1) 21.8 Flower 114.25 112.99 95.42 (1.1) (15.5) Electricity (In mn of kwh) 1,665.17 1,749.96 1,779.53 5.1 1.7 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2012/13 2014/15 2016/17 2018/19 2020/21 2022/23 (Million K g.) Coee Oil Seeds Leather & Leather Products Pulses Flower Gold Chat
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2012/13 2014/15 2016/17 2018/19 2020/21 2022/23 (U S D/K g,, G old (U S D/G m)) Coee Oil Seeds Leather & Leather Products Pulses Flower Gold Chat Table 5.5: Unit Value of Major Export Items Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission and Ethiopian Electric Power (In USD/kg unless stated otherwise) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 66 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Particulars 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A B C B/A C/B Coee 4.72 5.54 4.79 17.5 (13.7) Oilseeds 1.54 1.72 1.74 11.2 1.5 Leather and Leather Products 14.81 14.58 12.17 (1.6) (16.5) Pulses 1.02 0.82 0.81 (20.0) (1.5) Meat & Meat Products 5.77 7.09 6.37 22.9 (10.1) Fruits & Vegetables 0.39 0.52 0.35 32.3 (32.5) Textile & Textile Prod. 4.98 4.74 3.90 (4.9) (17.7) Live Animals 1.69 2.22 0.84 31.3 (62.3) Chat 6.95 7.91 10.38 13.7 31.3 Gold (USD/grams) 62.95 56.93 96.91 (9.6) 70.2 Flower 4.74 5.02 4.92 6.0 (2.0) Electricity (USD/kwh) 0.06 0.06 0.08 4.0 33.7 Fig.V. 5: Unit Value of Selected Export Commodities Source: NBE Sta Computation
5.2.3 Import of Goods Total merchandise import bill reached USD 18.4 billion, reflecting a 7.5 percent annual growth due to higher import bills for capital goods, semi-finished goods, raw materials and miscellaneous goods. On the other hand, payments for consumer goods and fuel declined during the review period. Thus, the import-to-GDP ratio declined to 8.8 percent from 10.5 percent a year ago. Capital goods import bill rose by 48.4 percent, as the value of transport and industrial capital goods increased by 66.6 percent and 46.4 percent, respectively while import value of agricultural capital goods declined (30.6 percent) during the review period. Consequently, the share of capital goods in total merchandise imports increased to 30.6 percent from 22.1 percent a year earlier. Likewise, semi-finished goods import bill reached USD 3.8 billion, reflecting a 16.7 percent annual increase as import bill for fertilizer grew (42.8 percent). As a result, the share of semi-finished goods in total merchandise imports rose to 20.6 percent from 19.0 percent last year. Import bill of raw materials increased by (10.0 percent) relative to the preceding year and accounted for 0.6 percent of the total merchandise imports. In contrast, consumer goods import decreased (12.9 percent) and reached USD 5.1 billion, owing to a decline in imports of durable goods (3.4 percent) and non-durable goods (16.0 percent). Hence, the share of consumer goods in total merchandise import decreased to 27.9 percent from 34.4 percent last year same period. Likewise, the value of fuel import fell (9.0 percent) to USD 3.6 billion due to a fall in international price (4.0 percent) and import volume (5.2 percent). Hence, the share of fuel in total merchandise import went down to 19.6 percent from 23.1 percent a year ago (Table 5.6). 67 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Categories 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage change A % share B % share C % share B/A C/B Raw Materials 114.5 0.6 107.9 0.6 118.7 0.6 -5.8 10.0 Semi-finished Goods 3,748.2 20.7 3,258.2 19.0 3,802.3 20.6 -13.1 16.7 Fertilizers 1,385.0 7.6 921.0 5.4 1,315.3 7.1 -33.5 42.8 Fuel 3,460.4 19.1 3,966.5 23.1 3,608.7 19.6 14.6 -9.0 Petroleum Products 3,362.3 18.5 3,829.4 22.3 3,530.9 19.1 13.9 -7.8 Others 98.1 0.5 137.1 0.8 77.8 0.4 39.8 -43.3 Capital Goods 3,038.1 16.8 3,798.0 22.1 5,636.4 30.6 25.0 48.4 Transport 327.0 1.8 728.0 4.2 1,212.7 6.6 122.6 66.6 Agricultural 55.6 0.3 93.4 0.5 64.7 0.4 68.2 -30.8 Industrial 2,655.5 14.6 2,976.6 17.4 4,359.0 23.6 12.1 46.4 Consumer Goods 7,618.3 42.0 5,904. 6 34.4 5,140.2 27.9 -22.5 -12.9 Durables 815.5 4.5 1,447.3 8.4 1,397.8 7.6 77.5 -3.4 Non-durables 6,802.8 37.5 4,457.3 26.0 3,742.4 20.3 -34.5 -16.0 Miscellaneous 148.5 0.8 113.3 0.7 134.7 0.7 -23.7 18.9 Total Import 18,128. 0 100.0 17,148. 5 100.0 18,441. 1 100.0 -5.4 7.5 Table 5.6: Value of Imports by End Use Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission and Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise (In Millions of USD) 5.2.4 Direction of Trade 5.2.4.1 Export of Goods The major destinations5 for Ethiopian merchandise exports were Asia, Europe, Africa and America. Asia accounted for 40.8 percent of Ethiopia’s total exports. Saudi Arabia was the largest market for Ethiopia’s exports, with a 23 percent share in total export earnings from Asia, followed by the United Arab Emirates (14.3 percent), South Korea (9.2 percent), Japan (8.3 percent), China (6.9 percent), India (6.6 percent), Israel (6.4 percent), Pakistan (4.4 percent), Singapore (4.1 percent), Hong Kong (1.7 percent), Yemen (1.5 percent) and Indonesia (1.4 percent). These countries in total had a 89.4 percent share in Ethiopia’s total exports to Asia. 5 Wheat & Hilina’s enriched foods sold to humanitarian organization operating in Ethiopia are included to export receipts and categorized under unspecified during 2023/24. ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 68 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
12.1% 35.9% 8.1% 40.8% 0.8% 2.4% Africa Europe America Asia Oceania Unspecified Fig.V.6: Export by Destination Source: NBE Sta Compilation 5.2.4.2 Import of Goods Asia accounted for 64.3 percent of Ethiopia’s total imports. The major imports from Asia originated from China (38.8 percent), India (14.7 percent), U.A.E. (14.6 percent), Saudi Arabia (10.1 percent), Malaysia (4.2 percent), Indonesia (3.4 percent), Thailand (1.7 percent), Kuwait (1.2 percent) and South Korea (1.1 percent). Their combined share stood at 89.6 percent. The share of Ethiopia’s total merchandise imports from Africa was 16.2 percent. The major countries of origin were Morocco (45.2 percent), Egypt (28.6 percent), Djibouti (13.5 percent), South Africa (4.8 percent), Nigeria (3.2 percent) and Kenya (2.8 percent), which together 69 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Europe accounted for 35.9 percent of Ethiopia’s total export revenue, with the Switzerland taking a 30.1 percent, share followed by the Netherlands (24.2 percent), Germany (12.1 percent), Belgium (9.9 percent), Italy (5.6 percent), Turkey (4.3 percent), United Kingdom (3.8 percent), France (2.9 percent), Russia (1.5 percent) and Spain (1.0 percent). These countries altogether constituted for 95.4 percent of Ethiopia’s total exports to Europe. About 12.1 percent of Ethiopia’s exports went Africa, mainly Djibouti (27.8 percent), Kenya (21.5 percent), Somalia (19.2 percent), Sudan (16.4 percent), Egypt (2.3 percent), South Africa (2.2 percent) and Morocco (2.0 percent) whose combined power was 91.4 percent of the total exports to Africa. America accounted for 8.1 percent of Ethiopia’s total export earnings, of which 86.4 percent was from exports to the United States and 7.6 percent to Canada. These two countries had 94.0 percent share in Ethiopia’s total exports to America.
Fig.V.7: Import by Origin Source: NBE Sta Compilation 5.3 Services and Transfers 5.3.1 Services Net services account recorded USD 1.3 billion surplus compared with USD 950.1 million surplus a year ago. This was attributed to a 19.0 percent improvement in surplus of net transport services coupled with contraction in the deficit of net investment payments (26.0 percent) and other services (8.6 percent) while net travel services declined (4.5 percent). ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 70 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 15 Commercial banks (NFA) 548.0 -135.4 -186.9 16 Debt Relief Principal Interest constituted 98.1 percent of the total imports from the continent. About 14.5 percent of Ethiopia’s import bill was from Europe were, with the major trading partner countries being Turkey (28.8 percent), United Kingdom (19.1 percent), Germany (10.2 percent), Italy (7.0 percent), Russia (6.8 percent), France (6.0 percent), Netherlands (4.0 percent), Belgium (2.5 percent), Rumania (2.2 percent) and Spain (2.4 percent). These countries jointly accounted for 88.6 percent of Ethiopia’s total imports from Europe. Imports from America accounted for 5.0 percent of the total import bill, of which the share of the United States was 73.0 percent, followed by Brazil (19.8 percent), Canada (1.6 percent) and Mexico (1.2 percent). 16.2% 14.5% 5.0% 64.3% 0.1% Africa Europe America Asia Oceania
Table 5.7: Services Accounts Source: MoF, Transport and Telecommunication Companies, NBE- FEMEMD and Sta Compilation
Table 5.8: Unrequited Transfers Source: National Disaster Risk Management Commission (NDRMC), MoF and NBE (In Millions of USD) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 72 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA S/N Particulars 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A % share B % share C % share B/A C/B 1 Private Transfers, net 7,106.0 86.2 6,807.9 86.2 6,211.1 83.4 -4.2 -8.8 1.1 Receipts 7,119.8 83.6 6,849.9 83.9 6,254.9 83.1 -3.8 -8.7 NGO's 1,868.3 21.9 2,192.2 26.8 811.3 10.8 17.3 -63.0 Cash 698.6 8.2 780.3 9.6 741.0 9.8 11.7 -5.0 Food 1,169.7 13.7 1,411.9 17.3 70.4 0.9 20.7 -95.0 Other Private Individuals 5,251.5 61.7 4,657.7 57.0 5,443.5 72.3 -11.3 16.9 1.2 Payments 13.8 5.1 42.0 15.8 43.8 52.8 204.9 4.2 2 O®cial Transfers, net 1,136.3 13.8 1,093.3 13.8 1,236.4 16.6 -3.8 13.1 2.1 Receipts 1,394.5 16.4 1,317.9 16.1 1,275.5 16.9 -5.5 -3.2 Cash 1,331.7 15.6 1,317.9 16.1 1,275.5 16.9 -1.0 -3.2 Food Other 62.8 2.2 Payments 258.2 94.9 224.6 84.2 39.1 47.2 -13.0 -82.6 Total Receipts 8,514.3 100.0 8,167.8 100.0 7,530.4 100.0 -4.1 -7.8 Total Payments 272.0 100.0 266.5 100.0 82.9 100.0 -2.0 -68.9 3 Net Transfers 8,242.3 100.0 7,901.2 100.0 7,447.5 100.0 -4.1 -5.7 5.4 Current Account The deficit in the current account balance, including o®cial transfers, widened to USD 5.9 billion USD 4.7 billion last year due to widened merchandise trade deficit (8.3 percent) and decline in net private transfers (8.8 percent) while net service trade rose 34.5 percent and net o®cial transfers 13.1 percent (Table 5.1). 5.5 Capital Account Net capital accounts, showed USD 4.1 billion surplus, which was 16.4 percent higher than that of last year. This was largely attributed to the rise in net o®cial long term capital (15.5 percent) and net foreign direct investment (13.9 percent) coupled with a decline (43.9 percent) in net other public sector long term capital deficit. In contrast, short term capital outflow rose to USD 262.2 million from USD 137.7 million last year while private long term-capital declined (28 percent) (Table 5.1).
5.7 External Debt Ethiopia’s external debt stock reached USD 28.8 billion in 2023/24, depicting a 1.9 percent annual growth mainly due to an increase in multilateral creditors (1.8 percent) and bilateral (4.5 percent) albeit decline in commercial sources (1.7 percent). Hence, the country’s external debt stock to GDP ratio stood at 13.7 percent. Commercial debt stock reached USD 5.1 billion showing 1.7 percent annual reduction and accounted for 17.6 percent of the total debt stock. Of the total debt stock, 54.0 percent was owed to multilateral and the remaining 28.4 percent to bilateral creditors. The country’s external debt burden, measured by debt services to export of goods and non-factor services ratio, decreased to 10.8 percent from 16.6 percent a year earlier (Table 5.9). 5.6 Changes in Reserve Position Net foreign assets of the banking system recorded reserve drawdown of USD 1.3 billion. Thus, the draw down in net foreign assets of the National Bank of Ethiopia was USD 1.5 billion while that of commercial banks showed a USD 186.9 million build up (Table 5.1). 73 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 5.9: External Public Debt Source: MoF and NBE 1/ Ratio of debt service to receipts from export of goods and non-factor services (In Millions of USD) Particulars 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A B C D=B/A E=C/B Annual Debt 1,175.6 1,612.5 1,386.4 37.2 -14.0 Debt Stock 27,953.1 28,249.2 28,795.0 1.1 1.9 Multilateral 14,707.6 15,280.5 15,562.6 3.9 1.8 Bilateral 7,982.4 7,801.4 8,150.6 -2.3 4.5 Commercial 5,263.1 5,167.3 5,081.8 -1.8 -1.7 Debt Services 2,139.9 1,790.1 1,265.3 -16.3 -29.3 Principal repayments 1,643.1 1,360.8 974.4 -17.2 -28.4 Interest payments 496.8 429.3 291.0 -13.6 -32.2 Debt Stock to GDP Ratio (in %) 22.0 17.3 13.7 -21.7 -20.5 Debt stock to export of goods and non-factor services 2.7 2.6 2.5 -2.2 -5.6 Receipt from Goods & Non-factor Services 10,451.1 10,798.4 11,664.6 3.3 8.0 Debt service ratio (In percent )1/ 20.5 16.6 10.8 -19.0 -34.6 Arrears Principal Interest Relief Principal Interest
5.8 Developments in Foreign Exchange Markets 5.8.1 Developments in Nominal Exchange Rate In 2023/24, weighted average exchange rate of the Birr in the inter-bank foreign exchange market was Birr 55.9623/USD, depicting a 5.0 percent annual depreciation (Table 5.10). In the retail foreign exchange market, the average buying and selling rates (USD/ETB) of forex bureaus depreciated by 4.6 percent and 4.5 percent, respectively. ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 74 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 5.10: Inter-Bank Exchange Rates of Birr per USD Source: NBE, Foreign Exchange Monitoring & Reserve Management Directorate and Sta Compilation (In Millions of USD) Period Average Weighted Rate Amount Traded in millions of USD Number of Trades Total o/w Among CBs Total o/w Among CBs 2021/22 48.5674 12.6 0.0 252.0 0.0 Qtr. I 44.9109 3.2 0.0 64.0 0.0 Qtr. II 47.6026 3.3 0.0 65.0 0.0 Qtr. III 50.2619 3.1 0.0 61.0 0.0 Qtr. IV 51.4941 3.1 0.0 62.0 0.0 2022/23 53.2830 12.7 0.0 253.0 0.0 Qtr. I 52.3035 3.3 0.0 65.0 0.0 Qtr. II 52.9654 3.3 0.0 65.0 0.0 Qtr. III 53.6179 3.2 0.0 63.0 0.0 Qtr. IV 54.2454 3.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 2023/24 55.9623 12.7 0.0 254.0 0.0 Qtr. I 54.9259 3.1 0.0 62.0 0.0 Qtr. II 55.6146 3.3 0.0 66.0 0.0 Qtr. III 56.3211 3.3 0.0 65.0 0.0 Qtr. IV 56.9876 3.1 0.0 61.0 0.0
Currency 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A B C B/A C/B USD 52.2538 54.8673 57.6132 5.0 5.0 Pound 63.5459 69.4565 72.8288 9.3 4.9 Swedish Kroner 5.1426 5.0805 5.4349 (1.2) 7.0 Djibouti Franc 0.2932 0.3104 0.3259 5.8 5.0 Swiss Franc 54.9809 61.3180 64.1643 11.5 4.6 Saudi Riyal 13.9258 14.6290 15.3570 5.0 5.0 UAE Dirhams 14.2245 14.9364 15.6848 5.0 5.0 Canadian Dollar 40.6265 41.3812 42.0596 1.9 1.6 Japanese Yen 0.3829 0.3804 0.3589 (0.7) (5.7) Euro 55.0076 60.0029 61.6173 9.1 2.7 SDR 69.8267 73.3192 75.3292 5.0 2.7 Table 5.11: End Period Mid-Market Rates 75 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Currency 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A B C B/A C/B Pound Sterling 1.2161 1.2659 1.2641 4.1 (0.1) Swedish Kroner 0.0984 0.0926 0.0943 (5.9) 1.9 Djibouti Franc 0.0056 0.0056 0.0057 (0.2) 1.0 Swiss Franc 1.0522 1.1176 1.1137 6.2 (0.3) Saudi Riyal 0.2665 0.2666 0.2666 0.0 (0.0) UAE Dirham 0.2722 0.0 0.0 Canadian Dollar 0.7775 0.7542 0.7300 (3.0) (3.2) Japanese Yen 0.0073 0.0069 0.0062 (5.4) (10.1) Euro 1.0527 1.0936 1.0695 3.9 (2.2) SDR 1.3363 1.3363 1.3075 0.0 (2.2) (USD per Unit of Foreign Currency) Source: Sta Compilation Table 5.12: End Period Mid-Market Rates (Birr per Unit of Foreign Currency) Source: Sta Compilation End-period mid-market exchange rate of the US dollar depreciated against the Swedish Kroner (1.9 percent) and Djibouti Franc (1.0 percent), whereas it appreciated against the Japanese Yen (10.1 percent), Canadian Dollar (3.2 percent), Euro (2.2 percent), SDR (2.2 percent), Swiss Franc (0.3 percent) and Pound Sterling (0.1 percent). However, USD remained stable vis-à-vis the Saudi Riyal and UAE Dirhams (Table 5.11).
