2026-06-10
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The Central Reserve Bank of Peru reported that annual inflation decreased to 3.91% in May 2026 from 4.01% in April, driven primarily by significant price declines in chicken meat, fresh legumes, and potatoes. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose to 4.44% annually, accelerated by higher prices in unassigned education, national land transport, and telephonic equipment. Trendy inflation indicators generally increased compared to the previous month, while the dispersion index of the CPI rose to 36.2%.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 1 / 28 INFLATION: MAY 2026
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 2 / 28 • Eggs (-1.9 percent): The result is explained by an increase in seasonal supply. Lower temperatures on the coast improved the yield of laying hens and reduced operating costs. • National land transport (-4.9 percent): The result is influenced mainly by the lower price of interprovincial bus fares following the normalization of fare tariffs after Easter. BCRPData/NEINF20265C2 Average Weight Dec.21=100 2001-2025 Month 12 months Month 12 months CPI 100.0 2.90 0.52 4.01 -0.16 3.91
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 3 / 28 Evolution of annual inflation to May 3. The annual inflation of May (3.91 percent) was lower than that of April (4.01 percent). The result responds mainly to the reduction of chicken meat (from 7.9 to 0.9 percent), fresh legumes (from 53.5 to -0.4 percent), and potato (from 30.5 to 20.7 percent). BCRPData/NEINF20265G2 4. In May, inflation without food and energy (SAE) was 0.09 percent in the month and 4.44 percent in the last twelve months (4.41 percent in April). The result reflects the acceleration of annual teaching not attributable to any level (from 2.3 to 4.9 percent), national land transport (from 0.7 to 4.8 percent), and telephonic equipment (from 2.6 to 4.5 percent). 3,91 4,44 3,28 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 May-23 Aug-23 Nov-23 Feb-24 May-24 Aug-24 Nov-24 Feb-25 May-25 Aug-25 Nov-25 Feb-26 May-26 INFLATION (Percentage variation last twelve months) Inflation Inflation without food and energy Food and energy Maximum Minimum Inflation target range Avg. 01-25 2022 2023 2024 2025 May-26 Inflation: 2.9% 8.46% 3.24% 1.97% 1.51% 3.91% Without food and energy: 2.3% 5.59% 2.90% 2.60% 1.83% 4.44% Food and energy: 3.5% 12.02% 3.63% 1.23% 1.13% 3.28% Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Total Inflation Monthly 0.32 -0.06 0.13 0.23 -0.29 0.01 -0.10 0.11 0.24 0.10 0.69 2.38 0.52 -0.16 12 months 1.65 1.69 1.11 1.36 1.35 1.37 1.51 1.70 2.21 3.80 4.01 3.91 Inflation without food and energy Monthly 0.14 0.05 0.07 0.18 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.06 0.46 0.04 0.36 2.07 0.87 0.09 12 months 1.90 1.79 1.69 1.68 1.75 1.81 1.77 1.77 1.83 2.02 2.20 3.65 4.41 4.44 SAE services Monthly 0.19 0.03 0.06 0.26 0.14 0.08 0.07 0.10 0.67 -0.03 0.48 2.96 1.17 0.07 12 months 2.01 1.95 1.89 1.93 2.09 2.19 2.14 2.20 2.29 2.56 2.83 5.08 6.10 6.14 Food and energy prices Monthly 0.52 -0.18 0.20 0.29 -0.72 -0.04 -0.27 0.17 -0.01 0.16 1.08 2.74 0.12 -0.45 12 months 1.36 1.57 1.70 1.70 0.36 0.83 0.86 0.91 1.13 1.32 2.23 3.98 3.56 3.28
