2026-08-14
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The document reports that annual inflation in Peru reached 4.07 percent in July 2026, an increase from the 4.01 percent recorded in June, driven primarily by price rises in chicken meat, eggs, and noodles. Inflation excluding food and energy accelerated to 4.57 percent annually, with significant contributions from national air and land transport services. The dispersion index of the Consumer Price Index rose to 38.3 percent in July, reflecting a wider distribution of price variations across basket items compared to the previous month.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 1 / 31 INFLATION: JULY 2026
In July 2026, a monthly inflation rate of 0.29 percent and 4.07 percent over the last 12 months was recorded. BCRPData/NEINF202607G1
The main upward contributions to monthly inflation were from fresh fish, meals outside the home, other fresh fruits, and papaya, while chicken meat, vehicle fuels, potatoes, and fresh legumes contributed to the decrease. BCRPData/NEINF202607C1
Main price increases of the month • Chicken meat (11.4 percent): The price increase is explained by demand dynamics, reflected in the lower average weight of chicken, which decreased by 2.5 percent compared to the June average (the average weight in July remained at 2.63 kg per unit against 2.70 kg in the previous month). In this month, household liquidity increased due to national holiday bonuses; IPC Percentage variation of July -0.17 0.48 0.56 0.19 0.36 0.79 0.09 0.55 0.43 0.45 0.08 0.20 0.38 0.20 0.46 1.01 0.94 0.39 0.24 0.23 0.29 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 IPC Percentage variation of July Average 06-26 0.39 CONTRIBUTION TO INFLATION: JULY 2026 CPI base Dec. 2021=100 Positive Weight Var.% Contribution Index item/ Negative Weight Var.% Contribution Index item/ CPI CPI Chicken meat 2.7 11.4 0.26 92.8 Papaya 0.2 -13.0 -0.05 132.5 National land transport 0.3 18.7 0.04 94.1 Vehicle fuels 1.1 -4.1 -0.04 92.5 Meals outside the home 15.5 0.2 0.03 105.9 Potato 0.7 -4.5 -0.04 119.3 National air transport 0.2 15.5 0.03 82.4 Other fresh fruits 0.6 -3.6 -0.03 149.8 Tomato 0.2 10.3 0.02 115.6 Fresh marine fish 0.7 -4.0 -0.03 117.3 Eggs 0.7 1.7 0.01 114.9 Onion 0.2 -6.7 -0.02 119.3 Whole chili pepper 0.1 22.6 0.01 124.9 Motor vehicles 1.6 -0.7 -0.01 85.7 Domestic and household services 2.2 0.6 0.01 92.3 Domestic gas 0.8 -1.1 -0.01 83.8 Education 8.6 0.1 0.01 103.6 Electricity 2.6 -0.3 -0.01 79.4 Telephones 0.5 2.5 0.01 83.9 Carrot 0.1 -3.9 -0.01 133.2 Total 0.43 Total -0.25
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 2 / 31 also contributed to this result the celebration of the Roasted Chicken Day and the long weekend for National Holidays. • National land transport and national air transport (18.7 percent and 15.5 percent): The increase in ticket fares is explained by the seasonal increase in demand due to the long weekend that combined the Air Force Day (July 23) and National Holidays (July 28 and 29). • Meals outside the home (0.2 percent): The largest price increases were recorded in broaster chicken (0.7 percent), pizzas and chaufa rice (0.6 percent each), regional broths and soups and grilled meat (0.5 percent each), ceviche (0.3 percent) and menu in restaurants (0.1 percent). • Tomato (10.3 percent): The supply to Lima and Ica decreased compared to June (-5.3 percent and -9.5 percent, respectively) due to lower yields as a result of higher temperatures on the coast. • Egg (1.7 percent): The higher price is due to the lower yield of laying hens due to heat stress in Lima. • Whole chili pepper (22.6 percent): The price increase is explained by the higher price of yellow chili escabeche (47.0 percent), whose supply from the Lima valleys decreased by 17.8 percent compared to the previous month. The lower supply is due to the decrease in yields due to the month's anomalous high temperatures.
