2025-03-01

Added · Updated

Parent and Subsidiary Rating Linkage

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited has issued updated criteria to systematically evaluate the financial linkages between parent and subsidiary entities, requiring a bottom-up rating approach that assesses both the willingness and ability of parents to provide support. The framework applies targeted notching to subsidiary ratings based on strategic importance, ownership structure, legal ring-fencing, and holding company dynamics, while capping or elevating ratings depending on whether the parent is strong or weak. The document further specifies how parental guarantees, cross-default clauses, foreign parentage, and sovereign boundaries directly influence rating equalization or standalone caps to ensure accurate credit assessments.

VIS Credit Rating Company logo

Pakistan

VIS Credit Rating Company

Click to view thumbnail

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited vis.com.pk 1 VIS Credit Rating Company Limited LBPSC MARCH 2025 LINKAGES BETWEEN PARENT AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES VIS Credit Rating Company Limited

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited vis.com.pk 2 VIS Credit Rating Company Limited LBPSC MARCH 2025 Table of Contents SCOPE OF CRITERIA..........................................................................................................................................................................3 SUMMARY OF CRITERIA CHANGES ..........................................................................................................................................3 RATINGS FRAMEWORK ..................................................................................................................................................................3 INSTRUMENTS WITH UNDERLYING GUARANTEES BY PARENT ENTITY................................................................5 CROSS-DEFAULTS..............................................................................................................................................................................5

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited vis.com.pk 3 VIS Credit Rating Company Limited LBPSC MARCH 2025 SCOPE OF CRITERIA With the passage of time, Pakistan has witnessed the emergence of large corporations and groups, which have altered the competitive landscape in the country. These entities often have diversified interests, which are manifested through their investment in subsidiaries and associate companies. Parent entities can often have a significant degree of influence, over the credit risk profile of their subsidiaries and associate companies which may be manifested in the form of support or negative intervention. This criteria framework assesses the linkages between parent and subsidiary entities and their impact on ratings. It applies to entities whose risk profiles are significantly influenced by their relationship with their parent and/or subsidiary company. SUMMARY OF CRITERIA CHANGES The fundamental criteria outlined in the Linkages Between Parent and Subsidiary Companies methodology remains unchanged, however, this criteria document further elaborates on possible scenarios specific to holding company structures. RATINGS FRAMEWORK VIS Credit Rating Company Limited (VIS)’s approach to rating subsidiaries is a bottom-up approach. This starts with assigning a stand-alone rating to the parent and subsidiary in line with their respective methodologies. The standalone rating takes into account factors such as the existence of a commercial relationship between the parent and subsidiary, at an arm’s length. The consolidated credit profile and the standalone credit strength of the parent and its subsidiary are used to determine the final ratings. The next step is to determine the likelihood of support that is expected from the parent. The likelihood of support has two components — willingness and ability to support. Willingness to support incorporates considerations of reputation and confidence sensitivity, strategy, operational integration as well as marginal return on required prospective investment and the role of financial regulators. Factors such as shared name pertain more to a moral obligation rather than a legally binding requirement. The strategic importance and relative size of a subsidiary to that of the parent entity may be an important indicator of the degree of support that might be forthcoming in times of distress because an institution might not be willing to bear a dent on its own franchise when it has the ability to prevent this from happening. Ability to support depends on the parent’s own risk profile and the correlation between the parent and subsidiary’s respective financial condition. In highly correlated businesses, parent and subsidiary may undergo a trough in their business cycle at the same time; thus the parent’s ability to provide support may be impaired in times of contingencies. As per the above mentioned process, the ratings of subsidiaries are based on their own standalone creditworthiness, with a potential notching to reflect parental support. A weak entity sponsored by a strong parent usually enjoys a stronger rating than it may have on a stand-alone basis. Given that the parent has the ability to support the subsidiary in times of financial distress, there could be various outcomes ranging from ratings equalization to negligible or no support from the parent. Wider the gap, better evidence of support is required.