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 4 / 28 BCRPData/NEINF20265G4 BCRPData/NEINF20265G3 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 SAE goods Monthly 0.04 0.09 0.08 0.02 -0.04 0.02 -0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.18 0.09 0.06 0.17 0.13 12 months 1.65 1.41 1.25 1.14 1.01 0.97 0.95 0.81 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.48 0.62 0.67 SAE services Monthly 0.19 0.03 0.06 0.26 0.14 0.08 0.07 0.10 0.67 -0.03 0.48 2.96 1.17 0.07 12 months 2.01 1.95 1.89 1.93 2.09 2.19 2.14 2.20 2.29 2.56 2.83 5.08 6.10 6.14 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Food prices Monthly 0.62 -0.13 0.25 0.36 -0.53 0.01 -0.21 0.30 -0.01 0.19 1.27 2.20 0.06 -0.70 12 months 1.61 1.87 1.98 2.07 0.91 1.44 1.53 1.78 2.04 2.29 3.33 4.39 3.82 3.22 Energy prices Monthly -0.45 -0.71 -0.30 -0.41 -2.76 -0.65 -0.87 -1.22 -0.07 -0.15 -1.00 8.82 0.67 2.18 12 months -1.10 -1.38 -1.14 -2.10 -5.20 -5.26 -5.84 -7.81 -7.94 -8.31 -8.76 -0.20 0.92 3.86 0,67 6,14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-23 Sep-23 Jan-24 May-24 Sep-24 Jan-25 May-25 Sep-25 Jan-26 May-26 INFLATION WITHOUT FOOD AND ENERGY (Percentage variation last twelve months) SAE goods SAE services Maximum Minimum Inflation target range 3,22 3,86 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 May-23 Sep-23 Jan-24 May-24 Sep-24 Jan-25 May-25 Sep-25 Jan-26 May-26 FOOD AND ENERGY (Percentage variation last twelve months) Food and beverages Energy
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 5 / 28 5. SAE goods prices registered an annual price variation of 0.67 percent in May, higher than that observed in April (0.62 percent). Among the categories that contributed to a greater variation stand out telephonic equipment (from 2.6 to 4.5 percent), medicines (from 0.2 to 0.4 percent), and televisions (from 0.9 to 2.0 percent). BCRPData/NEINF20265C10 6. Services registered an annual price variation of 6.14 percent in May, higher than that observed in April (6.10 percent). Among the categories that contributed to a greater variation stand out teaching not attributable to any level (from 2.3 to 4.9 percent), national land transport (from 0.7 to 4.8 percent), and rents (from 0.2 to 0.3 percent). Inflation Goods Annual percentage variations Wt. Dec-23 Dec-24 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Goods 17.38 2.68 1.63 0.95 0.81 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.48 0.62 0.67 Textile and Footwear 4.10 2.74 0.67 1.10 1.12 1.20 1.24 1.12 1.08 1.03 1.01 Textile 2.86 3.22 0.78 1.20 1.21 1.23 1.26 1.16 1.08 0.99 0.97 Footwear 1.23 1.62 0.41 0.86 0.91 1.13 1.18 1.03 1.09 1.12 1.10 Household appliances 0.46 0.67 1.99 2.53 2.36 2.57 2.64 2.59 2.14 1.41 1.03 of which: Stoves and refrigerators 0.22 1.53 2.86 3.25 2.85 3.04 2.85 2.86 2.45 2.00 1.26 Washing machines 0.13 -0.58 2.52 2.46 2.20 2.94 3.25 3.23 2.72 1.69 1.37 Other large household appliances 0.06 -0.96 -1.77 1.88 2.97 1.88 1.95 1.15 0.11 -1.46 -1.25 Small electrical appliances 0.05 2.09 1.42 0.36 -0.02 0.47 1.03 1.43 1.60 1.41 1.73 Other industrial 12.83 2.73 1.91 0.85 0.67 0.64 0.66 0.64 0.24 0.47 0.55 of which: Medicines 1.62 1.60 1.51 -0.25 -0.12 -0.13 -0.27 -0.24 -0.16 0.15 0.40 Phones 0.47 -2.62 -0.36 2.44 4.10 3.35 3.44 2.80 2.18 2.57 4.49 Televisions 0.38 -0.33 0.98 0.14 0.12 0.33 0.57 0.76 0.34 0.93 1.99