Likewise, the Birr depreciated against almost all major international currencies, such as the Swedish Kroner (7.0 percent), Djibouti Franc (5.0 percent), Saudi Riyal (5.0 percent), USD (5.0 percent), UAE Dirhams (5.0 percent), Pound Sterling (4.9 percent), Swiss Franc (4.6 percent), SDR (2.7 percent), Euro (2.7 percent) and Canadian Dollar (1.6 percent), while it appreciated against Japanese Yen by 5.7 percent (Table 5.12). 5.8.2 Movements in Real Eective Exchange Rate The real eective exchange rate (REER) of the Birr has been appreciating since 2012/13 as result of higher domestic inflation and strengthening of US dollar relative to that of its major trading partners. However, the Birr exchange rate tended to depreciate in real terms during 2017/18, 2019/20 and 2021/22. Notably, during the FY2023/24, the Birr appreciated by 23.1 percent in real terms due to elevated domestic inflation and the appreciation of the Birr against its trading partners currencies. Likewise, the nominal eective exchange rate (NEER) of the Birr appreciated by 23.4 percent compared to 11.4 percent appreciation a year earlier (Table 5.13). Source: NBE Sta Compilation An increase in REERI and NEERI indicates appreciation and vice versa. Where: REERI = Real Eective Exchange Rate Index NEERI = Nominal Eective Exchange Rate Index ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 76 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 5.13: Trends in Real and Nominal E¯ective Exchange Rates Fiscal Year REERI NEERI Percentage Change REERI NEERI 2012/13 141.8 41.4 -0.3 -3.9 2013/14 143.8 39.8 1.4 -3.8 2014/15 162.4 41.5 12.9 4.2 2015/16 165.1 40.4 1.7 -2.8 2016/17 178.5 41.0 8.2 1.6 2017/18 169.2 34.7 -5.3 -15.4 2018/19 192.8 35.5 14.0 2.4 2019/20 202.4 31.5 5.0 -11.3 2020/21 192.6 25.4 -4.8 -19.2 2021/22 235.4 27.1 22.2 6.7 2022/23 305.5 30.2 29.7 11.4 2023/24 376.1 37.3 23.1 23.4
5.8.3 Foreign Exchange Transactions In 2023/24, USD 12.7 million was traded in the inter-bank foreign exchange market which was the same amount as that of last year. All the foreign exchange traded in the inter-bank foreign exchange market was supplied by the National Bank of Ethiopia (Table 5.10). At the same time, forex bureaus of commercial banks purchased USD 226.4 million from customers which was 23.1 percent higher than last year. Similarly, their foreign exchange sales increased by 13.6 percent to USD 252.7 million (Table 5.14). 77 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Table 5.14: Foreign Exchange Transactions by Forex Bureaus of Commercial Banks Source: Sta Compilation (In Millions of USD) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 78 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Name of Forex Bureau 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change A B C D E F G=E/C H=F/D Purchases Sales Purchases Sales Purchases Sales Purchases Sales Commercial Bank of Ethiopia 136.3 39.0 142.7 127.3 192.3 169.4 34.8 33.1 Bank of Abyssinia 4.1 17.1 1.1 17.8 0.5 17.3 -58.4 -2.9 Dashen Bank 14.2 14.8 13.9 17.3 19.4 15.6 39.9 -9.7 Awash International Bank 2.6 15.9 2.2 25.3 0.8 21.9 -62.5 -13.3 Wegagen Bank 6.7 4.0 1.3 4.9 0.4 2.9 -70.7 -41.6 United Bank 4.6 8.0 1.8 3.3 1.4 3.3 -19.4 -1.6 Development Bank 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 -88.3 103.9 Nib International Bank 11.4 3.1 2.2 3.7 0.2 1.5 -90.3 -61.1 Lion International Bank 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.6 20.8 69.7 Oromia International Bank 9.9 3.8 11.0 5.4 5.9 4.7 -46.3 -13.3 Zemen Bank 0.4 4.5 0.3 3.8 0.2 2.2 -35.5 -42.5 Cooperative Bank of Oromia 0.8 5.7 0.5 4.0 0.3 1.6 -29.8 -58.8 Buna International Bank 1.5 1.6 0.4 1.1 0.5 3.7 53.8 234.3 Birhan International Bank 2.7 3.1 0.5 3.2 0.1 1.9 -70.2 -41.8 Abay Bank 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.2 -85.5 29.6 Addis International Bank 3.6 1.3 2.1 1.2 0.4 1.1 -81.7 -7.1 Debub Global Bank 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 -65.3 -56.1 Enat Bank 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 -34.8 -39.0 Zamzam Bank 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.7 -63.5 37.0 Gohe Betoch Bank 0.0 - 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 109.7 -38.4 Hijra Bank 0.0 - 0.2 0.1 1.0 0.1 327.5 4.4 Amhara Bank - - 0.0 0.4 0.0 1.0 -65.6 158.2 Tsehay Bank - - 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 717.1 64.7 Siinqee Bank - - 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 893.3 Geda Bank - - 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 380.7 422.8 Ahadu Bank - - 0.0 0.2 46.4 1662.6 Sidama Bank - - 0.0 0.0 Tseday Bank - - 0.0 - 0.0 0.1 6387.9 Total 203.8 125.5 184.0 222.5 226.4 252.7 23.1 13.6 Average Exchange Rate 39.0406 39.8005 53.5595 54.6562 56.0276 57.1230 4.6 4.5
GENERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE
VI. GENERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE Overall fiscal operations of the general government resulted Birr 246.9 billion deficit which was higher than Birr 221.1 billion deficit a year ago. Its ratio to GDP was 2.1 percent compared to (2.5 percent) a year earlier. General government revenue (excluding grants) increased by 22.6 percent (Table 6.2) and its ratio to GDP stood at 7.1 percent (Table 6.1). Similarly general government expenditure rose by 19.3 percent (Table 6.3) and its ratio to GDP was 9.5 percent (Table 6.1). During the review period public debt-to-GDP ratio was 32.9 percent (Table 6.1). 6.1 General Table 6.1: Measuring Fiscal Sustainability Source: NBE Sta Computation Footnotes: PD = Primary Deficit IP/RR = Share of interest payments in Recurrent revenue Debt/GDP = Ratio of Domestic Debt to GDP R(Debt) = Growth rate of Domestic Debt R(GDP) = Growth rate of GDP at current market price Exp/GDP = Ratio of General Government Expenditure to GD Rev/GDP = Ratio of General Government Revenue to GDP R(OR) = Growth rate of ordinary Revenue PDebt/GDP = Ratio of public debt to GDP 80 (In Percent) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fiscal Year PD/GDP IP/RR DDebt/GDP PDebt/GDP R(Debt) R(GDP) Exp/GDP Rev/GDP R(OR) 2014/15 -2.1 2.9 31.8 56.6 31.1 16.6 18.6 15.1 27.7 2015/16 -1.4 3.1 31.3 54.1 24.6 18.2 17.4 14.7 23.6 2016/17 -2.8 3.2 34.4 57.7 28.7 17.6 18.0 14.0 11.3 2017/18 -2.5 4.3 35.7 61.2 24.3 21.0 16.1 12.3 5.1 2018/19 -2.0 4.3 35.8 57.8 22.8 23.1 15.4 11.6 15.5 2019/20 -2.1 3.8 34.9 57.2 22.1 25.4 14.2 10.5 13.8 2020/21 -2.2 5.4 34.1 56.8 25.9 29.4 13.8 10.2 25.5 2021/22 -2.8 7.1 31.4 48.5 30.3 41.8 12.7 8.8 21.5 2022/23 -1.9 8.0 28.0 39.2 26.6 41.7 10.8 7.9 26.9 2023/24 -1.5 8.2 23.8 32.9 14.5 34.7 9.5 7.1 22.6
General government revenue (including grants) was Birr 873.1 billion and depicting a 21.7 percent annual growth. Total domestic revenue reached Birr 840.0 billion of which 85.2 percent was derived from taxes, and the remaining Birr 123.9 billion (14.8%) from non-taxes. Tax revenue rose by 20.7 percent due to a 29.0 percent increase in direct tax revenue which constituted income tax, profit tax and urban & rural land use fees. Income tax and profit tax accounted for 97.0 percent of the direct taxes while the remaining 3 percent was from urban & rural land use fees. Revenue from indirect tax stood at Birr 375.5 billion during the review period. The share of indirect tax in total tax revenue reached 52.4 percent of which about 47.5 percent was collected from import duties. Revenue from indirect taxes grew 5.9 percent on annual terms. Meanwhile, non-tax revenue was Birr 123.9 billion about 34.4 percent higher than a year ago mainly due to improvement in reimbursement and property sales. External grants stood at Birr 33.0 billion showing a 2.8 percent annual growth. The share of total revenue in GDP was 22.6 percent (Table 6.1). All in all, the performance of total revenue, including grants, was 89.7 percent of the annual budget (Table 6.2). 6.2 Revenue and Grants 81 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Table 6.2: Summary of General Government Revenue by Component Source: Ministry of Finance 1/ It does not include privatization proceeds 2/ Others include rental income tax, withholding income tax on imports, interest income tax, capital gains tax, agricultural income and other income 3/ Government investment income includes: residual surplus, capital charge, interest payments and state dividend. 4/Other extraordinary, miscellaneous and pension contribution (In Millions of Birr) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 82 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Particulars 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change Performance Rate [A] [B] [C] [C/A] Pre. Act Budget Pre. Act [C/B] Total Revenue and Grants 717,586.7 973,158.2 873,126.5 21.7 89.7 Total Domestic Revenue 1/ 685,459.1 932,038.5 840,094.8 22.6 90.1 Tax Revenue 593,232.1 774,416.4 716,172.2 20.7 92.5
Total general government expenditure was Birr 1,120.0 billion showing a 19.3% annual growth, due to increase in both current and capital expenditures. Current expenditure at Birr 652.6 billion was 12 percent higher than a year ago and its share in total expenditure reached 58.2 percent. Meanwhile, capital expenditure stood at Birr 467.4 billion which was 31.3 percent higher than last year same period (Table 6.3). The share of total expenditure in GDP was 9.5 (Table 6.1). In summary, total general government expenditure performance was 93.3 percent of the annual budget (Table 6.3). 6.3 Expenditure 83 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.VI.1: Trend of General Government Revenue by Component (In Millions of Birr) 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000 1000000 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 In million Birr Total Revenue and Grants Tax Revenue Direct tax revenue Indirect tax revenue Non-tax revenue Grants
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 84 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 6.3: Summary of General Government Expenditure Source: Ministry of Finance Note: 1/ Includes mapping, science and technology, public buildings, etc. Fig.VI.2: Trends in General Government Expenditure by Component (In Millions of Birr) Particulars 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage Change Performance [A] [B] [C] Rate Pre. Act Budget Pre. Act [C/A] [C/B] Total Expenditure 938,771.6 1,200,475.3 1,120,077.3 19.3 93.3
5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 200 3/0 4 200 4/0 5 200 5/0 6 200 6/0 7 200 7/0 8 200 8/0 9 200 9/10 2 010/11 2 011/12 2 012/13 2 013/14 2 014/15 2 015/16 2 016/17 2 017/18 2 018/19 2 019/2 0 2 0 2 0/21 2 0 21/2 0 2 2/2 3 2 0 2 3/2 4 In Percent of GDP Expenditure/GDPFiscal Year Revenue/GDP The general government fiscal operations resulted in a deficit of Birr 246.9 billion which was 11.6 percent higher than that of a year earlier. The primary balance defict to GDP ratio was 2.1 percent compared to 2.5 deficit of a year ago. The deficit was financed by net domestic and external borrowings (Table 6.4). 6.4 Deficit Financing 85 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.VI.3: Trends in General Government Expenditure and Revenue (% of GDP)
Particulars 2022/23 2023/24 Percentag e Change performanc e rate [A] [B] [C] Pre. Act Budget Pre. Act [C/A] [C/B] Total Revenue and Grants 717,586.7 973,158.2 873,126.5 21.7 89.7 Revenue 685,459.1 932,038.5 840,094.8 22.6 90.1 Grants 32,127.6 41,119.6 33,031.7 2.8 80.3 Total Expenditure 938,771.6 1,200,475.3 1,120,077.3 19.3 93.3 Current Expenditure 582,854.6 706,927.8 652,619.7 12.0 92.3 Capital Expenditure 355,917.0 493,547.5 467,457.6 31.3 94.7 Special Programs Overall Surplus/ Deficit (Including Grants) (221,184.9) (227,317.1) (246,950.7) 11.6 108.6 (Excluding Grants) (253,312.4) (268,436.8) (279,982.5) 10.5 104.3 Total Financing 221,184.9 227,317.1 246,950.7 11.6 108.6 Net External Borrowings 28,641.6 (11, 376.3) 29,289.1 2.3 (257.5) Gross Borrowing 51,842.7 39,007.7 52,615.4 1.5 134.9 o/w Special Programs Amortization Paid 23,201.1 50,384.0 23,326.3 0.5 46.3 HIPC relief & MDRI Net Domestic Borrowings 214,243.1 238,693.4 228,045.2 6.4 95.5 Banking System 141,728.9 139,753.1 (1.4) Non-Banking Systems 72,514.2 88,292.1 21.8 Privatization Receipts - - - Others and Residuals (21,699.9) (10,383.6) (52.1) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 86 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 6.4: Summary of General Government Finance (In Millions of Birr) Source: Ministry of Finance
500,000.0 1,000,000.0 1,500,000.0 2,000,000.0 2,500,000.0 2013/14 2015/16 2017/18 2019/20 2021/22 2023/24 (In Millions of Birr) Years Expenditure Deficit Revenue Including Grants Fig.VI.4: General Government Deficit Finance of F.Y 2023/24 Table 6.5: Summary of Total Public Debt by Components (In Millions of Birr) Particulars 2022/23 2023/24 %age Change [A] [C] [C/A] Actual Actual Total Public Debt 3,399,275.4 3,863,984.2 13.7 External Debt 1,484,097.4 1,611,436.2 8.6 Domestic Debt 1,915,178.0 2,252,548.0 17.6 Source: NBE Sta Computation
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 88 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.VI.5: General Government Public Debt by Componnents (In Millions of Birr) 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 3500000 4000000 4500000 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 In million Birr Total Public Debt External Debt Domestic Debt
INVESTMENT
ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 90 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA VII. INVESTMENT In 2023/24, 101 projects registered by the Ethiopian Investment Commission and regional investment o®ces have become operational. All the investment projects were private. These projects had Birr 76 billion in investment capital showing 21.6 percent annual growth. Of the total investment projects, 49 projects were domestic (48.5 percent) with a capital of Birr 62.4 billion (82.1 percent); and 52 projects (51.5 percent) were foreign with a capital of Birr 13.6 billion. The average capital per project for domestic investors was Birr 1.3 billion and Birr 260.9 million for foreign investors, signifying that domestic investment projects were more capital intensive than the foreign ones. These investment projects have created new job opportunities for about 5,706 permanent and 2,169 casual workers (Table 7.1).