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited vis.com.pk 4 VIS Credit Rating Company Limited LBPSC MARCH 2025 The degree of notching reflects an assessment of the support that might be forthcoming when needed, which in turn depends on a number of factors, including strategic importance, percentage ownership, management control, shared name, relative size and nature of parent’s operations, and history of support to the subsidiary. Rating of a strong subsidiary owned by a weak parent may be capped at the parent’s level. Exceptions to this rule can occur when the subsidiary is legally ring fenced and a parent’s bankruptcy may not be able to cause the bankruptcy of its subsidiary. In such a scenario, the subsidiary will be able to pay off its obligations as per its own capability before winding up and creditors will be protected to the extent of the entity’s stand-alone strength, which implies that the subsidiary may be rated higher than the parent. The aforesaid is subject to the legal and regulatory stipulations in definition of a subsidiary which may impact the status of a subsidiary. In Pakistan a subsidiary/associate in regulatory regime (companies act 2017) is not ring fenced in the sense that while liquidators of the parent company may not opt for liquidation of subsidiary company they may resort to force sale of subsidiary to meet the claims of the main company. In a purely holding company structure, it is common for the holding company to be rated lower than its subsidiaries, and there are valid reasons for this. Holding companies typically depend on dividends, distributions, or other cash flows from their operating subsidiaries to meet their own financial obligations. As a result, their financial stability is directly tied to the performance and willingness of those subsidiaries to upstream cash. If these cash flows are restricted or if subsidiaries prioritize their own debt obligations, the holding company may face increased financial risk. Additionally, holding companies often experience greater structural subordination, meaning their creditors rank behind the subsidiary’s direct creditors in claims on the subsidiary’s assets. In a distress scenario, lenders to the concerned subsidiary company are generally paid first. However, exceptions exist—if a holding company has strong liquidity, independent cash flows, or a well-diversified portfolio of profitable subsidiaries, its rating could be on par with or even higher than some of its subsidiaries. While the norm for “ratings lift” may be restricted for subsidiaries of NBFCs since they have a cap on their leverage, it could be elevated for commercial banks because of their access to a larger pool of funds. In case of industrial corporates, which are further constrained in the amount of debt that they can take on their books, the rating lift provided to their subsidiaries may be considerably limited. Further analysis of intra-group debt may be warranted to determine the level of support that can be realistically built into the ratings. It is also important in credit default ratings where immediate support is required to avert default that wherever regulatory stipulations do not permit unhindered investment into subsidiaries and associates, the presence of an arrangement to support exists. The ownership of an entity by more than one parent would result in a dilution of impact of a strong parent, in case one parent defaults or is under distress. This, however, would depend on the relationship between each parent and the subsidiary. In case of a foreign parent, the linkage between parent and subsidiary could be different from locally established entities. As foreign parent may not be subject to the same rules for bankruptcy; thus the bankruptcy of the parent would not in itself instigate bankruptcy of the subsidiary. In an entity which is a subsidiary of more than one large distinct shareholders, the support from the shareholder which holds the highest stake or has the management control may carry more weightage in support determination. The creditworthiness of the foreign parent is an important factor in the subsidiary’s rating to the extent of its ability and willingness to expand or squeeze the subsidiary’s cash reserves. In the absence of rating assigned to the parent by an international rating agency, a shadow rating is assigned to the same in order to facilitate the analysis.

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited vis.com.pk 5 VIS Credit Rating Company Limited LBPSC MARCH 2025 The sovereign rating of Pakistan itself also comes into play when applying notching guidelines to the rating of a company based in Pakistan, having a foreign parent. The extent of notching would also take into account the rating of the foreign parent versus the rating of Pakistan itself, which is deep non-investment grade currently. This implies that the rating uplift from a financially strong foreign parent could be significant. However, given the risks in the local environment and Rupee depreciation over time, at times even financially strong foreign parents have exhibited reluctance to extend support to their local subsidiaries. This brings us to our earlier highlighted criterion whereby the marginal return on additional investment may not be justified, given the risk exposure. Sovereign boundaries impede integration and make it easier for a foreign parent to distance itself in the event of problems at the subsidiary level. In such scenarios, the rating of a subsidiary may largely reflect its stand-alone financial risk profile. INSTRUMENTS WITH UNDERLYING GUARANTEES BY PARENT ENTITY If a highly rated parent guarantees the debt being issued by a subsidiary, VIS will review whether the guarantee mechanism is triggered before or after the payment due date. Moreover, coverage of the guarantee is also reviewed to see if the same covers principal or interest or both. Presence of structured mechanism whereby the guarantee may be invoked before due date so that all debt obligations (both principal and interest) are repaid in a timely manner may even result in equation of debt ratings with that of the parent. However, in the absence of a structured mechanism where payment before due date does not have certainty, the notching is based on VIS’s standard notching criteria and strength of the guarantee. In cases where the entire debt of the subsidiary is guaranteed by the parent, key indicators of the parent entity are analyzed based on consolidated debt levels. The guarantees of parent entities other than Scheduled Banks would be assigned weight in relation to difference between parent ratings and the subsidiary ratings as such that parents generally cannot issue a full faith payment guarantee, unless they arrange that to be issued on their behalf from a scheduled bank. CROSS-DEFAULTS Cross-default clauses here mean that a default in subsidiary’s debt instrument triggers an event of default in other debt instruments issued by the parent or the subsidiary. Given the strong intent and legal linkages, inclusion of such clause may result in support to subsidiary ratings. However, this is the case if all debt of subsidiary are covered under such clauses. VIS will also closely monitor legal documents as any changes in the same with regards to cross default clauses will result in an immediate impact on ratings.

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited vis.com.pk 6 VIS Credit Rating Company Limited LBPSC MARCH 2025

VIS Credit Rating Company Limited vis.com.pk 7 VIS Credit Rating Company Limited LBPSC MARCH 2025 Islamic International Rating Agency – Bahrain – iira.com Credit Rating Information & Services Ltd. – Bangladesh – crislbd.com Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. - Japan China Chengxin International Credit Rating Company Limited - China 128/C, 25th Lane off Khayaban-e-Ittehad, Phase VII, DHA, Karachi Tel: (92-21) 35311861-64 431, Block-Q, Commercial Area, Phase-II, D.H.A. Lahore - Cantt. Tel: (92-42) 35723411-13 www.vis.com.pk info@vis.com.pk VIS Credit Rating Company Ltd. Information herein was obtained from sources believed to be accurate and reliable; however, VIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. Rating is an opinion on credit quality only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Copyright VIS Credit Rating Company Limited. All rights reserved. Contents may be used by news media with credit to VIS. DISCLAIMER