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 6 / 28 BCRPData/NEINF20265C3 7. The local transport category increased by 19.1 percent associated with the increase in the cost of inputs such as fuels, as well as the upward trend in fares explained by the transport strikes in the second half of 2025. In contrast, the national transport category varied by 4.8 percent, explained by the reversals associated with post-holiday seasonality patterns such as year-end and Easter. Additionally, the passenger transport service at the national, regional, and provincial levels benefits from the refund of 70 percent of the Selective Consumption Tax paid for their diesel purchases. 8. In May, the contribution to annual inflation of the categories most linked to the exchange rate, IPM, and quotes was 0.16 percentage points. This result was contributed to by the increase in fuel prices. Inflation Services Annual percentage variations Wt. Dec-23 Dec-24 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Services 37.89 3.01 3.05 2.14 2.20 2.29 2.56 2.83 5.08 6.10 6.14 Education 8.61 6.40 5.09 4.11 4.03 4.03 4.02 3.84 3.37 3.36 3.42 of which: Primary 1.55 10.39 6.31 5.26 5.15 4.63 Secondary 1.26 10.74 6.42 5.42 5.13 5.00 Higher 4.26 3.86 3.96 3.31 3.32 3.32 3.37 3.13 2.57 2.54 2.53 Post-secondary, non-tertiary 0.51 4.03 3.72 2.02 1.94 1.97 1.28 1.51 1.52 1.52 0.91 Teaching not attributable to any level 0.34 0.00 8.31 5.67 3.47 2.26 2.26 4.90 Transport 9.14 2.89 3.83 2.07 2.85 3.01 4.09 4.09 14.12 18.09 18.16 of which: National land 0.27 -5.23 12.35 -1.54 -0.84 2.76 4.85 4.23 4.04 0.71 4.82 Local 8.08 3.51 3.62 2.40 2.92 3.03 3.89 4.02 14.63 19.10 19.07 National air 0.24 24.20 6.81 2.73 11.80 1.94 7.20 -2.16 11.58 17.24 16.44 International air 0.55 -9.05 2.09 -2.31 0.31 3.18 6.23 7.87 10.43 9.19 8.71 Health 1.48 3.28 1.59 1.21 1.34 1.53 1.72 1.82 1.84 1.72 1.70 Other services 5.03 3.23 2.43 2.84 2.70 2.59 2.58 2.50 2.41 2.52 2.72 of which: Recreational and sports services 0.46 0.87 2.60 2.17 2.17 1.76 1.30 2.35 3.01 1.84 2.81 Other personal services 3.37 2.39 1.79 3.69 3.74 4.24 4.60 5.02 5.27 5.55 5.42 of which: Domestic services 2.25 0.86 1.08 3.42 3.36 3.96 4.37 5.02 5.31 5.58 5.24 Public services 5.81 0.71 2.02 -0.39 -1.08 -1.09 -1.29 0.54 -0.89 -1.12 -1.24 of which: Fixed and mobile telephone service 4.26 0.35 -0.11 -1.10 -2.08 -3.29 -5.26 -5.58 -5.74 Water 1.37 1.32 7.48 0.80 0.00 10.29 Rents 4.45 -0.19 0.57 -0.26 -0.43 -0.33 -0.39 -0.25 0.03 0.17 0.33