91 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Table 7.1: Number of Projects, Capital and Jobs Created by Operational Investment (Capital in millions of Birr) Source: Ethiopian Investment Commission Fig.VII.1: Number of Operational Investment Projects by Type 913 47 752 67 37 49 63 37 33 45 67 52 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2020/22 2022/23 2023/24 Num b er of projects Domestic Foreign Public Source: Ethiopian Investment Commission 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage change A B C Share C/A C/B
Of the total investment projects about 63.4 percent were in manufacturing, 19.8 percent in real estate, renting & business activities, 6.9 percent in construction, 5.9 percent in health and social work, 2 percent in hotels and restaurants; 1 percent each in education and other community, social & personal service activities. Specifically, of the total capital investment of the projects, construction sector alone constituted 79 percent whereas manufacturing accounted for 19.4 percent and real estate, renting & business activities 1.1 percent (Table 7.2). 7.1 Investment by Sector ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 92 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Fig.VII.3: Distribution of Operational Investment Capital by Sector in 2023/24 Fig.VII.2: Capital of Operational Investment Projects by Type Source: Ethiopian Investment Commission Others*: Hotel & restaurants, Education and Health & social work and others Source: Ethiopian Investment Commission Manufacturing 19% Real estate, renting and business activities 1% Construction 79% Others* 1% 7,839 675 31,106 862 5,026 62,422 1,115 645 2,968 1,322 57,464 13,569 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Millions of Birr Domestic Foreign Public
Table: 7.2: Numbers and Capital of Operational Investment Projects by Sector Source: Ethiopian Investment Commission (Capital in Millions of Birr) 93 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Sectors 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage share No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital Manufacturing 26 1,308.2 59 2,765.5 64 14,770.7 63.4 19.4 Agriculture, hunting and forestry 1 20.0 - - Real estate, renting and Business activities 23 130.7 14 56,150.9 20 810.9 19.8 1.1 Hotel and restaurants 1 105.4 2 30.4 2 157.3 2.0 0.2 Education 1 20.6 1 1,500.0 1 70.0 1.0 0.1 Health and social work 1 7.0 3 48.7 6 152.3 5.9 0.2 Construction 47 482.1 14 118.2 7 60,025.0 6.9 79.0 Tour operation, transport and communication 8 62.5 6 1,139.5 - - Wholesale, retail trade and repair service 1 1.7 - - Mining and quarrying - - Electricity, gas, steam and water supply
Table 7.3: Number and Capital of Operational Projects by Region Source: Ethiopian Investment Commission (Capital in Millions of Birr) ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 94 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA Regions 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Percentage share No. of projects Investment Capital No. of projects Investment Capital No. of projects Investment Capital No. of projects Investment Capital Tigray - - - - - - - - Afar - - - - - - - - Amhara 1 1.7 - - - - - - Oromia - - - - - - - - Somali - - - - - - - - Benishang ul-Gumuz - - - - - - - - SNNPR 1 105.4 - - - - - - Gambella - - - - - - - - Harari - - - - - - - - Addis Ababa 64 750.0 35 5,010.3 49 62,422.4 48.5 82.1 Dire Dawa - - - - - - - - Multiregio nal Projects 46 1,326.8 69 57,479.7 52 13,569.3 51.5 17.9 Grand Total 112 2,183.8 104 62,490.0 101 75,991.7 100 100
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS
VIII. INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS 8.1 International Economic Developments 8.1.1 Overview of the World Economy Global growth is projected to marginally fall from 3.3 percent in 2023 to 3.2 percent in 2024 on annual average basis. While for advanced economies, the growth projection will improve from 1.7 percent in 2023 to 1.8 percent in 2024. On the other hand, for emerging market and developing economies, the growth outlook is projected to slow from 4.4 percent in 2023 to 4.2 percent in 2024. In the United States, projected growth for 2024 has been revised upward to 2.8 percent but lower by 0.1 percentage point in 2023, on account of stronger outturns in consumption and nonresidential investment. The resilience of consumption is largely the result of robust increases in real wages and wealth eects. In the Euro area, growth seems to have reached its lowest point in 2023. A touch weaker than projected in April and July 2024, GDP growth is expected to pick up to a modest 0.8 percent in 2024 as a result of better export performance, in particular of goods. Growth is expected to decelerate in Japan in 2024, with the slowdown reflecting temporary supply disruptions and fading of one-o factors that boosted activity in 2023, such as the surge in tourism. Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia is projected to pick up from an estimated 2.1 percent in 2023 to 2.4 percent in 2024, as the eect on the region of temporary disruptions to oil production and shipping are assumed to fade away. In Sub-Saharan Africa, GDP growth is similarly projected to increase, from an estimated 3.6 percent in 2023 to 4.2 percent in 2025, as the adverse impacts of prior weather shocks abate and supply constraints gradually ease. Besides, the ongoing conflict that has led to 26 percent contraction of the South Sudanese economy, the revision reflects slower growth in Nigeria, amid weaker than expected activity in the second half of the FY 2023/24. ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 96 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
Table 8.1: Overview of World Economic Outlook and Projection Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2023 and October, 2024 97 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA (Annual Percentage Change) Particulars 2022 2023 Projection 2024 2025 World Output 3.6 3.3 3.2 3.2 Advanced Economies 2.9 1.7 1.8 1.8 United States 2.5 2.9 2.8 2.2 Euro Area 3.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 Japan 1.2 1.7 0.3 1.1 United Kingdom 4.8 0.3 1.1 1.5 Emerging Market & Developing Economies 3.2 4.4 4.2 4.2 Middle East and Central Asia 4.2 2.1 2.4 3.9 Sub-Saharan Africa 4.1 3.6 3.6 4.2 Nigeria 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.2 South Africa 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 World Trade Volume (goods & services) 5.7 0.8 3.1 3.4 Import Advanced Economies 7.2 -0.7 2.1 2.4 Emerging Market and Developing Economies 4.2 3.0 4.6 4.9 Export Advanced Economies 5.7 1.0 2.5 2.7 Emerging Market and Developing Economies 4.6 0.6 4.6 4.6 Commodity Prices (US dollars) Oil 8.8 -16.4 0.9 -10.4 Non- fuel (average based on world commodity import weights) -0.4 -5.7 2.9 -0.2 World Consumer Price 9.2 6.7 5.8 4.3 Advanced Economies 7.7 4.6 2.6 2.0 United States 8.0 4.1 3.0 1.9 Euro Area 8.4 5.4 2.4 2.0 Japan 2.5 3.3 2.2 2.0 Emerging Market & Developing Economies 10.5 8.1 7.9 5.9 China 1.9 0.2 0.4 1.7 Mexico 7.9 5.5 4.7 3.8 Turkey 72.3 53.9 60.9 33.0 Brazil 9.3 4.6 4.3 3.6 Russia 13.8 5.9 7.9 5.9 Sub-Sahara Africa 15.2 17.6 18.1 12.3 Angola 21.4 13.6 28.4 21.3 Nigeria 18.8 24.7 32.5 25.0 Ghana 31.9 39.2 19.5 11.5
8.1.2 World Trade Global trade is expected to continue to grow in line with GDP, reaching an average of 3.1 percent growth annually in 2024, following a period of near stagnation in 2023. Despite an increase in cross-border restrictions aecting trade between geopolitically distant blocs, the global trade-to-GDP ratio is expected to remain stable. 8.1.3 Inflation and Commodity Prices Global headline inflation is projected to decrease further, from an average of 6.7 percent in 2023 to 5.8 percent in 2024 in the baseline. Disinflation is expected to be faster in advanced economies with a decline of 2 percentage points from 2023 to 2024 than in emerging market and developing economies, in which inflation is projected to decline from 8.1 percent in 2023 to 7.9 percent in 2024. Inflation in emerging Asia is projected to be on par with that in advanced economies, at 2.1 percent in 2024 and 2.7 percent in 2025, due to monetary tightening and price controls in many countries in the region. In contrast, inflation forecasts for emerging and developing Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, and sub-Saharan Africa remain in double digit territory on account of large outliers amid pass-through of past currency depreciation and administrative price adjustment (Egypt). In the United States, headline consumer price inflation is expected to decrease from 4.1 percent in 2023 to 3.0 percent in 2024. Likewise, in Euro area headline inflation is expected to decline to 2.4 percent in 2024 from 5.4 percent in 2023. Headline inflation in Japan forecasted to decline by 2.2 percent in 2024 from 3.3 percent in 2023. In China inflation is expected to rise by 0.4 in 2024 and increase by 0.2 percent in 2023. Inflation is expected to rise in 2023 and 2024 in Sub-Saharan Africa, 17.6 percent and 18.1 percent, respectively. Oil prices are projected to rise by about 0.9 percent in 2024 from fall in 2023 by 16.4 percent. Likewise, nonfuel commodity prices are expected to rise in 2024 by 2.9 percent and decline by 5.7 in 2023. ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 98 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA
During the FY 2023/24, despite slowdown, the global economy is estimated to grow while commodity prices, both oil and non-oil commodities are expected to increase in 2024. Improvement in the global economy creates demand for our export commodities. This together with improvement in other economic activities helps Ethiopia to register robust economic growth. Meanwhile, higher price of non-oil commodities enforce the country to pay more for its capital goods import which in turn results in higher pressure in the country’s trade balance. 8.2 Implications of International Economic Developments on the Ethiopia Economy 99 ANNUAL REPORT 2023/24 NATIONAL BANK OF ETHIOPIA 8.1.4 Exchange Rate In foreign exchange markets, the euro appreciated slightly in trade-weighted terms but was broadly stable against the US dollar. During the review period, the nominal eective exchange rate of the euro as measured against the currencies of 41 of the euro area’s most important trading partners appreciated by 0.5 percent. The slight appreciation of the euro was mostly driven by gains against the currencies of several advanced economies. It appreciated by 5.2 percent against the Japanese yen, 1.3 percent against the Swiss franc, 1.2 percent against the Swedish krona and 1.1 percent against the Canadian dollar. These developments mainly reflected heterogeneous monetary policy developments. For example, the Swiss National Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.5 percent in March, the Sweden Central Bank cut its key interest rate from 4.00 percent to 3.75 percent at its May meeting, and the Bank of Canada cut its interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.75 percent on 5 June. The euro depreciated by 0.4 percent against the pound sterling as market participants pushed back their expectations regarding the timing of potential policy rate cuts by the Bank of England. The euro remained relatively stable against the US dollar (-0.2 percent), despite some intra-period fluctuations.
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STATISTICAL ANNEXES Table 8: Quantity of Major Exports 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) Coffee 230,931.42 271,111.52 248,653.58 303,235.24 241,700.46 298,973.93 Oilseeds 260,001.58 236,504.53 245,479.33 172,139.72 150,286.63 191,172.23 Leather and Leather products 5,590.40 3,551.27 2,290.59 2,239.29 1,695.73 1,634.15 Pulses 462,821.56 354,010.48 280,603.44 213,873.61 396,224.76 425,986.37 Meat Products 17,719.23 12,819.96 14,631.78 19,012.08 11,527.96 11,064.75 Fruits & Vegetables 175,619.64 191,183.11 221,695.57 222,650.42 177,240.33 184,837.51 Wheat 62,478.90 61,380.00 Sugar 43,706.24 17,515.03 2,511.84 10.00 19.99 - Gold 0.82 3.32 9.56 8.68 3.46 4.22 Oil Cakes - - - - - - Live Animals 24,346.65 29,395.64 26,262.97 17,266.04 7,873.21 51,993.54 Chat 53,565.91 57,136.13 71,209.90 56,331.21 31,310.12 15,842.71 Petroleum Products - - - - - - Bee's Wax 283.18 258.01 229.00 158.02 139.22 182.00 Tantalem 386.20 76.08 66.77 161.47 1,534.87 643.19 Cotton 252.91 80.00 - - - - Text. & Text. Prdts 19,888.80 22,798.39 24,045.62 35,234.52 31,382.08 30,808.02 Cereals and Flour 3,579.95 4,670.14 25,144.37 38,367.58 39,005.50 27,952.16 Natural Gum 1,111.41 1,384.59 769.68 472.71 308.66 741.04 Civet - - - - - - Hop - - - - - - Animal Fodder - - - - - - Natural Honey 134.43 152.14 15.61 53.91 37.78 15.68 Marble - - - - - - Flower 57,849.31 94,389.84 101,578.88 114,253.02 112,989.70 95,422.48 Beverage 4,404.93 4,430.26 5,310.98 5,439.07 4,502.34 3,602.80 Spices 11,589.88 12,499.67 12,823.23 8,667.63 6,429.37 8,841.78 Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission Commodity