Main price decreases of the month • Papaya (-13.0 percent): The average inflows from Ucayali in July increased by 6.4 percent compared to June following a decrease in precipitation in the region during the month of July. • Vehicle fuels (-4.1 percent): The item mainly reflected the dynamics of final gasohol prices (-4.8 percent). The price of gasohols was a consequence of the lower retail margin of gas stations (-29.2 percent), which more than compensated for the increase in refinery price (1.6 percent). The increase in refinery price was driven by the recovery of the gap (69.9 percent) with respect to the international parity price, which, in contrast, registered a decrease of 4.0 percent. • Potato (-6.0 percent): The price of white potato decreased (-5.6 percent) due to the development of the large campaign in the central highlands. In July, the supply of white potato from Junín increased by 25.8 percent compared to June and that from Ica increased by 412.8 percent (it went from an average of 72.9 daily tons in June to 373.8 daily tons in July). • Other fresh fruits (-0.4 percent): It mainly reflects the lower price of blueberry (-16.2 percent), due to the increase in supply from the regions of Lambayeque and Ica by 60.5 percent, with the start of the harvest season of the year. The price of mango decreased (-5.0 percent) due to higher inflows of the Edward and Haden varieties from Piura.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 3 / 31 • Fresh marine fish (-4.0 percent): The price of bonito decreased by 11.3 percent due to greater supply compared to June (169.5 percent). This occurred after the decrease in anomalous wave heights that led to the reopening of ports from the second week of the month. • Onion (-4.6 percent): The lower price is due to a greater supply from the province of Camaná (increase of 17.4 percent in shipments compared to June) along with an increase in shipments of the better quality product from the Lima valleys (37.7 percent compared to the previous month. BCRPData/NEINF202607C2 Average Weight Dec.21=100 2001-2025 Month 12 months Month 12 months CPI 100.0 2.90 0.23 4.01 0.29 4.07
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 4 / 31 Evolution of annual inflation to July 3. The annual inflation of July (4.07 percent) was higher than that of June (4.01 percent). The result responds mainly to the increase in chicken meat (from -2.5 to 14.4 percent), eggs (from -1.3 to 3.8 percent) and noodles (-11.7 to -7.7 percent). BCRPData/NEINF202607G2
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 5 / 31 BCRPData/NEINF202607G4 BCRPData/NEINF202607G3 0.90 6.20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jul-23 Oct-23 Jan-24 Apr-24 Jul-24 Oct-24 Jan-25 Apr-25 Jul-25 Oct-25 Jan-26 Apr-26 Jul-26 INFLATION EXCLUDING FOOD AND ENERGY (Percentage variation last twelve months) SAE goods SAE services Maximum Minimum Inflation target range Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Jun-26 Jul-26 SAE goods Monthly 0.08 0.02 -0.04 0.02 -0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.18 0.09 0.06 0.17 0.13 0.13 0.21 12 months 1.25 1.14 1.01 0.97 0.95 0.81 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.48 0.62 0.67 0.72 0.90 SAE services Monthly 0.06 0.26 0.14 0.08 0.07 0.10 0.67 -0.03 0.48 2.96 1.17 0.07 0.06 0.31 12 months 1.89 1.93 2.09 2.19 2.14 2.20 2.29 2.56 2.83 5.08 6.10 6.14 6.14 6.20 3.63 1.94
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 6 / 31 5. The prices of SAE goods registered an annual price variation of 0.90 percent in July, higher than that observed in June (0.72 percent). Among the items that contributed to a greater variation stand out telephones (from 5.9 to 7.8 percent), which reflected a global supply factor due to the increase in production costs of equipment due to the increase in prices of RAM memory, storage and processing components due to the high demand for these by large data centers for use in Artificial Intelligence; likewise, they explained the rise in motor vehicles (from -6.5 to -6.2 percent) and televisions (from 2.0 to 3.0 percent). BCRPData/NEINF202607C10
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BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 8 / 31 BCRPData/NEINF202607C4 Weight Var% 12 m Var% 12 m Var% 12 m Var% 12 m Base Dec.21 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25 Jul-26 CPI (I+II) 100.00 3.24 3.24 1.97 1.97 1.51 1.51 4.07 4.07