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 7 / 28 BCRPData/NEINF20265C4 Categories linked to the exchange rate, international quotes, and IPM Weight Var% 12 m Var% 12 m Var% 12 m Var% 12 m Base Dec.21 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25 May-26 CPI (I+II) 100.00 3.24 3.24 1.97 1.97 1.51 1.51 3.91 3.91 A. Categories linked to the exchange rate 14.58 1.92 0.27 1.77 0.25 0.25 0.03 0.54 0.07 Household appliances 0.46 0.67 0.00 1.99 0.01 2.57 0.01 1.03 0.00 Personal care items 3.99 4.76 0.19 2.48 0.10 2.22 0.09 1.66 0.07 Cleaning products 1.32 4.65 0.06 1.35 0.02 0.60 0.01 0.11 0.00 Medicinal products 1.62 1.60 0.02 1.51 0.02 -0.13 0.00 0.40 0.01 Vehicle purchases 1.61 0.12 0.00 2.97 0.05 -5.81 -0.09 -6.33 -0.10 Vehicle spare parts 0.08 -2.25 0.00 1.05 0.00 1.46 0.00 -0.47 0.00 Vehicle repair 0.28 4.62 0.01 1.15 0.00 3.66 0.01 3.82 0.01 Rents 4.45 -0.19 -0.01 0.57 0.02 -0.33 -0.01 0.33 0.01 Air fares 0.78 -1.37 -0.01 3.47 0.02 2.81 0.02 10.58 0.07 B. Categories linked to international quotes and exchange rate (1+2) 7.99 1.44 0.12 -1.53 -0.12 -5.14 -0.40 0.54 0.04
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 8 / 28 Trendy inflation indicators 9. In May, all trendy inflation indicators presented monthly variations lower than the previous month, while annual measures increased compared to April, with the exception of the 63rd percentile. BCRPData/NEINF20265G5 3,9 3,2 3,5 3,3 4,4 0 2 4 6 8 10 May-08 May-10 May-12 May-14 May-16 May-18 May-20 May-22 May-24 May-26 INFLATION (Percentage variation last twelve months) Inflation Re-weighted Trimmed Mean 63rd Percentile Inflation without food and energy Maximum Minimum Inflation target range Avg.01-25 2022 2023 2024 2025 Apr. 26 May. 26 Inflation: 2.9% 8.46% 3.24% 1.97% 1.51% 4.01% 3.91% Without food and energy: 2.3% 5.59% 2.90% 2.60% 1.83% 4.41% 4.44% Re-weighted: 2.8% 7.62% 4.23% 2.27% 1.86% 3.04% 3.21% Trimmed Mean: 2.9% 8.22% 4.21% 2.36% 2.12% 3.43% 3.51% 63rd Percentile: 2.9% 8.84% 4.80% 2.68% 2.27% 3.34% 3.34%
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 9 / 28 BCRPData/NEINF20265C5 MONTHLY TRENDY INFLATION INDICATORS Monthly percentage variation CPI Re-weighted 1/ Mean 63rd Percentile CPI without trimmed 2/ 3/ food and energy 4/ Dec-21 0.78 0.60 0.63 0.68 0.66 Dec-22 0.79 0.62 0.67 0.77 0.54 Dec-23 0.41 0.24 0.22 0.25 0.36 Dec-24 0.11 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.40 Jan-25 -0.09 0.14 0.20 0.23 -0.15 Feb-25 0.19 0.21 0.25 0.33 0.19 Mar-25 0.81 0.42 0.34 0.25 0.64 Apr-25 0.32 0.18 0.14 0.20 0.14 May-25 -0.06 0.17 0.17 0.21 0.05 Jun-25 0.13 0.17 0.13 0.19 0.07 Jul-25 0.23 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.18 Aug-25 -0.29 0.05 0.15 0.16 0.08 Sep-25 0.01 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.06 Oct-25 -0.10 0.04 0.12 0.09 0.04 Nov-25 0.11 0.10 0.14 0.17 0.06 Dec-25 0.24 0.18 0.24 0.16 0.46 Jan-26 0.10 0.19 0.22 0.27 0.04 Feb-26 0.69 0.26 0.23 0.25 0.36 Mar-26 2.38 1.17 1.31 0.93 2.07 Apr-26 0.52 0.49 0.46 0.60 0.87 May-26 -0.16 ↓ 0.33 ↓ 0.25 ↓ 0.21 ↓ 0.09 ↓ 1/ Re-weighted: Reduces the weight of categories with greater volatility, dividing the original weights of each category by the standard deviation of their variations percentage monthly. 2/ Trimmed mean: Weighted average of price variations located between the 34th and 84th percentiles. 3/ 63rd Percentile: Corresponds to the percentage variation of the category located in the 63rd percentile. 4/ CPI without food and energy: CPI excluding food, fuels, and electricity.