Table 1: GDP By Economic Activity at Constant Prices (In million Birr) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Agriculture, Hunting and Forestry 599,331.4 622,220.3 648,711.8 684,775.8 726,412.8 771,163.0 824,259.4 Crop 392,291.8 404,049.6 422,966.5 446,919.4 477,801.1 511,777.5 551,862.1 Animal Farming and Hunting 154,038.0 163,279.5 168,722.4 178,571.3 186,759.1 195,057.3 205,367.7 Forestry 53,001.7 54,891.1 57,022.9 59,285.2 61,852.6 64,328.3 67,029.7 Fishing 1,546.7 1,581.8 1,625.9 1,653.4 2,015.5 2,794.3 3,621.0 Mining and Quarrying 3,402.8 2,658.9 5,089.3 10,960.7 11,624.5 10,796.1 12,779.1 Manufacturing 117,410.7 127,986.7 137,601.5 144,618.9 151,583.9 162,125.7 175,745.9 Large and Medium Scale Manufacturing 77,966.5 87,691.9 96,268.6 102,266.2 108,223.9 117,266.1 129,228.4 Small Scale and Cottage Industries 39,444.2 40,294.7 41,332.9 42,352.7 43,360.1 44,859.6 46,517.6 Electricity and Water 11,929.0 14,115.4 15,136.4 16,522.3 17,593.6 19,826.3 23,400.1 Construction 331,691.4 381,443.8 419,078.0 446,721.7 468,435.8 501,490.4 546,459.8 Whole Sale and Retail Trade 241,936.3 268,037.0 285,293.1 303,204.7 327,260.0 352,241.8 379,833.4 Hotels and Restaurants 44,335.3 48,143.8 49,220.4 50,484.9 54,536.5 60,146.9 65,644.1 Transport and Communications 241,936.3 104,436.2 105,646.1 113,090.7 124,120.5 139,047.5 154,861.1 Financial Intermediation 44,335.3 57,368.6 65,274.3 71,158.1 78,636.2 86,092.9 91,275.5 Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities 74,364.3 79,942.0 87,510.2 95,299.7 103,829.9 113,274.2 123,259.3 Public Administration and Defense 76,754.1 83,662.0 85,612.2 89,770.1 93,768.3 97,515.9 102,314.6 Education 42,520.8 44,221.6 44,784.1 45,694.9 46,432.3 47,583.1 48,786.2 Health and Social Work 18,153.4 20,747.2 23,414.2 26,554.3 29,413.0 32,650.5 36,311.2 Other Community , Social & Personal Services 20,178.0 21,454.2 21,995.5 22,426.8 22,890.2 23,400.6 24,072.7 Private Households with Employed Persons 17,276.0 17,707.4 18,115.5 18,515.9 18,939.5 19,329.1 19,726.7 Total 1,739,254.9 1,895,726.7 2,014,108.6 2,141,452.8 2,277,492.4 2,439,478.1 2,632,350.2 Less : FISIM 19,763.6 21,037.4 24,520.9 27,214.5 28,829.5 29,556.7 28,397.3 Gross Value Added at Constant Basic Prices 1,719,491.3 1,874,689.3 1,989,587.7 2,114,238.3 2,248,662.8 2,409,921.4 2,603,952.9 Taxes on Products 114,575.2 112,468.2 119,592.3 113,931.8 98,085.2 91,585.7 80,572.4 GDP at Constant Market Prices 1,834,066.5 1,987,157.5 2,109,180.1 2,228,170.1 2,346,748.0 2,501,507.2 2,684,525.2 Source: MoPD Sectors/Year 220 Table 8: Quantity of Major Exports 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) Coffee 230,931.42 271,111.52 248,653.58 303,235.24 241,700.46 298,973.93 Oilseeds 260,001.58 236,504.53 245,479.33 172,139.72 150,286.63 191,172.23 Leather and Leather products 5,590.40 3,551.27 2,290.59 2,239.29 1,695.73 1,634.15 Pulses 462,821.56 354,010.48 280,603.44 213,873.61 396,224.76 425,986.37 Meat Products 17,719.23 12,819.96 14,631.78 19,012.08 11,527.96 11,064.75 Fruits & Vegetables 175,619.64 191,183.11 221,695.57 222,650.42 177,240.33 184,837.51 Wheat 62,478.90 61,380.00 Sugar 43,706.24 17,515.03 2,511.84 10.00 19.99 - Gold 0.82 3.32 9.56 8.68 3.46 4.22 Oil Cakes - - - - - - Live Animals 24,346.65 29,395.64 26,262.97 17,266.04 7,873.21 51,993.54 Chat 53,565.91 57,136.13 71,209.90 56,331.21 31,310.12 15,842.71 Petroleum Products - - - - - - Bee's Wax 283.18 258.01 229.00 158.02 139.22 182.00 Tantalem 386.20 76.08 66.77 161.47 1,534.87 643.19 Cotton 252.91 80.00 - - - - Text. & Text. Prdts 19,888.80 22,798.39 24,045.62 35,234.52 31,382.08 30,808.02 Cereals and Flour 3,579.95 4,670.14 25,144.37 38,367.58 39,005.50 27,952.16 Natural Gum 1,111.41 1,384.59 769.68 472.71 308.66 741.04 Civet - - - - - - Hop - - - - - - Animal Fodder - - - - - - Natural Honey 134.43 152.14 15.61 53.91 37.78 15.68 Marble - - - - - - Flower 57,849.31 94,389.84 101,578.88 114,253.02 112,989.70 95,422.48 Beverage 4,404.93 4,430.26 5,310.98 5,439.07 4,502.34 3,602.80 Spices 11,589.88 12,499.67 12,823.23 8,667.63 6,429.37 8,841.78 Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission Commodity
Table 2: Growth Rate of GDP By Economic Activity at Constant Prices (In Percent) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Agriculture, Hunting and Forestry 2.3 6.7 3.5 3.8 4.3 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.9 Crop 3.4 8.2 4.7 3 4.7 5.7 6.9 7.1 7.8 Animal Farming and Hunting -1.5 4.2 0.6 6 3.3 5.8 4.6 4.4 5.3 Forestry 2.2 3.6 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.0 4.2 Fishing 0.1 0.5 11.3 2.3 2.8 1.7 21.9 38.6 29.6 Mining and Quarrying -3.3 -29.8 -20.8 -21.9 91.4 115.4 6.1 -7.1 18.4 Manufacturing 18.4 24.7 5.5 7.7 7.5 5.1 4.8 7.0 8.4 Large and Medium Scale Manufacturing 22.9 19.2 6.0 10 9.8 6.2 5.8 8.4 10.2 Small Scale and Cottage Industries 2.5 36.9 4.6 3 2.6 2.5 2.4 3.5 3.7 Electricity and Water 15.0 4.9 3.3 4 7.2 9.2 6.5 12.7 18.0 Construction 25.0 20.7 15.7 15 9.9 6.6 4.9 7.1 9.0 Whole Sale and Retail Trade 8.2 6.5 12.3 11.7 6.4 6.3 7.9 7.6 7.8 Hotels and Restaurants 15.6 0.1 6.5 9 2.2 2.6 8.0 10.3 9.1 Transport and Communications 13.7 15.1 6.4 21 1.2 7.0 9.8 12.0 11.4 Financial Intermediation 9.6 18.3 10.7 10.1 10.2 9.0 10.5 9.5 6.0 Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities 3.7 4.4 6.2 7.5 9.5 8.9 9.0 9.1 8.8 Public Administration and Defense 7.4 13.2 8.9 9 2.3 4.9 4.5 4.0 4.9 Education 8.8 -3.2 3.6 4 1.8 2.0 1.6 2.5 2.5 Health and Social Work 10.8 7.0 8.3 14.3 12.9 13.4 10.8 11.0 11.2 Other Community , Social & Personal Services 3.0 4.5 5.1 6.3 2.5 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.9 Private Households with Employed Persons 4.3 3.5 3.9 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.1 Total 8.0 10.2 7.8 8.9 6.2 6.3 6.4 7.1 7.9 Less : FISIM 16.9 17.6 16.0 7 14.2 11.0 5.9 2.5 -3.9 Gross Value Added at Constant Basic Prices 8.0 10.1 7.7 9.0 6.1 6.3 6.4 7.2 8.1 Taxes on Products 3.1 1.6 -5.0 -1.8 6.3 -4.7 -13.9 -6.6 -12.0 GDP at Constant Market Prices 7.6 9.5 6.8 8.3 6.1 5.6 5.3 6.6 7.3 Source: MoPD Industry/Year 221
Table 3: GDP by Economic Activity at Current Prices (In million Birr) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Agriculture, Hunting and Forestry 684,644 910,589.1 1,196,254.2 1,626,284.1 2,312,286.2 3,114,215.0 4,087,852.8 Crop 427,193 587,216.0 797,015.6 1,122,637.7 1,639,822.3 2,189,185.1 2,880,082.2 Animal Farming and Hunting 191,867 247,337.3 303,074.1 385,788.3 523,066.6 731,290.9 949,484.2 Forestry 65,584 76,035.8 96,164.4 117,858.2 149,397.2 193,738.9 258,286.3 Fishing 2,351 3,020.6 3,747.5 5,034.3 5,351.5 7,481.6 10,084.5 Mining and Quarrying 4,053 3,368.1 9,643.4 30,909.1 34,587.9 29,329.9 50,066.7 Manufacturing 128,200 150,530.5 178,972.3 199,934.1 261,122.9 390,709.0 517,803.5 Large and Medium Scale Manufacturing 84,791 104,723.1 125,757.6 141,915.1 185,656.5 285,203.1 381,197.6 Small Scale and Cottage Industries 43,410 45,807.5 53,214.7 58,019.0 75,466.4 105,505.9 136,605.9 Electricity and Water 15,026 18,726.4 23,826.9 30,434.9 34,860.6 53,134.9 64,312.8 Construction 452,978 495,283.1 567,201.4 687,236.9 1,068,150.2 1,662,566.4 2,355,789.2 Whole Sale and Retail Trade 275,513 360,656.3 444,506.1 554,457.8 801,596.4 1,129,865.3 1,604,889.0 Hotels and Restaurants 53,441 66,596.7 79,304.1 95,766.7 129,976.7 195,338.3 271,055.2 Transport and Communications 82,947 99,884.4 140,312.7 183,481.3 251,762.7 314,877.2 381,487.4 Financial Intermediation 69,359 85,044.1 102,994.4 122,893.7 180,666.7 238,373.1 331,181.7 Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities 79,553 106,157.2 154,804.2 228,594.8 404,030.6 715,651.7 1,032,988.6 Public Administration and Defense 94,614 103,262.3 120,235.7 159,154.9 188,988.2 260,507.3 307,964.0 Education 75,776 85,738.9 94,199.3 116,406.3 127,857.9 164,357.3 214,067.8 Health and Social Work 24,100 27,328.0 34,927.8 40,104.3 47,995.9 60,118.6 72,311.6 Other Community , Social & Personal Services 23,634 28,140.8 33,305.6 39,400.7 49,977.4 66,077.1 87,645.1 Private Households with Employed Persons 25,428 31,181.0 38,264.3 45,764.8 67,753.0 80,607.1 112,313.4 Total 2,091,618 2,575,507.5 3,222,499.9 4,165,858.8 5,966,964.9 8,483,209.8 11,501,813.4 Less : FISIM 26,829 31,884.3 39,104.0 46,801.9 67,289.5 79,436.0 102,399.8 Gross Value Added at Constant Basic Prices 2,064,789 2,543,623.2 3,183,395.8 4,119,057.0 5,899,675.3 8,403,773.7 11,399,413.6 Taxes on Products 137,583 152,599.6 191,351.1 221,967.3 257,339.9 319,343.1 352,724.5 GDP at Current Market Prices 2,202,373 2,696,222.7 3,374,746.9 4,341,024.2 6,157,015.2 8,723,116.8 11,752,138.1 Source: MoPD Industry/Year 3 222
Table 4: Growth Rates of GDP by Economic Activity at Current Prices (%) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 Agriculture, Hunting and Forestry 13.7 11.0 33.0 32.6 35.9 42.2 34.7 31.3 Crop 13.6 8.6 37.5 35.7 40.9 46.1 33.5 31.6 Animal Farming and Hunting 12.1 16.5 28.9 27.0 27.3 35.6 39.8 29.8 Forestry 18.9 11.6 16.2 26.5 22.6 26.8 29.7 33.3 Fishing 63.5 4.1 28.5 24.1 34.3 6.3 39.8 34.8 Mining and Quarrying -20.9 -16.3 -16.9 186.3 220.5 11.9 (15.2) 70.7 Manufacturing 27.0 13.1 17.4 18.9 11.7 30.6 49.6 32.5 Large and Medium Scale Manufacturing 21.2 13.4 20.2 20.1 12.8 30.8 53.6 33.7 Small Scale and Cottage Industries 40.1 12.4 3.0 16.2 9.0 30.1 39.8 29.5 Electricity and Water 24.5 9.6 20.7 27.2 27.7 14.5 52.4 21.0 Construction 26.4 50.9 9.3 14.5 21.2 55.4 55.6 41.7 Whole Sale and Retail Trade 11.3 22.4 32.4 23.2 24.7 44.6 41.0 42.0 Hotels and Restaurants 8.0 19.0 25.1 19.1 20.8 35.7 50.3 38.8 Transport and Communications 10.2 6.8 20.4 40.5 30.8 37.2 25.1 21.2 Financial Intermediation 30.3 33.9 22.6 12.2 19.3 47.0 31.9 38.9 Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities 5.6 12.4 33.4 45.8 47.7 76.7 77.1 44.3 Public Administration and Defense 29.8 17.1 9.1 16.4 32.4 18.7 37.8 18.2 Education 44.2 24.0 13.1 11.3 23.6 9.8 28.5 30.2 Health and Social Work 19.8 28.4 13.4 27.8 14.8 19.7 25.3 20.3 Other Community , Social & Personal Services 12.0 14.9 19.1 18.4 18.3 26.8 32.2 32.6 Private Households with Employed Persons 23.7 27.9 22.6 22.7 19.6 48.0 19.0 39.3 Total 17.7 21.4 23.3 25.3 29.3 43.2 42.2 35.6 Less : FISIM 30.3 42.2 22.0 13.8 19.7 43.8 18.1 28.9 Gross Value Added at Current Basic Prices 17.6 21.2 23.3 25.4 29.4 43.2 42.4 35.6 Taxes on Products 12.9 6.9 10.9 25.4 16.0 15.9 24.1 10.5 GDP at Current Market Prices 16.9 20.2 22.4 25.2 28.6 41.8 41.7 34.7 Source: MoPD Sectors/Year 4 223
Table 5: Summary of External Public Debt 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2009) (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) EXTERNAL DEBT Disbursed (gross)* 539,568.8 703,675.6 782,908.8 1,008,444.2 1,287,609.8 1,453,387.7 1,542,242.5 1,648,933.4 Undisbursed n.a DRAWINGS (flow) 66,379.3 92,796.0 79,206.1 106,602.6 56,382.3 68,094.1 86,280.4 77,806.7 REPAYMENTS (1) -19,479.7 -30,619.4 -40,234.6 -44,671.8 -56,162.5 -81,216.9 -73,332.5 -55,332.7 DEBT SERVICING (2) 29,345.3 42,480.4 58,214.7 64,117.0 75,920.0 105,700.3 96,485.1 71,842.9 Principal 19,479.7 30,619.4 40,234.6 44,671.8 56,162.5 81,216.9 73,332.5 55,332.7 Interest (3) 9,865.6 11,861.0 17,980.1 19,445.1 19,757.5 24,483.4 23,152.6 16,510.1 DEBT SERVICE TO EXPORT OF GOODS RATIO 45.0 57.4 77.8 68.5 54.1 53.1 50.0 33.8 EXTERNAL DEBT TO TO GDP (%)** 29.4 32.0 29.1 29.9 29.7 23.6 17.7 14.0 EXPORT OF GOODS 65,167.1 74,044.8 74,807.7 93,641.5 140,326.9 199,197.1 193,112.4 212,581.9 GDP (Current Market Price) 1,832,786.0 2,200,120.6 2,690,751.4 3,374,746.9 4,341,024.2 6,157,015.2 8,723,116.8 11,752,138.1 Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development *Excludes State defence Credits and Ruble denominated debt. (1)-on cash basis; includes repayments of Trust Fund Loans , and repurchases from IMF. (2)-on accrual basis; includes repayments of Trust Fund Loans, and repurchases from IMF. (3) - Includes IMF charges and interest. **Revised based on rebased GDP series NB: USD to birr coversion is made by using annual average exchange rate. 224 (In Millions of Birr)
225 Table 6: Balance of Payments (In Millions of Birr) G.C. 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 EFY (2009) (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) TRADE BALANCE -289,030.5 -324,244.9 -349,149.7 -341,436.0 -417,133.0 -681,230.9 -720,612.8 -819,423.1 Export(f.o.b) 65,167.1 74,044.8 74,806.8 93,641.5 140,326.9 199,197.1 193,112.4 212,581.9 Coffee 19,795.6 21,905.1 21,436.5 26,824.8 35,480.3 69,485.1 71,409.4 80,069.0 Other Exports 45,371.5 52,139.7 53,370.3 66,816.7 104,846.6 129,712.0 121,703.0 132,512.9 Imports (c.i.f.) -354,197.6 -398,289.7 -423,956.5 -435,077.5 -557,459.9 -880,428.0 -913,725.2 -1,032,005.0 Fuel -40,876.9 -60,553.0 -72,961.5 -65,445.6 -75,723.5 -168,062.9 -211,347.1 -201,952.8 Other Imports -313,320.8 -337,736.7 -350,995.0 -369,632.0 -481,736.4 -712,365.1 -702,378.1 -830,052.2 Net Services -12,588.8 -5,221.1 -15,833.5 -6,862.8 516.4 31,043.4 50,623.7 71,521.6 Travel -951.7 7,146.7 6,225.9 10,431.2 26,800.9 22,577.5 28,054.5 28,148.9 Other Transportation 8,569.4 13,494.3 18,091.2 27,972.4 28,743.3 53,574.7 72,162.4 90,188.7 Government(n.i.e.) 8,625.2 5,641.9 7,935.0 1,878.4 6,314.9 9,019.8 11,089.2 7,070.4 Investment Income -11,214.0 -11,410.1 -16,925.9 -19,203.0 -22,380.5 -27,861.8 -23,923.3 -18,601.4 Other Services -17,617.7 -20,094.0 -31,159.7 -27,942.0 -38,962.2 -26,266.9 -36,759.2 -35,285.0 Net Goods & Services -301,619.3 -329,466.0 -364,983.2 -348,298.9 -416,616.7 -650,187.5 -669,989.2 -747,901.5 Private Transfers (net) 122,945.6 158,601.1 167,629.9 162,534.4 238,717.8 345,119.4 362,744.8 347,587.2 Current Account Balance -178,673.7 -170,864.9 -197,353.3 -185,764.5 -177,898.8 -305,068.1 -307,244.3 -400,314.3 Public Transfers (net) 32,014.6 32,678.7 58,540.8 47,797.8 53,408.5 55,185.3 58,256.0 69,192.8 Non Monetary Capital (net) 154,325.0 161,503.2 135,289.6 135,603.6 147,709.5 132,280.7 189,008.6 231,030.0 Public long-term (net)* 57,928.2 68,083.1 46,595.6 64,463.4 6,465.0 -22,774.0 13,692.7 27,127.0 Short-term 2,913.8 -3,792.1 4,099.0 -4,682.9 -13,081.3 -5,601.1 -7,339.7 -14,674.2 FDI 93,483.1 97,212.3 84,595.0 75,823.1 154,325.7 160,655.8 182,655.5 218,577.2 Net errors and Omissions 7,096.2 -28,580.3 -22,894.2 -23,758.0 -11,564.6 13,189.8 19,908 24,657 Overall Balance 14,762.1 -5,263.3 -26,417.1 -26,121.1 11,654.6 -104,412.4 -40,071.4 -75,434.2 Financing : -14,762.1 5,263.3 26,417.1 26,121.1 -11,654.6 104,412.4 40,071.4 75,434.2 Monetary Authorities (Reseves), net -14,762.1 5,263.3 26,417.1 26,121.1 -11,654.6 104,412.4 40,071.4 75,434.2 Arrears Change 0.0 Debt Relief 0.0 Cancellation 0.0 Rescheduling 0.0 Sorce: NBE Staff Compilation *Includes other public sector long-term loan and private loan NB: USD to birr coversion is made by using annual average exchange rate.