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 10 / 28 BCRPData/NEINF20265C6 ANNUAL TRENDY INFLATION INDICATORS Percentage variation 12 months CPI Re-weighted 1/ Mean 63rd Percentile CPI without trimmed 2/ 3/ food and energy 4/ Dec-21 6.43 4.20 4.53 4.23 3.24 Dec-22 8.46 7.58 8.22 8.84 5.59 Dec-23 3.24 4.24 4.21 4.80 2.90 Dec-24 1.97 2.26 2.36 2.68 2.60 Jan-25 1.85 2.25 2.40 2.68 2.44 Feb-25 1.48 2.11 2.29 2.68 2.11 Mar-25 1.28 2.00 2.10 2.43 1.87 Apr-25 1.65 2.01 2.00 2.32 1.90 May-25 1.69 2.00 1.99 2.29 1.79 Jun-25 1.69 2.03 2.01 2.37 1.69 Jul-25 1.69 2.00 2.00 2.38 1.68 Aug-25 1.11 1.88 2.03 2.34 1.75 Sep-25 1.36 1.88 2.00 2.31 1.81 Oct-25 1.35 1.86 2.02 2.24 1.77 Nov-25 1.37 1.84 2.05 2.33 1.77 Dec-25 1.51 1.86 2.12 2.27 1.83 Jan-26 1.70 1.90 2.13 2.32 2.02 Feb-26 2.21 1.96 2.12 2.24 2.20 Mar-26 3.80 2.72 3.10 2.93 3.65 Apr-26 4.01 3.04 3.43 3.34 4.41 May-26 3.91 ↓ 3.21 ↑ 3.51 ↑ 3.34 = 4.44 ↑ 1/ Re-weighted: Reduces the weight of categories with greater volatility, dividing the original weights of each category by the standard deviation of their variations percentage monthly. 2/ Trimmed mean: Weighted average of price variations located between the 34th and 84th percentiles. 3/ 63rd Percentile: Corresponds to the percentage variation of the category located in the 63rd percentile. 4/ CPI without food and energy: CPI excluding food, fuels, and electricity.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 11 / 28 10. In May, tradable products registered an annual variation of 1.88 percent (1.70 percent in April) and non-tradables of 4.79 percent (5.02 percent in April). In the case of tradables, it reflects the acceleration of prices of culinary herbs, fresh cheeses, and processed spices. In the case of non-tradables, it reflects the deceleration of prices of chicken meat, fresh legumes, and potato. BCRPData/NEINF20265G6 Dispersion indices 11. In May, the CPI dispersion index reached 36.2 percent, higher than that observed in April (33.0 percent). This index has been decreasing since February 2023, the month in which it reached 76 percent. Between January 2001 and May 2026, the value of the dispersion index, considering only the months in which inflation was located around 2.0 percent, was 27 percent. 1,88 4,79 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 May-23 Sep-23 Jan-24 May-24 Sep-24 Jan-25 May-25 Sep-25 Jan-26 May-26 TRADABLE AND NON-TRADABLE PRICES (Percentage variation last twelve months) Tradables Non-tradables Maximum Minimum Inflation target range Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Tradables Monthly 0.16 0.04 0.38 0.17 -0.52 -0.24 -0.31 -0.19 0.00 0.10 0.26 1.77 0.25 0.21 12 months 1.21 0.93 1.18 1.18 0.63 0.68 0.70 0.48 0.38 0.22 0.18 1.61 1.70 1.88 Non-tradables Monthly 0.38 -0.10 0.02 0.26 -0.19 0.12 -0.01 0.24 0.35 0.09 0.88 2.64 0.63 -0.32 12 months 1.85 2.02 1.92 1.91 1.32 1.66 1.64 1.76 2.00 2.35 3.11 4.76 5.02 4.79
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 39 - June 5, 2026 12 / 28 BCRPData/NEINF20265G7 12. The distribution of annual variations of prices at the category level in the CPI basket presents a decrease...