226 Table 7: Value of Major Exports 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) Coffee 21,490,708.9 27,044,310.5 36,367,828.0 70,175,272.0 71,425,122.0 80,334,996.8 Oilseeds 10,921,323.8 11,012,982.9 13,180,233.0 12,896,678.4 13,781,966.4 18,713,973.4 Leather and Leather products 3,285,473.7 2,208,391.3 1,425,336.1 1,609,850.6 1,315,467.5 1,109,860.8 Pulses 7,659,551.2 7,422,895.7 9,243,279.1 10,711,389.3 17,370,062.4 19,245,078.7 Meat Products 2,484,948.7 2,107,034.0 2,964,430.2 5,329,508.5 4,345,071.3 3,952,463.7 Fruits & Vegetables 1,709,468.5 1,834,795.4 2,730,982.1 4,272,817.6 4,921,869.7 3,634,417.8 Wheat 1,701,716.9 1,931,028.3 Sugar 106,710.5 45,089.5 7,832.9 614.7 15,127.5 - Gold 775,705.7 6,572,639.3 25,378,419.0 26,464,048.5 10,491,436.8 22,939,880.7 Oil Cakes - - - - - - Live Animals 1,287,954.6 1,671,076.6 1,758,839.4 1,437,406.1 931,096.6 2,439,267.3 Chat 8,511,121.5 10,116,170.9 15,808,881.6 18,910,324.2 13,154,557.3 9,186,207.9 Petroleum Products - - - - - - Bee's Wax 67,657.8 65,655.6 69,226.8 58,907.4 58,881.0 78,207.0 Tantalem 274,291.8 155,490.6 179,801.6 464,712.4 902,447.4 400,449.6 Cotton 8,572.2 8,218.7 - - - - Text. & Text. Prdts 4,296,263.5 5,235,336.0 5,725,100.5 8,529,908.7 7,911,617.6 6,718,196.9 Cereals and Flour 81,940.5 117,441.6 758,212.7 1,642,831.6 1,738,883.7 1,170,169.2 Natural Gum 144,922.8 157,838.7 137,246.6 107,704.1 55,155.3 141,890.9 Civet - - - - - - Hop - - - - - - Animal Fodder - - - - - - Natural Honey 13,468.4 16,439.3 3,036.6 10,592.0 11,932.7 11,378.5 Marble - - - - - - Flower 7,228,221.9 13,208,479.3 18,461,631.4 26,445,082.3 30,210,536.2 26,309,918.4 Beverage 114,745.8 111,398.5 191,924.6 223,891.9 270,324.6 207,914.3 Spices 381,907.9 432,708.0 620,629.5 807,366.2 559,747.4 449,071.1 Others 4,087,463.4 4,820,745.8 6,688,537.9 9,896,132.5 11,999,651.7 14,140,831.9 Others 16,631,798.2 24,264,096.5 32,766,121.4 48,128,221.7 53,660,296.8 49,549,820.6 RE-exports - - - - Total 74,932,423.0 94,365,138.3 141,701,409.6 199,995,038.97 193,172,672.28 213,115,202.95 Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission Commodity
227 Table 8: Quantity of Major Exports 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) Coffee 230,931.42 271,111.52 248,653.58 303,235.24 241,700.46 298,973.93 Oilseeds 260,001.58 236,504.53 245,479.33 172,139.72 150,286.63 191,172.23 Leather and Leather products 5,590.40 3,551.27 2,290.59 2,239.29 1,695.73 1,634.15 Pulses 462,821.56 354,010.48 280,603.44 213,873.61 396,224.76 425,986.37 Meat Products 17,719.23 12,819.96 14,631.78 19,012.08 11,527.96 11,064.75 Fruits & Vegetables 175,619.64 191,183.11 221,695.57 222,650.42 177,240.33 184,837.51 Wheat 62,478.90 61,380.00 Sugar 43,706.24 17,515.03 2,511.84 10.00 19.99 - Gold 0.82 3.32 9.56 8.68 3.46 4.22 Oil Cakes - - - - - - Live Animals 24,346.65 29,395.64 26,262.97 17,266.04 7,873.21 51,993.54 Chat 53,565.91 57,136.13 71,209.90 56,331.21 31,310.12 15,842.71 Petroleum Products - - - - - - Bee's Wax 283.18 258.01 229.00 158.02 139.22 182.00 Tantalem 386.20 76.08 66.77 161.47 1,534.87 643.19 Cotton 252.91 80.00 - - - - Text. & Text. Prdts 19,888.80 22,798.39 24,045.62 35,234.52 31,382.08 30,808.02 Cereals and Flour 3,579.95 4,670.14 25,144.37 38,367.58 39,005.50 27,952.16 Natural Gum 1,111.41 1,384.59 769.68 472.71 308.66 741.04 Civet - - - - - - Hop - - - - - - Animal Fodder - - - - - - Natural Honey 134.43 152.14 15.61 53.91 37.78 15.68 Marble - - - - - - Flower 57,849.31 94,389.84 101,578.88 114,253.02 112,989.70 95,422.48 Beverage 4,404.93 4,430.26 5,310.98 5,439.07 4,502.34 3,602.80 Spices 11,589.88 12,499.67 12,823.23 8,667.63 6,429.37 8,841.78 Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission Commodity
228 Table 8: Quantity of Major Exports 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) Coffee 230,931.42 271,111.52 248,653.58 303,235.24 241,700.46 298,973.93 Oilseeds 260,001.58 236,504.53 245,479.33 172,139.72 150,286.63 191,172.23 Leather and Leather products 5,590.40 3,551.27 2,290.59 2,239.29 1,695.73 1,634.15 Pulses 462,821.56 354,010.48 280,603.44 213,873.61 396,224.76 425,986.37 Meat Products 17,719.23 12,819.96 14,631.78 19,012.08 11,527.96 11,064.75 Fruits & Vegetables 175,619.64 191,183.11 221,695.57 222,650.42 177,240.33 184,837.51 Wheat 62,478.90 61,380.00 Sugar 43,706.24 17,515.03 2,511.84 10.00 19.99 - Gold 0.82 3.32 9.56 8.68 3.46 4.22 Oil Cakes - - - - - - Live Animals 24,346.65 29,395.64 26,262.97 17,266.04 7,873.21 51,993.54 Chat 53,565.91 57,136.13 71,209.90 56,331.21 31,310.12 15,842.71 Petroleum Products - - - - - - Bee's Wax 283.18 258.01 229.00 158.02 139.22 182.00 Tantalem 386.20 76.08 66.77 161.47 1,534.87 643.19 Cotton 252.91 80.00 - - - - Text. & Text. Prdts 19,888.80 22,798.39 24,045.62 35,234.52 31,382.08 30,808.02 Cereals and Flour 3,579.95 4,670.14 25,144.37 38,367.58 39,005.50 27,952.16 Natural Gum 1,111.41 1,384.59 769.68 472.71 308.66 741.04 Civet - - - - - - Hop - - - - - - Animal Fodder - - - - - - Natural Honey 134.43 152.14 15.61 53.91 37.78 15.68 Marble - - - - - - Flower 57,849.31 94,389.84 101,578.88 114,253.02 112,989.70 95,422.48 Beverage 4,404.93 4,430.26 5,310.98 5,439.07 4,502.34 3,602.80 Spices 11,589.88 12,499.67 12,823.23 8,667.63 6,429.37 8,841.78 Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission Commodity Table 9: Value of Major Imports** (Thousands of Birr) Period Food & Live Animals Beverages Tobacco Petroleum Crude Petroleum Prod.**** Chemicals Fertilizers Medical & Pharm. Prod Soap & Polish Rubber Prod. Paper & Paper Manfc. 1979/80 72,251 1,161 10,745 244,973 94,411 113,242 81,458 68,816 14,318 35,221 22,762 1980/81 88,901 2,470 15,860 287,469 57,853 85,478 3,963 40,901 18,941 38,531 33,352 1981/82 135,534 1,446 21,853 329,322 32,131 89,453 16,211 48,163 26,521 44,430 24,946 1982/83 174,476 1,663 17,017 360,414 36,578 136,636 28,969 38,918 24,246 35,719 16,886 1983/84 168,465 6,449 13,382 325,649 52,739 107,212 26,272 51,615 15,666 38,976 26,071 1984/85 345,020 1,805 12,827 281,751 36,174 76,716 36,103 41,980 6,174 41,477 11,762 1985/86 530,599 4,962 2,835 220,261 32,273 87,935 44,685 58,513 6,683 45,569 34,944 1986/87 320,380 6,157 6,261 163,341 62,483 115,166 29,929 68,638 10,572 60,018 23,909 1987/88 246,454 7,858 11,788 181,842 34,728 110,729 72,521 50,280 10,804 51,106 29,796 1988/89 294,652 21,877 560 175,339 37,512 142,131 69,846 58,440 9,079 46,798 28,094 1989/90 106,320 25,972 6,432 188,581 36,500 124,181 71,893 64,550 19,374 33,342 39,840 1990/91 263,350 16,163 3,564 185,376 25,050 85,072 79,548 36,305 26,013 41,867 27,775 1991/92 14,402 6,291 1,105 92,246 100,907 42,580 150 48,294 14,433 35,740 11,760 1992/93 497,536 20,867 4,845 444,282 376,808 135,269 13,106 131,578 37,490 73,278 30,565 1993/94 574,094 8,581 20,271 406,531 331,036 228,155 89,678 187,200 58,522 156,585 61,251 1994/95 906,743 13,305 10,580 522,564 471,350 179,614 343,947 193,305 30,818 184,843 53,780 1995/96 575,263 21,210 7,241 445,953 485,912 161,265 330,578 165,785 64,023 279,453 81,700 1996/97 37,222 8,590 93 76,900 1,427,200 47,021 173,813 77,317 55,593 188,170 78,351 1997/98 72,853 35,583 18,402 166,469 2,099,046 99,001 51,224 142,163 81,408 274,938 169,841 1998/99 558,422 37,405 26,393 2,281 1,306,707 142,008 377,582 315,940 100,718 345,274 199,440 1999/00 766,560 34,647 27,129 31 2,012,189 140,912 336,379 246,179 92,105 273,429 163,924 2000/01 641,597 34,628 28,561 0 2,151,326 153,782 126,860 293,784 140,236 408,838 217,050 2001/02 1,365,581 35,886 48,550 0 2,202,554 145,066 560,257 358,994 128,513 340,956 269,684 2002/03 1,697,566 33,509 35,614 0 2,463,917 165,902 462,662 352,193 145,207 376,787 218,152 2003/04 1,981,297 36,937 37,348 0 2,608,285 201,668 923,523 636,324 173,378 417,410 329,915 2004/05 1,566,093 52,090 52,034 0 5,736,666 250,951 1,055,294 671,524 240,863 536,827 434,417 2005/06 2,139,779 45,715 77,860 0 7,422,807 348,264 1,180,768 1,212,655 337,445 730,113 517,374 2006/07 1,799,700 68,204 74,841 0 7,524,664 399,852 933,867 1,410,844 328,116 838,145 565,483 2007/08 2,499,134 97,080 115,642 0 15,076,123 488,539 2,828,101 1,848,363 377,282 1,030,557 770,591 2008/09 7,251,053 89,171 104,398 0 17,219,182 677,521 3,008,355 2,771,689 552,503 1,422,155 819,639 2009/10 7,713,047 142,346 177,543 0 18,891,592 888,064 3,221,932 3,936,222 530,093 2,220,337 1,188,178 2010/11 3,966,149 167,354 230,682 0 22,299,884 1,118,884 5,665,269 5,054,381 685,949 2,515,039 1,137,791 2011/12 12,692,391 206,514 270,210 0 35,868,583 1,357,151 10,503,430 6,488,435 1,128,549 3,373,729 1,843,948 2012/13 11,635,650 261,691 193,101 0 26,565,255 2,092,402 5,332,244 7,169,253 907,442 4,030,338 2,064,095 2013/14 23,799,879 650,943 311,530 0 47,621,419 5,444,249 7,645,486 12,765,541 1,240,505 5,413,565 3,432,174 2014/15 30,357,773 741,101 361,694 0 39,838,009 5,978,499 10,163,376 13,831,268 1,491,622 5,027,503 3,272,983 2015/16 46,130,164 931,151 283,716 0 27,005,614 6,942,664 9,178,606 15,632,270 1,840,643 4,995,974 4,090,489 2016/17 36,937,090 1,021,284 335,255 0 39,143,280 7,049,394 8,357,496 16,839,378 1,881,779 5,675,631 4,563,315 2017/18 51,976,047 1,132,806 386,609 0 58,666,275 8,430,429 13,004,532 16,783,904 2,356,939 5,546,483 4,351,026 2018/19 47,707,851 911,322 538,742 0 69,942,603 10,157,084 14,224,840 25,225,831 2,534,964 6,046,906 5,517,578 2019/20 52,460,677 937,131 545,101 0 62,056,891 14,814,422 17,459,167 23,177,786 2,752,421 6,987,059 6,546,569 2020/21 115,413,573 1,025,316 226,742 0 72,597,464 15,834,849 23,105,655 28,787,491 3,547,952 7,116,242 4,414,868 2021/22 224,546,575 1,311,170 307,030 0 165,014,806 21,187,517 56,609,111 53,251,625 5,065,774 9,701,019 7,018,001 2022/23 169,395,504 1,401,202 387,024 0 203,796,295 25,763,430 48,809,161 42,049,276 5,018,930 10,245,933 10,989,265 2023/24 129,034,178 1,087,518 461,446 0 197,454,873 33,413,457 72,990,928 42,446,864 7,068,662 10,039,344 14,403,037
229 Table 9 Continued: Period Textiles Clothings Glass & Glass Ware Metal & Metal Manfc. Machinery & Aircra Road Motor Vehicles Electrical Materials Grain* Telecomm. Appara. Others GRAND TOTAL 1979/80 57,367 6,832 5,559 104,162 202,231 135,789 44,976 40,179 13,346 103,238 1,432,858 1980/81 59,820 4,315 7,480 100,111 213,390 165,328 35,137 44,374 20,114 104,820 1,384,234 1981/82 71,538 6,077 3,464 76,848 227,599 259,372 43,613 76,919 29,186 153,954 1,641,661 1982/83 55,213 5,557 4,986 145,946 234,440 164,765 81,786 118,846 19,765 168,965 1,752,945 1983/84 58,643 3,810 6,563 162,901 519,770 210,621 97,873 114,595 23,204 149,124 2,065,005 1984/85 69,041 7,709 4,195 143,378 225,132 179,589 56,143 257,865 30,419 163,038 1,770,433 1985/86 79,186 3,476 3,690 166,878 274,699 287,134 76,691 382,447 45,754 194,498 2,201,265 1986/87 58,479 4,558 5,742 156,406 327,659 339,324 102,472 280,296 74,507 300,945 2,236,946 1987/88 69,510 2,673 4,563 174,624 465,211 369,944 81,220 177,566 88,323 210,677 2,274,651 1988/89 62,156 8,319 2,761 172,831 335,284 279,220 83,705 228,633 59,141 222,608 2,110,353 1989/90 55,404 2,742 6,937 212,696 304,650 189,288 101,802 72,882 49,759 183,856 1,824,119 1990/91 44,920 14,488 5,180 153,769 562,457 249,844 58,889 202,106 48,189 202,486 2,130,305 1991/92 73,571 14,705 3,517 49,487 189,544 177,203 42,756 1,019 32,882 859,324 1,810,897 1992/93 130,409 15,514 9,035 172,058 699,420 402,403 97,670 418,157 47,669 278,915 3,618,718 1993/94 186,946 34,117 14,809 496,052 367,949 825,890 192,150 483,624 25,562 474,589 4,739,967 1994/95 229,950 54,033 24,368 563,219 710,882 1,015,951 286,193 586,760 20,677 730,152 6,546,274 1995/96 308,065 76,391 32,944 709,985 854,155 1,393,422 328,577 506,124 51,400 1,334,922 7,708,246 1996/97 414,162 69,542 40,789 973,897 1,414,978 1,117,480 636,728 8,328 17,108 1,650,244 8,505,200 1997/98 396,757 114,866 41,452 969,100 1,099,417 795,978 776,492 18,160 14,950 1,918,519 9,338,459 1998/99 473,804 230,897 69,704 1,416,817 1,375,843 1,390,946 1,032,004 340,647 42,305 2,257,514 11,702,004 1999/00 433,134 279,885 58,403 919,528 1,351,512 1,548,459 938,299 646,316 32,656 1,783,302 11,438,661 2000/01 461,188 345,433 88,056 1,188,971 1,480,393 1,456,285 782,018 461,335 66,419 2,248,531 12,313,956 2001/02 471,499 467,110 72,787 1,359,231 1,667,774 1,435,245 893,039 1,246,119 101,456 2,561,107 14,485,289 2002/03 599,604 478,039 78,075 1,311,504 1,963,002 1,817,630 1,059,754 1,580,973 111,634 2,696,596 16,067,348 2003/04 606,295 601,949 104,362 2,012,945 2,397,183 2,124,501 2,447,540 1,573,618 502,494 4,152,333 22,295,690 2004/05 774,285 836,015 125,294 3,476,768 4,553,244 2,811,972 3,062,726 1,334,778 344,108 4,853,003 31,434,174 2005/06 1,065,381 1,291,287 145,048 4,157,675 5,305,516 4,183,804 2,978,793 1,621,232 365,874 4,547,398 38,053,554 2006/07 808,907 1,523,051 163,834 4,460,322 7,036,854 6,062,546 2,968,701 1,323,878 329,270 7,829,188 45,126,388 2007/08 986,145 1,198,037 243,667 7,051,109 7,118,469 4,279,547 4,404,967 1,902,765 243,818 12,489,650 63,146,822 2008/09 1,023,983 1,124,962 235,344 7,990,303 8,713,241 4,859,888 5,866,530 6,285,857 51,369 16,251,182 80,032,470 2009/10 1,476,236 2,433,694 267,320 11,618,002 12,278,627 8,503,493 7,728,010 6,190,933 102,036 23,358,711 106,675,484 2010/11 1,982,717 2,430,231 334,932 10,778,367 16,015,252 13,180,603 7,195,551 2,739,632 73,258 38,806,942 133,639,235 2011/12 2,892,344 4,218,310 522,024 19,678,247 20,529,023 17,831,730 8,696,845 10,436,910 80,038 42,824,531 191,006,032 2012/13 2,744,224 4,449,522 722,828 21,688,480 28,035,377 20,493,273 11,912,689 9,865,215 96,583 58,096,034 208,490,479 2013/14 3,816,304 7,518,452 1,078,169 30,632,913 37,788,049 25,240,309 14,834,215 9,221,445 9,338,872 23,274,978 261,847,552 2014/15 5,281,382 9,232,020 1,294,893 46,295,279 49,814,950 28,117,143 31,139,945 12,922,543 20,942,619 27,756,897 330,938,955 2015/16 4,915,012 11,425,975 1,454,583 47,654,788 61,867,497 30,925,871 23,695,862 22,888,268 21,260,461 32,785,280 353,016,619 2016/17 5,025,821 11,811,265 1,633,228 42,438,362 68,598,137 33,248,531 26,617,503 13,359,345 13,839,893 29,254,491 354,271,135 2017/18 4,868,804 14,346,572 1,811,641 38,679,936 73,281,243 31,088,474 24,436,467 21,755,870 7,109,710 38 9, 09,858 397,167,756 2018/19 5,864,104 10,255,808 2,023,487 41,701,871 84,119,270 22,066,397 24,750,276 18,579,014 6,831,057 43,128,440 423,548,429 2019/20 8,113,212 10,003,402 2,572,077 48,808,346 70,717,290 28,759,387 21,929,987 26,430,475 7,724,018 45,824,410 432,189,352 2020/21 12,306,287 13,663,675 2,130,339 47,843,331 79,822,336 37,111,884 28,337,123 47,304,682 15,471,996 50,584,022 559,341,145 2021/22 16,878,751 12,391,137 3,112,041 53,040,562 72,902,784 54,660,015 34,904,262 88,848,225 17,314,918 74,802,391 884,019,490 2022/23 21,772,351 16,034,678 3,134,407 55,240,875 90,556,225 61,480,687 39,665,731 56,057,124 24,639,008 82,603,708 912,983,688 2023/24 23,033,249 15,486,339 3,511,605 70,188,048 183,946,693 61,037,438 56,970,215 42,567,573 22,745,093 87,437,728 1,032,756,715
230 Period Food & Live Animals Beverages Tobacco Petroleum Crude Petroleum Prod. Chemicals Fertilizers Medical & Pharm. Prod Soap & Polish Rubber Prod. 1979/80 128,453.0 389.0 896.0 671,245.0 94,652.0 33,264.0 125,845.0 1,580.0 9,753.0 6,871.0 1980/81 124,219.0 478.0 1,443.0 690,482.0 56,602.0 34,286.0 6,845.0 2,849.0 11,764.0 6,724.0 1981/82 178,264.0 661.0 1,033.0 713,236.0 18,409.0 3,572.0 29,393.0 2,887.0 17,283.0 8,567.0 1982/83 259,465.0 393.0 1,032.0 778,898.0 20,796.0 40,440.0 41,651.0 1,796.0 15,253.0 7,712.0 1983/84 289,533.0 1,035.0 1,104.0 785,158.0 55,168.0 47,274.0 36,078.0 2,829.0 8,378.0 9,170.0 1984/85 601,897.0 429.0 886.0 718,827.0 19,615.0 38,060.0 72,828.0 2,736.0 4,240.0 8,899.0 1985/86 846,775.0 1,077.0 117.0 727,531.0 16,176.0 43,618.0 108,079.0 3,925.0 5,314.0 15,244.0 1986/87 599,912.0 1,074.0 604.0 813,554.0 20,463.0 45,782.0 39,217.0 4,326.0 17,705.0 11,330.0 1987/88 565,624.0 920.0 2,389.0 73,226.0 19,007.0 41,520.0 152,777.0 3,784.0 13,093.0 10,325.0 1988/89 551,147.0 507.0 19.0 769,438.0 20,510.0 39,050.0 112,897.0 5,888.0 5,438.0 9,157.0 1989/90 128,060.0 2,058.0 1,167.0 776,307.0 34,604.0 46,591.0 131,988.0 5,352.0 16,685.0 5,725.0 1990/91 401,515.0 1,720.1 779.6 494,081.0 12,724.0 27,984.0 91,966.0 11,647.0 19,185.0 6,484.0 1991/92 12,828.0 388.3 76.3 302,583.0 146,439.0 8,782.0 125.0 1,946.0 14,713.0 4,367.0 1992/93 440,582.2 610.5 256.3 740,043.1 332,905.0 22,856.8 10,308.4 2,587.2 20,773.6 6,888.9 1993/94 411,187.6 312.4 1,145.8 688,343.9 276,575.7 34,665.9 100,566.2 2,760.2 18,365.7 8,047.4 1994/95 622,468.5 478.7 696.0 674,312.5 471,183.5 22,459.1 218,133.1 4,037.9 9,498.4 10,009.4 1995/96 322,279.3 1,589.7 489.6 417,100.0 333,631.8 33,876.5 115,377.2 2,109.7 17,644.6 14,374.7 1996/97 13,068.9 1,175.9 232.7 34,924.2 914,285.0 15,796.1 101,305.4 3,662.9 30,290.4 23,098.5 1997/98 30,835.0 1,666.7 350.6 159,816.5 1,857,647.0 16,769.7 36,225.9 2,167.7 18,148.7 14,799.5 1998/99 225,025.9 3,170.5 693.2 3,006.8 1,064,451.0 121,440.1 175,442.2 6,260.4 23,958.4 15,148.1 1999/00 391,278.7 2,618.3 933.1 - 1,094,883.2 34,236.7 233,847.8 3,125.8 18,317.2 53,466.7 2000/01 420,439.3 1,746.6 1,006.0 - 950,043.7 30,294.1 79,524.9 2,820.2 28,859.6 22,398.6 2001/02 738,091.7 1,079.4 1,784.2 - 944,921.6 18,907.8 302,409.4 4,136.9 25,648.9 17,583.4 2002/03 645,141.6 1,252.6 724.4 - 1,460,960.0 19,577.6 252,258.6 3,502.5 27,847.2 18,395.7 2003/04 691,588.7 1,433.2 738.4 - 1,033,738.3 23,114.6 382,673.3 8,119.1 33,670.2 21,253.7 2004/05 576,638.2 1,806.5 919.7 - 1,823,335.6 29,232.2 352,064.6 4,580.7 42,352.6 26,637.1 2005/06 819,011.5 1,306.9 2,045.4 - 1,229,077.8 46,714.6 396,794.8 6,993.8 59,404.1 72,211.5 2006/07 597,407.9 2,222.9 1,565.8 - 1,454,121.6 42,222.5 272,802.8 7,010.7 49,042.3 31,256.4 2007/08 506,952.6 2,608.9 2,749.1 - 1,619,430.5 47,665.6 479,485.9 7,959.6 43,334.9 32,450.0 2008/09 1,834,398.8 2,024.2 1,767.6 - 1,404,122.1 53,302.7 528,635.4 11,796.6 51,938.2 37,305.6 2009/10 1,781,546.2 2,415.7 2,659.8 - 2,365,707.0 73,106.4 615,917.4 9,746.8 38,977.5 49,583.9 2010/11 547,512.7 2,308.8 2,228.5 - 1,795,018.8 56,496.0 622,239.2 15,022.9 34,381.8 37,465.4 2011/12 1,818,239.2 3,380.2 2,114.6 - 2,160,455.6 65,088.8 907,129.9 15,442.9 52,956.6 38,732.2 2012/13 1,105,099.7 13,902.5 7,115.5 - 1,506,402.8 92,926.1 402,556.6 23,612.5 162,562.4 32,775.3 2013/14 1,882,941.2 17,798.7 2,172.1 - 2,623,450.8 171,106.5 853,656.1 33,495.0 43,254.6 73,698.0 2014/15 2,544,223.7 20,303.3 2,391.3 - 2,822,058.4 160,620.8 959,073.5 19,896.9 53,489.7 57,317.2 2015/16 4,415,089.9 24,227.3 1,769.5 - 3,043,561.0 196,917.3 883,747.8 21,089.8 71,682.4 62,919.2 2016/17 2,893,064.0 37,609.3 2,264.4 - 3,439,289.8 169,680.4 1,046,640.7 28,611.3 69,403.1 71,797.9 2017/18 3,617,742.9 42,302.6 1,536.2 - 3,770,588.9 192,699.7 1,318,169.2 21,339.7 78,927.2 60,383.1 2018/19 3,165,738.5 19,639.6 2,743.0 - 3,889,608.3 211,596.5 1,196,526.0 41,876.7 89,174.3 74,451.0 2019/20 5,273,106.5 17,298.1 2,472.1 - 3,867,196.1 752,107.0 1,534,659.8 34,002.1 87,389.8 90,271.5 2020/21 7,335,018.5 20,078.3 914.9 - 3,719,623.1 198,621.5 1,576,103.8 27,892.2 88,963.6 66,709.2 2021/22 7,264,669.4 9,245.1 566.7 - 3,911,168.8 209,641.1 1,349,231.7 33,901.9 77,009.2 58,016.6 2022/23 4,119,561.8 16,162.1 654.5 - 3,940,881.7 232,089.5 1,104,807.6 33,763.1 70,619.5 71,773.4 2023/24 3,422,125.7 6,821.6 1,186.0 - 3,813,830.9 253,016.3 2,260,862.5 34,188.4 108,874.5 92,279.8 (in Metric Tones) Table 10: Volume of Major Imports**
231 Table 10 continued: Period Paper & Paper Manfc. Textiles Clothings Glass & Glass Ware Metal & Metal Manfc. Machinery & Aircra Road Motor Vehicles Electrical Materials Grain* Telecomm. Appara. 1979/80 12,246.0 18,044.0 366.0 3,500.0 57,045.0 21,934.0 14,287.0 5,391.0 106,331.0 372.0 1980/81 13,719.0 14,799.0 135.0 4,250.0 55,122.0 16,115.0 14,667.0 4,514.0 64,044.0 666.0 1981/82 12,935.0 22,466.0 270.0 1,191.0 38,674.0 19,094.0 19,497.0 4,625.0 154,477.0 541.0 1982/83 7,262.0 19,467.0 111.0 3,589.0 84,345.0 10,851.0 24,867.0 7,961.0 241,059.0 321.0 1983/84 13,761.0 25,754.0 126.0 6,979.0 81,360.0 22,894.0 23,201.0 13,146.0 264,712.0 741.0 1984/85 21,815.0 313,855.0 257.0 2,630.0 84,583.0 21,164.0 18,115.0 6,771.0 537,737.0 531.0 1985/86 19,406.0 20,797.0 143.0 2,428.0 72,348.0 33,926.0 31,983.0 9,367.0 704,059.0 466.0 1986/87 11,517.0 14,672.0 66.0 2,302.0 81,054.0 25,108.0 29,853.0 20,273.0 551,880.0 2,724.0 1987/88 13,186.0 20,299.0 145.0 1,876.0 77,731.0 24,219.0 48,171.0 10,759.0 448,158.0 1,128.0 1988/89 11,359.0 36,867.0 299.0 970.0 77,324.0 13,937.0 16,867.0 8,136.0 423,204.0 2,191.0 1989/90 13,865.0 10,332.0 90.0 2,822.0 82,229.0 15,469.0 11,490.0 12,983.0 118,560.0 1,547.0 1990/91 9,906.0 6,126.0 299.2 2,475.0 45,954.0 11,887.0 21,224.0 6,017.0 374,114.0 1,399.0 1991/92 3,924.0 7,854.0 424.0 472.0 17,175.0 2,951.0 15,188.0 3,685.0 1,947.9 449.0 1992/93 7,781.5 17,577.9 317.6 2,446.8 43,720.9 7,248.5 32,394.1 6,632.2 421,496.9 7,225.4 1993/94 10,062.4 12,709.9 1,073.4 2,110.6 113,445.5 8,542.6 32,362.4 9,448.6 382,632.5 310.2 1994/95 6,264.8 17,505.4 1,581.9 2,039.5 116,919.2 28,712.2 32,497.8 83,301.9 590,328.1 82.4 1995/96 7,835.1 16,501.0 4,808.1 5,878.8 119,762.0 42,304.6 41, 81 8.0 12,487.6 313,282.0 96.4 1996/97 22,807.0 42,304.8 7,500.8 6,327.6 194,750.1 24,358.1 38,937.0 46,950.6 4,019.3 131.1 1997/98 20,312.6 26,681.1 4,685.1 6,170.6 163,616.8 24,115.4 20,482.3 20,525.1 22,928.5 104.6 1998/99 160,611.8 39,073.2 6,886.9 10,194.2 217,971.0 28,591.4 73,864.5 36,830.9 219,044.0 470.0 1999/00 413,422.2 71,001.9 10,177.6 10,486.0 198,761.7 28,817.5 80,219.1 21,369.7 360,118.1 1,232.4 2000/01 100,301.6 20,680.2 20,562.4 15,254.5 261,843.0 26,964.1 91,784.3 24,421.1 360,317.7 20,588.3 2001/02 32,216.0 26,630.1 19,361.3 11,900.4 273,464.6 23,962.2 47,917.1 25,206.4 693,514.9 329.9 2002/03 35,925.8 33,900.4 18,225.4 13,799.4 256,989.9 29,572.1 34,348.0 29,328.9 620,999.6 716.3 2003/04 46,047.8 40,618.7 30,837.4 20,092.7 293,701.2 38,653.1 41,688.9 54,920.2 628,811.6 3,327.3 2004/05 53,790.6 90,527.2 27,149.6 22,345.8 539,108.0 53,641.5 47,555.0 58,571.1 535,237.2 89,892.7 2005/06 66,235.9 53,927.3 36,103.9 27,558.3 578,956.7 77,915.9 1,130,445.5 83,658.3 715,902.1 6,065.5 2006/07 67,729.3 38,935.4 33,617.9 29,546.8 795,736.4 101,880.8 114,151.2 64,490.1 507,199.0 6,161.8 2007/08 78,419.8 41,135.5 30,473.6 38,345.1 732,819.0 103,879.9 73,545.7 64,580.6 433,009.5 4,251.1 2008/09 90,504.2 36,349.3 24,278.1 33,469.0 641,508.0 108,046.9 84,279.6 87,896.5 1,731,465.1 1,794.6 2009/10 238,737.5 37,964.1 33,454.5 28,208.1 836,745.9 141,184.6 204,618.5 194,059.8 1,567,321.8 1,428.2 2010/11 57,452.1 38,370.2 31,669.4 25,489.8 772,360.7 231,077.7 133,737.9 64,156.8 438,137.4 1,134.6 2011/12 89,205.8 46,129.4 37,796.9 45,244.9 904,607.4 151,778.3 241,940.5 76,974.4 1,679,919.7 917.4 2012/13 94,055.2 41,858.8 36,103.1 56,403.7 992,746.4 207,980.6 177,514.2 89,945.7 1,252,139.3 1,102.4 2013/14 150,904.4 55,403.9 64,820.9 67,452.6 1,440,073.2 324,447.8 189,586.4 175,816.2 1,077,855.8 16,479.2 2014/15 112,785.3 76,284.1 137,743.0 83,071.2 1,661,613.1 277,489.7 206,335.4 236,986.1 1,564,475.7 33,652.9 2015/16 148,315.8 79,714.5 95,612.7 88,331.3 2,196,125.4 242,898.0 233,784.1 142,044.1 3,076,636.9 29,489.2 2016/17 160,185.9 96,517.5 86,110.2 102,413.4 1,834,801.7 262,051.3 411,234.2 140,016.2 1,662,204.8 19,288.2 2017/18 123,871.3 93,108.0 92,008.5 92,111.8 1,431,550.6 239,803.2 433,689.6 117,945.4 2,235,344.9 18,784.8 2018/19 137,169.8 136,851.2 78,766.1 97,019.8 1,713,951.7 221,542.6 159,677.6 129,826.5 1,778,046.2 18,416.6 2019/20 164,476.5 114,236.8 57,163.9 120,799.1 1,830,641.4 206,076.5 184,945.3 128,567.3 2,594,477.8 18,880.1 2020/21 162,243.1 128,174.6 53,033.7 67,489.0 1,607,506.7 182,434.0 169,163.3 108,962.8 3,635,178.1 45,886.4 2021/22 97,879.0 144,133.4 47,851.6 64,564.7 1,002,703.2 157,202.8 194,261.3 78,849.3 3,621,673.8 13,710.2 2022/23 319,401.6 165,067.7 53,832.4 76,578.4 2,312,006.5 200,008.2 221,320.1 101,039.4 1,826,134.2 17,674.5 2023/24 153,086.5 167,547.0 52,550.6 77,297.1 5,983,138.8 215,630.3 446,368.6 120,504.1 1,569,130.9 19,749.5
232 Table 11: Value of Imports, By End Use (In Millions of Birr) 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) RAW MATERIALS 3,617.87 4,233.32 5,070.88 5,400.91 5,577.02 5,752.90 6,637.16 SEMI-FINISHED GOODS 65,669.07 78,124.87 97,796.04 105,406.69 184,980.29 173,829.41 212,881.92 Chemicals 8,910.53 10,868.22 16,743.30 18,890.76 24,699.48 27,517.04 34,935.51 Fertilizers 13,001.60 14,219.85 19,517.00 28,031.17 70,195.28 49,289.35 73,629.55 Textile Materials 1,589.57 2,276.95 3,485.51 5,359.73 9,507.58 10,364.29 9,306.84 Others 42,167.37 50,759.84 58,050.24 53,125.03 80,577.94 86,658.73 95,010.02 FUEL 61,066.24 72,941.90 64,685.48 76,625.78 169,859.55 211,126.40 201,790.89 Crude Petroleum 1.80 0.88 1.96 10.32 7.18 7.64 1.43 Petroleum Products 58,666.28 69,942.60 62,056.89 72,597.46 165,014.81 203,796.30 197,454.87 Others 2,398.17 2,998.41 2,626.62 4,017.99 4,837.57 7,322.46 4,334.59 CAPITAL GOODS 136,684.08 140,735.46 128,229.80 151,669.63 148,132.94 202,143.52 316,022.14 Transport 29,339.13 39,925.34 12,249.42 13,690.16 15,688.20 38,728.67 67,904.99 Tyres for Heavy Vehicle 2,628.97 3,172.78 4,191.33 4,299.83 4,394.44 4,354.59 4,863.21 Heavy Road Motor Vehicle 18,666.44 11,547.46 5,652.14 2,954.13 4,175.33 25,107.09 27,390.18 Aircraft 7,529.52 24,230.88 2,033.72 5,328.32 6,624.19 8,685.05 34,843.03 Others 514.20 974.22 372.22 1,107.88 494.24 581.94 808.57 Agricultural 1,343.02 1,639.92 2,745.65 3,422.46 2,678.25 4,987.84 3,610.81 Industrial 106,001.93 99,170.20 113,234.74 134,557.01 129,766.49 158,427.01 244,506.34 CONSUMER GOODS 122,572.11 119,742.43 124,714.69 213,380.89 368,192.64 314,095.72 287,886.18 Consumer Durables 35,022.62 33,680.58 28,525.81 31,313.80 39,701.10 77,073.09 78,256.11 Radio & Television 2,836.57 3,417.15 1,947.48 2,061.47 2,348.43 6,094.82 6,064.65 Tyres, Cars & Other Veh. 1,624.56 1,511.83 1,596.76 1,477.42 2,202.90 2,321.72 2,470.57 Cars & Other Vehicles 12,001.85 10,008.97 3,455.56 812.32 852.77 34,113.23 32,164.87 Others 18,559.64 18,742.63 21,526.01 26,962.59 34,296.99 34,543.31 37,556.02 Consumer Non- Durables 87,549.49 86,061.85 96,188.88 182,067.09 328,491.55 237,022.64 209,630.07 Cereals 20,043.62 16,734.20 26,055.01 53,253.48 105,138.02 55,245.36 38,073.55 Other Food 16,254.14 15,615.52 16,738.49 32,012.30 68,806.45 56,686.47 46,976.84 Medical & Pharmaceutical 14,814.52 21,134.62 21,356.68 26,642.51 38,536.00 36,071.23 35,434.77 Textile Fabrics 14,797.76 11,089.56 12,300.45 18,599.28 16,603.16 22,416.79 26,614.19 Others 21,639.45 21,487.95 19,738.25 51,559.52 99,407.91 66,602.79 62,530.71 MISCELLANEOUS 7,558.39 7,770.44 11,692.47 6,857.24 7,277.05 6,035.74 7,538.43 TOTAL IMPORTS 397,167.76 423,548.43 432,189.35 559,341.15 884,019.49 912,983.69 1,032,756.71
233 Table 12: Value of Imports, By Country of Origin (Thousands of Birr) 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Djibouti 7,704.7 269,433.1 1,226,327.9 5,657,336.4 20,613,926.2 24,598,623.6 22,685,971.5 Kenya 897,078.4 1,139,320.9 2,684,219.8 2,237,418.7 5,292,979.2 5,994,083.8 4,751,909.2 Sudan 2,514,988.8 2,303,850.5 2,297,293.8 1,107,245.5 176,219.6 220,345.5 521,997.5 U.A.E 14,836,084.5 15,454,092.5 17,334,298.2 36,910,293.4 60,220,789.4 76,635,417.1 97,053,418.3 France 4,812,648.4 4,356,532.7 8,262,606.0 7,481,685.2 6,609,334.3 8,948,029.7 8,917,660.1 Germany 7,334,813.3 9,022,326.3 9,223,187.9 8,345,258.5 8,779,107.1 8,611,306.9 15,293,673.9 Italy 13,678,281.2 9,589,278.4 8,205,642.8 13,317,722.6 9,137,982.9 10,925,653.4 10,439,604.9 Netherlands 6,219,422.6 5,204,068.3 4,682,694.0 3,780,241.5 7,141,614.2 5,542,764.6 5,909,852.5 U.K. 6,032,331.5 9,120,102.2 9,221,407.7 11,152,568.7 6,097,132.3 10,588,592.9 28,566,079.2 Russia 2,497,473.4 3,423,319.9 2,116,757.8 4,712,302.7 6,054,250.0 1,830,694.9 10,255,569.9 Yugoslavia 0.0 U.S.A. 31,005,628.8 38,173,429.8 33,171,144.1 38,100,962.8 48,138,146.4 56,476,065.0 37,753,489.1 China, P. Rep. 112,732,306.1 109,836,932.6 112,513,560.3 126,418,108.2 162,302,544.7 191,663,400.4 256,580,178.7 Japan 15,686,899.8 10,526,425.8 5,495,524.0 4,139,127.9 3,480,925.1 4,825,674.9 5,742,795.8 Saudi Arabia 10,323,358.3 6,858,830.0 14,260,963.3 19,549,678.9 57,856,736.4 77,470,351.8 66,529,107.6 Rest of the World 168,588,736 198,270,487 201,493,724 276,431,194 482,117,802 428,652,684 461,755,406 Total Import 397,167,755.6 423,548,429.5 432,189,352.0 559,341,145.1 884,019,489.6 912,983,688.2 1,032,756,714.7 Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission Countries
234 Table 13: Values of Export by Destination* (In Thousand of Birr) 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2010) (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) Djibouti 3,312,767.9 3,572,337.4 3,702,736.4 4,497,508.4 7,134,466.7 8,051,547.1 7,165,380.0 Kenya 1,057,668.8 566,102.0 439,609.0 1,616,543.8 839,355.8 3,292,962.2 5,576,999.6 Sudan 2,690,709.5 1,945,939.4 2,168,104.2 3,168,442.1 3,966,853.4 4,351,639.7 4,216,179.5 U.A.E 2,890,041.4 3,660,308.4 3,936,157.3 7,145,156.7 9,434,519.7 10,633,544.9 12,439,831.2 France 815,455.0 556,438.0 890,052.7 2,181,537.6 1,930,292.0 1,886,179.7 2,238,755.1 Germany 4,729,675.7 3,117,963.9 5,026,821.2 5,745,974.7 13,556,631.8 10,822,944.7 9,294,839.7 Italy 1,485,535.5 1,195,539.3 1,401,024.7 2,839,821.4 3,960,106.1 3,713,587.7 4,287,362.5 Netherlands 5,001,313.7 5,843,402.3 9,670,552.9 10,695,072.7 18,873,683.5 21,196,275.4 18,490,906.6 U.K. 1,158,597.9 1,158,806.1 1,052,198.4 2,357,712.9 2,716,091.8 3,758,197.3 2,903,650.2 Russia 471,864.5 344,778.3 369,994.7 1,891,810.4 727,549.1 890,187.5 1,177,849.7 Yugoslavia 0.0 U.S.A. 6,053,876.5 5,308,192.0 5,031,320.4 8,495,485.6 17,573,400.6 16,892,648.6 14,858,588.2 China, P.Rep. 6,301,806.7 3,985,339.1 2,500,656.6 3,731,565.0 5,219,670.2 5,709,770.7 5,950,206.1 Japan 2,377,676.8 3,335,760.7 3,431,247.0 3,495,238.4 7,439,739.9 5,950,702.9 7,161,994.6 Saudi Arabia 4,971,483.0 5,022,828.1 6,349,911.2 7,463,486.1 13,653,789.9 17,402,426.7 19,943,751.6 Rest of the World 30,893,009.8 35,318,688.1 48,394,751.6 76,376,053.7 92,968,888.5 78,620,057.3 97,408,908.3 Total Export 74,211,482.8 74,932,423.0 94,365,138.3 141,701,409.6 199,995,039.0 193,172,672.3 213,115,203.0
235 Table 14: Trade Balance with Major Trading Partners (Thousands of Birr) 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 (2011) (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) Djibouti 3,302,904.28 2,476,408.47 1,159,828.00 - 13,479,459.42 - 16,547,076.51 - 15,520,591.50 - Kenya 573,218.90 - 2,244,610.82 - 620,874.88 - 4,453,623.35 - 2,701,121.63 - 825,090.38 Sudan 357,911.15 - 129,189.56 - 2,061,196.66 3,790,633.80 4,131,294.28 3,694,181.99 U.A.E 11,793,784.02 - 13,398,140.88 - 29,765,136.69 - 50,786,269.76 - 66,001,872.23 - 84,613,587.19 - France 3,800,094.66 - 7,372,553.36 - 5,300,147.55 - 4,679,042.29 - 7,061,850.00 - 6,678,904.95 - Germany 5,904,362.33 - 4,196,366.66 - 2,599,283.75 - 4,777,524.67 2,211,637.74 5,998,834.18 - Italy 8,393,739.12 - 6,804,618.16 - 10,477,901.21 - 5,177,876.85 - 7,212,065.79 - 6,152,242.40 - Netherlands 639,333.99 4,987,858.94 6,914,831.20 11,732,069.31 15,653,510.84 12,581,054.06 U.K. 7,961,296.08 - 8,169,209.23 - 8,794,855.85 - 3,381,040.45 - 6,830,395.63 - 25,662,429.05 - Russia 3,078,541.61 - 1,746,763.03 - 2,820,492.31 - 5,326,700.95 - 940,507.41 - 9,077,720.23 - Yugoslavia - - - - - - U.S.A. 32,865,237.81 - 28,139,823.72 - 29,605,477.20 - 30,564,745.82 - 39,583,416.49 - 22,894,900.92 - China, P.Rep. 105,851,593.49 - 110,012,903.69 - 122,686,543.20 - 157,082,874.48 - 185,953,629.74 - 250,629,972.53 - Japan 7,190,665.14 - 2,064,277.06 - 643,889.53 - 3,958,814.73 1,125,028.00 1,419,198.86 Saudi Arabia 1,836,001.89 - 7,911,052.11 - 12,086,192.84 - 44,202,946.47 - 60,067,925.08 - 46,585,356.02 - Rest of the World 162,951,798.52 - 153,098,972.87 - 200,055,140.29 - 389,148,913.26 - 350,032,626.28 - 364,346,498.08 - Overall Trade Balance 348,616,006.45 - 337,824,213.76 - 417,639,735.45 - 684,024,450.60 - 719,811,015.95 - 819,641,511.75 - Source: Ethiopian Customs Commission Trading Country
236 Table 15: Components of Broad Money (In Millions of Birr) 1 2 3=1+2 4 5=3+4 1979/80 1,062.8 435.8 1,498.6 610.2 2,108.8 1980/81 1,027.1 688.2 1,715.3 662.3 2,377.6 1981/82 1,129.8 762.4 1,892.2 751.5 2,643.7 1982/83 1,258.2 922.2 2,180.4 860.1 3,040.5 1983/84 1,282.9 1,096.4 2,379.3 1,004.4 3,383.7 1984/85 1,358.5 1,333.6 2,692.1 1,156.9 3,849.0 1985/86 1,591.9 1,587.7 3,179.6 1,268.6 4,448.2 1986/87 1,743.5 1,820.0 3,563.5 1,245.2 4,808.7 1987/88 1,908.3 2,002.5 3,910.8 1,327.9 5,238.7 1988/89 2,181.8 1,992.0 4,173.8 1,530.6 5,704.4 1989/90 2,736.3 2,253.7 4,990.0 1,718.2 6,708.2 1990/91 3,820.8 2,314.0 6,134.8 1,827.4 7,962.2 1991/92 4,315.8 2,529.5 6,845.3 2,165.6 9,010.9 1992/93 4,883.2 2,697.5 7,580.7 2,556.0 10,136.7 1993/94 5,158.9 3,214.3 8,373.2 3,225.5 11,598.7 1994/95 5,833.8 4,088.6 9,922.4 4,486.0 14,408.4 1995/96 5,656.9 4,260.5 9,917.4 5,737.5 15,654.9 1996/97 5,176.3 4,847.7 10,024.0 6,524.8 16,548.8 1997/98 4,716.8 6,377.2 11,094.0 7,549.3 18,643.3 1998/99 5,196.4 6,182.5 11,378.9 8,020.5 19,399.4 1999/00 5,914.3 7,136.0 13,050.3 9,127.5 22,177.8 2000/01 5,911.8 7,834.0 13,745.8 10,770.4 24,516.2 2001/02 5,461.9 8,690.6 14,152.5 12,139.5 26,292.1 2002/03 6,582.0 8,834.8 15,416.8 13,643.4 29,060.2 2003/04 7,843.9 10,192.1 18,036.0 15,590.0 33,626.0 2004/05 10,026.0 11,265.1 21,291.1 18,920.7 40,211.7 2005/06 11,422.9 12,389.0 23,811.9 22,565.5 46,377.4 2006/07 13,708.4 15,909.3 29,617.7 27,034.2 56,651.9 2007/08 17,654.1 17,696.3 35,350.4 32,831.8 68,182.1 2008/09 19,715.0 22,397.6 42,112.7 40,397.1 82,509.8 2009/10 24,206.8 28,227.8 52,434.6 51,997.8 104,432.4 2010/11 32,574.9 43,596.1 76,171.0 69,206.0 145,377.0 2011/12 38,537.1 56,312.7 94,849.9 94,548.9 189,398.8 2012/13 45,671.0 69,074.7 114,745.7 120,567.9 235,313.6 2013/14 53,161.4 80,887.8 134,049.2 163,682.8 297,732.0 2014/15 60,460.9 94,245.4 154,706.3 216,622.6 371,328.9 2015/16 66,686.2 111,923.5 178,609.7 266,656.6 445,266.3 2016/17 73,917.7 142,851.9 216,769.6 356,614.4 573,384.1 2017/18 86,417.3 194,737.4 281,154.7 459,418.2 740,572.9 2018/19 92,017.0 216,920.2 308,937.1 577,815.4 886,752.5 2019/20 109,071.8 251,513.7 360,585.5 677,060.8 1,037,646.3 2020/21 133,621.3 303,770.7 437,392.0 910,874.2 1,348,266.1 2021/22 173,382.8 414,633.0 588,015.8 1,127,294.2 1,715,310.0 2022/23 211,636.8 494,505.4 706,142.2 1,464,706.2 2,170,848.4 2023/24 205,441.3 617,057.3 822,498.6 1,655,417.6 2,477,916.2 Source: National Bank of Ethiopia Broad Money End of Period Currency outside Banks Net Demand Deposit Narrow Money QuasiMoney
237 2005/06 49,298.6 25,266.4 19,095.7 6,170.6 24,032.2 19,431.1 - 4,601.1 - 2006/07 61,846.9 30,337.6 24,855.6 5,482.1 31,509.2 23,493.8 - 8,015.5 - 2007/08 78,475.1 33,075.7 35,405.8 (2,330.1) 45,399.4 33,600.6 - 11,798.8 - 2008/09 89,205.9 32,786.5 37,827.2 (5,040.7) 56,419.4 38,802.0 - 17,617.4 - 2009/10 104,416.2 33,013.1 39,340.3 (6,327.2) 71,403.1 47,603.6 - 23,799.5 - 2010/11 135,558.6 28,651.7 45,323.7 (16,672.1) 106,906.9 61,871.3 - 38,785.6 6,250.0 2011/12 189,122.1 21,557.4 45,344.1 (23,786.7) 167,564.6 94,617.0 - 60,445.6 12,502.0 2012/13 233,406.4 21,965.5 55,377.3 (33,411.8) 211,440.8 114,384.6 - 80,549.2 16,507.0 2013/14 299,729.6 26,630.8 64,211.9 (37,581.2) 273,098.9 141,975.8 - 110,866.0 20,257.0 2014/15 393,439.8 30,735.3 77,076.8 (46,341.6) 362,704.5 185,501.9 - 153,845.6 23,357.0 2015/16 490,230.4 47,524.4 95,038.1 (47,513.7) 442,706.0 226,849.2 - 190,249.8 25,607.0 2016/17 631,092.8 85,441.8 120,891.0 (35,449.2) 545,650.9 283,835.2 - 234,589.8 27,226.0 2017/18 784,621.8 102,002.8 140,206.9 (38,204.0) 682,618.9 346,302.9 - 289,023.3 47,292.7 2018/19 963,699.9 109,799.2 172,171.4 (62,372.2) 853,900.7 443,362.2 - 358,395.8 52,142.7 2019/20 1,302,948.3 137,082.9 195,711.0 (58,628.1) 1,165,865.4 588,391.2 - 519,331.4 58,142.7 2020/21 1,659,218.4 214,275.2 245,019.2 (30,744.0) 1,444,943.3 778,613.2 - 609,687.4 56,642.7 2021/22 2,195,732.5 422,864.0 326,216.3 96,647.7 1,772,868.5 996,662.2 - 731,383.6 44,822.7 2022/23 2,711,304.0 573,675.7 521,300.0 52,375.7 2,137,628.3 1,293,479.3 - 799,326.4 44,822.7 2023/24 3,134,751.6 745,541.1 632,253.1 113,288.0 2,389,210.5 1,480,244.3 - 867,643.4 41,322.7
238(In Millions of Birr) 1=2+6 2=3 to 5 3 4 5 6 7=8+9 8 9 10=11+12 11=2-9 12=6-8 1989/90 190.2 41.8 23.1 18.7 - 148.4 143.7 71.5 72.2 46.5 -30.4 76.9 1990/91 446.9 177.7 31.3 146.4 - 269.2 158.6 118.4 40.2 288.3 137.5 150.8 1991/92 729.9 346.7 44.0 302.7 - 383.2 326.8 88.6 238.2 403.1 108.5 294.6 1992/93 2,316.3 1,342.9 57.0 1,236.6 49.3 973.4 1,449.1 266.9 1,182.2 867.2 160.7 706.5 1993/94 5,286.9 3,193.4 64.5 3,071.7 57.2 2,093.5 1,519.5 469.2 1,050.3 3,767.4 2,143.1 1,624.3 1994/95 7,399.6 3,895.6 71.1 3,755.9 68.6 3,504.0 1,690.3 799.6 890.7 5,709.3 3,004.9 2,704.4 1995/96 8,107.6 5,718.2 23.1 5,630.7 64.4 2,389.4 1,871.8 1,055.0 816.8 6,235.8 4,901.4 1,334.4 1996/97 8,237.9 3,968.7 2.5 3,899.2 67.0 4,269.2 2,612.3 1,514.1 1,098.2 5,625.6 2,870.5 2,755.1 1997/98 8,843.6 3,105.7 2.5 3,036.8 66.4 5,737.9 3,012.6 2,072.5 940.1 5,831.0 2,165.6 3,665.4 1998/99 8,839.9 3,588.8 2.8 3,508.9 77.1 5,251.1 2,752.1 1,685.1 1,067.0 6,087.8 2,521.8 3,566.0 1999/00 7,814.5 2,921.7 2.8 2,840.5 78.4 4,892.8 3,043.9 2,089.5 954.4 4,770.6 1,967.3 2,803.3 2000/01 7,829.5 2,907.8 2.9 2,829.6 75.3 4,921.7 3,029.5 1,815.4 1,214.1 4,800.0 1,693.7 3,106.3 2001/02 11,470.7 5,743.6 2.9 5,660.0 80.7 5,727.1 3,648.3 1,703.3 1,945.0 7,822.4 3,798.6 4,023.8 2002/03 14,427.2 7,988.2 2.9 7,899.3 86.0 6,439.0 3,378.1 1,674.7 1,703.4 11,049.1 6,284.8 4,764.3 2003/04 17,449.8 11,307.3 2.5 11,213.3 91.6 6,142.5 4,452.0 1,889.5 2,562.4 12,997.8 8,744.9 4,253.0 2004/05 19,963.5 13,704.9 57.0 13,556.5 91.3 6,258.6 6,095.5 1,979.8 4,115.7 13,868.0 9,589.2 4,278.8 2005/06 16,759.0 10,071.7 89.2 9,889.6 92.8 6,687.3 4,649.5 1,735.8 2,913.6 12,109.6 7,158.0 4,951.5 2006/07 19,514.9 11,977.3 429.3 11,448.5 99.5 7,537.7 6,174.6 1,986.3 4,188.3 13,340.4 7,789.0 5,551.4 2007/08 16,735.5 8,708.7 5.5 8,589.2 114.0 8,026.8 5,069.9 2,301.9 2,768.0 11,665.6 5,940.7 5,725.0 2008/09 26,434.3 17,214.6 18.2 17,069.0 127.5 9,219.7 8,457.5 3,076.5 5,380.9 17,976.8 11,833.7 6,143.1 2009/10 42,350.1 27,289.3 443.3 26,700.3 145.7 15,060.8 15,160.3 3,254.3 11,906.0 27,189.8 15,383.3 11,806.5 2010/11 79,945.5 51,551.4 1,395.2 49,960.5 195.7 28,394.2 24,410.9 5,715.5 18,695.4 55,534.7 32,856.0 22,678.7 2011/12 64,119.0 40,101.4 2,038.1 37,868.1 195.3 24,017.6 26,738.5 5,484.2 21,254.3 37,380.5 18,847.1 18,533.4 2012/13 72,658.1 44,140.0 2,253.2 41,685.1 201.8 28,518.1 27,009.6 7,515.2 19,494.4 45,648.5 24,645.6 21,002.9 2013/14 77,878.0 50,624.5 1,217.6 49,188.5 218.4 27,253.5 31,905.7 7,995.1 23,910.6 45,972.3 26,713.9 19,258.4 2014/15 82,741.8 66,817.7 79.3 66,423.1 315.3 15,924.1 45,170.9 8,326.6 36,844.3 37,570.9 29,973.4 7,597.6 2015/16 95,055.0 74,156.7 1,113.9 72,711.3 331.5 20,898.2 73,530.8 9,880.5 63,650.3 21,524.2 10,506.4 11,017.7 2016/17 98,750.8 73,874.3 741.3 72,783.6 349.4 24,876.5 60,716.1 10,818.8 49,897.3 38,034.8 23,977.0 14,057.7 2017/18 102,738.9 77,617.4 750.5 76,448.4 418.4 25,121.5 63,362.7 14,504.8 48,858.0 39,376.2 28,759.4 10,616.8 2018/19 127,270.4 98,726.6 804.9 97,484.0 437.8 28,543.8 112,765.3 18,006.4 94,758.9 14,505.2 3,967.8 10,537.4 2019/20 147,202.9 112,086.4 3,280.6 108,280.4 525.4 35,116.5 155,524.2 24,578.2 130,946.0 -8,321.3 -18,859.6 10,538.3 2020/21 202,804.8 125,859.7 628.2 124,551.3 680.2 76,945.1 203,617.1 33,850.4 169,766.7 -812.3 -43,907.0 43,094.7 2021/22 143,751.3 79,819.6 2,065.3 76,997.2 757.1 63,931.7 255,178.9 41,140.6 214,038.3 -111,427.5 -134,218.7 22,791.1 2022/23 130,367.5 56,154.3 129.2 55,230.1 795.0 74,213.2 290,465.2 42,887.7 247,577.5 -160,097.7 -191,423.1 31,325.5 2023/24 171,669.5 82,159.3 220.1 81,122.4 816.8 89,510.2 416,943.6 45,876.5 371,067.2 -245,274.1 -288,907.9 43,633.8 Source: National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) Table 17: Gold & Foreign Exchange Holdings of the National Bank of Ethiopia and Commercial Banks Net Gold & Foreign Exchange Foreign Liabilities End of Fiscal Year Total Liab. Comm. Banks NBE Total NBE Gross Total National Bank of Ethiopia International Reserves NBE Total Gold Foreign Exchange Reserve Tranche Gross Gold and Foreign Exchange Holdings CBs' Foreign Exchange Comm. Banks
239 Table 18: Treasury Bills Auction Results Bank Non-bank Total Bank Non-bank Total Bank Non-bank Total 1999/00 16147.0 110.0 162.0 272.0 10772.3 7550.5 18322.8 7954.4 5356.8 13311.2 3.262 2000/01 12100.0 133.0 208.0 346.0 10361.0 7844.0 18205.0 5087.7 4235.3 9322.9 2.829 2001/02 16625.0 152.0 166.0 326.0 18632.6 6216.0 26089.1 12176.4 3996.8 16453.2 1.982 2002/03 29818.0 174.0 122.0 296.0 33488.0 5341.8 38829.8 26987.6 2830.4 29818.0 1.311 2003/04 51645.0 152.0 120.0 272.0 56481.0 4960.0 61441.0 47921.8 3710.2 51632.0 1.023 2004/05 41262.5 175.0 94.0 269.0 49658.5 7237.7 56896.2 37783.9 3281.1 41065.0 0.243 2005/06 47793.5 142.0 45.0 187.0 56687.5 3916.0 60603.5 44465.6 3327.9 47793.5 0.038 2006/07 69487.0 99.0 68.0 167.0 71259.0 7663.0 78922.0 58599.6 6715.4 65315.0 0.493 2007/08 48889.0 92.0 88.0 180.0 46761.0 13127.5 59888.5 35613.0 12103.5 47716.5 0.674 2008/09 28471.9 83.0 178.0 261.0 21974.5 24792.7 46767.2 2672.0 25167.8 27839.8 0.520 2009/10 55203.3 82 198 280 23386.9 27871.2 51258.1 13902.0 27834.5 41736.5 0.652 2010/11 83390.7 65 155 220 23715.3 32044.8 55760.0 20271.3 32044.8 52316.0 1.305 2011/12 96511.9 202 204 406 26712.7 50482.1 77194.8 24212.7 50482.1 74694.8 1.944 2012/13 107484.5 394 210 604 51493.5 62185.7 109184.5 51493.5 62185.7 109184.5 2.203 2013/14 88074.94 226 240 466 31226.00 81608.55 112834.55 16989.0 76933.5 94233.3 1.503 2014/15 100739.4 0.0 248.0 248.0 0.0 136536.8 136536.8 0.0 110593.3 110593.3 1.340 2015/16 145877.4 0.0 217.0 217.0 0.0 161575.2 161575.2 0.0 199200.0 199200.0 1.323 2016/17 204543.2 0.0 200.0 200.0 0.0 225321.2 225321.2 0.0 225321.2 225321.2 1.298 2017/18 286494.2 0.0 192.0 192.0 0.0 323991.2 323991.2 0.0 323991.2 323991.2 1.341 2018/19 397958.2 3.0 189.0 192.0 650.0 421983.5 422633.5 650.0 421983.5 422633.5 1.410 2019/20 231486.9 35.0 128.0 163.0 11143.0 232012.1 243155.1 5980.0 228859.1 234839.1 4.526 2020/21 330673.0 286.0 117.0 403.0 127679.0 157104.6 284783.6 109655.9 129143.7 238799.6 7.977 2021/22 858468.8 412.0 174.0 586.0 365432.3 234046.3 599478.6 357032.3 225236.3 582268.6 9.006 2022/23 1278068.3 414.0 235.0 649.0 287405.1 307826.2 595231.3 268255.1 307826.2 576081.3 9.381 2023/24 1354852.2 270.0 263.0 533.0 333009.3 479882.8 812892.1 318159.3 479637.8 797797.1 9.816 Annual Weighted Yield Period Amount O¢ered Number of Bidders Amount Demanded (in millions of Birr) Amount Sold (in millions of Birr)
240 Table 19: Employment Created by Domestic & Foreign Investment Projects Which Have Commenced Operation, by Sector Perm. Empl. Temp. Emp. Perm. Empl. Temp. Emp. Perm. Empl. Temp. Emp. Perm. Empl. Temp. Emp. Perm. Empl. Temp. Emp. Perm. Empl. Temp. Emp. Agriculture, hunting and forestry 536 1,862 3 5 27 2 - - - - - - Construction 3,368 1,788 100 168.0 1,837 961 30 24 765 355 11 14 Education 200 154 2 2.0 - - 17 - 120 40 - - Electricity, gas, steam and water supply - - - - - - - - - - - - Fishing - - - - - - - - - - - - Health and social work 43 8 6 6 74 23 20 - 66 127 12 15 Hotels and restaurants 173 75 35 20 391 192 60 80 107 5 57 13 Manufacturing 15,918 5,142 2,858 1,387 6,657 2,116 8,747 1,566 5031 4445 5,045 1,690 Mining and quarrying 35 92 - - - - - - - - - - Other community, social and personal service activities 19 12 - - - - - - - - 14 5 Real estate, renting and business activities 2,269 1,303 52 41 1868 2362 1,109 426 625 4,375 567 432 Transport, Storage and Communication 44 - 121 0 807 388 3 2 65 32 - - Wholesale, retail trade & repair service - - - - 23 66 3 30 - - - - Others* 26 105 34 5 84 22 2,925 1,324 70 52 - - Grand Total 22,631 10,541 3,211 1,634 11,768 6,132 12,914 3,452 6,849 9,431 5,706 2,169 2014 (2021/22) 2015 (2022/23) 2016 (2023/24) 2011 (2018/19) 2012 (2019/20) 2013 (2020/21) Sector
241 Table 20: Number and Investment Capital of Domestic & Foreign Investment Projects Which Have Commenced Operation by Sector (In Millions of Birr) No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital Agriculture, hunting and forestry 1.0 10.5 6.0 114.5 - - 1.0 20.0 - - Construction 15.0 135.5 224.0 1,799.1 47.0 482.1 14.0 118.2 7.0 60,025.0 Education 1.0 2.5 2.0 13.0 1.0 20.6 1.0 1,500.0 1.0 70.0 Electricity, gas, steam and water supply - - - - - - - - - - Fishing - - - - - - - - - - Health and social work 3.0 18.0 9.0 864.1 1.0 7.0 3.0 48.7 6.0 152.3 Hotels and restaurants 3.0 307.9 18.0 5,887.4 1.0 105.4 2.0 30.4 2.0 157.3 Manufacturing 42.0 710.1 242.0 12,097.0 26.0 1,308.2 59.0 2,765.5 64.0 14,770.7 Mining and quarrying - - - - - - - - - - Other community, social and personal service activities - - 1.0 5.0 - - - - 1.0 5.5 Real estate, renting and business activities 15.0 98.3 238.0 10,426.5 23.0 130.7 14.0 56,150.9 20.0 810.9 Transport, Storage and Communication 2.0 17.9 34.0 669.2 8.0 62.5 6.0 1,139.5 - - Wholesale, retail trade & repair service - - 3.0 381.5 1.0 1.7 - - - - Others* 2.0 19.6 8.0 1,816.1 4.0 65.7 4.0 716.7 - - Grand Total 84.0 1,320.3 785.0 34,073.4 112.0 2,183.9 104.0 62,490.0 101.0 75,991.7 2014(2021/2022) 2015(2022/2023) 2016(2023/2024) 2012(2019/2020) 2013(2020/2021) Sector
242 Table 21: Number and Capital of Domestic & Foreign Investment Projects which have Commenced Operation, by Region (In Millions of Birr) No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital No. of Projects Investment Capital Addis Ababa 711 30,820 64 750.0 35 5010.3 49 62,422 Afar - - - - - - - - Amhara 41 285.2 1 1.7 - - - - B.Gumze - - - - - - - - Dire Dawa - - - - - - - - Gambella - - - - - - - - Harari - - - - - - - - Multiregional 33 2,967.7 46 1,327 69 57479.7 52 13,569 Oromia - - - - - - - - SNNPR - - 1 105.4 - - - - Somali - - - - - - - - Tigray - - - - - - - - Grand Total 785 34,073 112 2,184 104 62490.0 101 75,992 2014(2021/22) 2015(2022/23) 2016(2023/24) 2013(2020/21) Sector
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