A. Items linked to the exchange rate 14.58 1.92 0.27 1.77 0.25 0.25 0.03 0.48 0.07 Home appliances 0.46 0.67 0.00 1.99 0.01 2.57 0.01 0.11 0.00 Personal care items 3.99 4.76 0.19 2.48 0.10 2.22 0.09 1.66 0.07 Cleaning items 1.32 4.65 0.06 1.35 0.02 0.60 0.01 0.40 0.01 Medicinal products 1.62 1.60 0.02 1.51 0.02 -0.13 0.00 0.87 0.01 Vehicle purchases 1.61 0.12 0.00 2.97 0.05 -5.81 -0.09 -6.24 -0.10 Vehicle spare parts 0.08 -2.25 0.00 1.05 0.00 1.46 0.00 0.74 0.00 Vehicle repair 0.28 4.62 0.01 1.15 0.00 3.66 0.01 2.32 0.01 Rentals 4.45 -0.19 -0.01 0.57 0.02 -0.33 -0.01 0.31 0.01 Airline tickets 0.78 -1.37 -0.01 3.47 0.02 2.81 0.02 8.09 0.06
B. Items linked to international quotations and exchange rate (1+2) 7.99 1.44 0.12 -1.53 -0.12 -5.14 -0.40 5.96 0.44
C. Items related to IPM 1.37 1.32 0.02 7.48 0.10 0.80 0.01 10.29 0.14 Water consumption 1.37 1.32 0.02 7.48 0.10 0.80 0.01 10.29 0.14
D. Items related to the exchange rate, IPM and quotations 2.62 -7.11 -0.19 -0.72 -0.02 -8.19 -0.19 -4.42 -0.10 Electricity 2.62 -7.11 -0.19 -0.72 -0.02 -8.19 -0.19 -4.42 -0.10
I. Total items linked to exchange rate, IPM and quotations (A+B+C+D) 26.56 0.82 0.22 0.80 0.21 -2.15 -0.55 2.21 0.55 II. Rest 73.44 4.10 3.02 2.37 1.76 2.76 2.06 4.68 3.52 of which 0.00 0.00 Meals outside the home 15.45 6.56 1.03 2.89 0.47 2.68 0.44 4.26 0.70 Transport 9.14 2.89 0.27 3.83 0.36 3.01 0.29 18.17 1.71 Services excluding transport and water 28.44 2.94 0.80 2.65 0.72 2.13 0.58 1.98 0.54 Perishable agricultural foods 5.04 0.69 0.04 -3.22 -0.18 7.39 0.40 7.68 0.45 Items linked to exchange rate, international quotations and IPM Contr. Wgt. Contr. Wgt. Contr. Wgt. Contr. Wgt.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 9 / 31 Trend inflation indicators 8. In July, all trend inflation indicators show monthly variations lower than those of the previous month while annual measures increased compared to June. BCRPData/NEINF202607G5 4.1 3.3 3.3 3.7 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Jul-08 Jul-10 Jul-12 Jul-14 Jul-16 Jul-18 Jul-20 Jul-22 Jul-24 Jul-26 INFLATION (Percentage variation last twelve months) Inflation Re-weighted Percentile 63 Trimmed mean Inflation excluding food and energy Maximum Minimum Inflation target range Avg. 01-25 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jun-26 Jul-26 Inflation: 2.9% 6.43% 8.46% 3.24% 1.97% 4.01% 4.07% Excluding food and energy: 2.3% 3.24% 5.59% 2.90% 2.60% 4.46% 4.57% Re-weighted: 2.8% 4.20% 7.59% 4.24% 2.26% 3.25% 3.34% Trimmed mean: 2.9% 4.53% 8.22% 4.21% 2.36% 3.59% 3.65% Percentile 63: 2.9% 4.23% 8.84% 4.80% 2.68% 3.31% 3.35%
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 10 / 31 BCRPData/NEINF202607C5 MONTHLY TREND INFLATION INDICATORS Monthly percentage variation CPI Re-weighted 1/ Mean Percentile CPI excluding trimmed 2/ 63 3/ food and energy 4/ Dec-21 0.78 0.60 0.63 0.68 0.66 Dec-22 0.79 0.62 0.67 0.77 0.54 Dec-23 0.41 0.24 0.22 0.25 0.36 Dec-24 0.11 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.40 Jan-25 -0.09 0.15 0.20 0.23 -0.15 Feb-25 0.19 0.21 0.25 0.33 0.19 Mar-25 0.81 0.42 0.34 0.25 0.64 Apr-25 0.32 0.18 0.14 0.20 0.14 May-25 -0.06 0.17 0.17 0.21 0.05 Jun-25 0.13 0.17 0.13 0.19 0.07 Jul-25 0.23 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.18 Aug-25 -0.29 0.05 0.15 0.16 0.08 Sep-25 0.01 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.06 Oct-25 -0.10 0.04 0.12 0.09 0.04 Nov-25 0.11 0.10 0.14 0.17 0.06 Dec-25 0.24 0.18 0.24 0.16 0.46 Jan-26 0.10 0.19 0.22 0.27 0.04 Feb-26 0.69 0.26 0.23 0.25 0.36 Mar-26 2.38 1.17 1.31 0.93 2.07 Apr-26 0.52 0.49 0.46 0.60 0.87 May-26 -0.16 0.33 0.25 0.21 0.09 Jun-26 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.17 0.08 Jul-26 0.29 ↑ 0.19 ↓ 0.16 ↓ 0.14 ↓ 0.28 ↑ 1/ Re-weighted: Reduces the weight of items with greater volatility, dividing the original weights of each item by the standard deviation of their variations percentage monthly. 2/ Trimmed mean: Weighted average of the percentage price variations located between percentiles 34 and 84. 3/ Percentile 63: Corresponds to the percentage variation of the item located at the 63rd percentile. 4/ CPI excluding food and energy: CPI excluding food, fuels and electricity.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 11 / 31 BCRPData/NEINF202607C6 ANNUAL TREND INFLATION INDICATORS Percentage variation 12 months CPI Re-weighted 1/ Mean Percentile CPI excluding trimmed 2/ 63 3/ food and energy 4/ Dec-21 6.43 4.20 4.53 4.23 3.24 Dec-22 8.46 7.59 8.22 8.84 5.59 Dec-23 3.24 4.24 4.21 4.80 2.90 Dec-24 1.97 2.26 2.36 2.68 2.60 Jan-25 1.85 2.25 2.40 2.68 2.44 Feb-25 1.48 2.11 2.29 2.68 2.11 Mar-25 1.28 2.00 2.10 2.43 1.87 Apr-25 1.65 2.01 2.00 2.32 1.90 May-25 1.69 2.00 1.99 2.29 1.79 Jun-25 1.69 2.03 2.01 2.37 1.69 Jul-25 1.69 1.99 2.00 2.38 1.68 Aug-25 1.11 1.88 2.03 2.34 1.75 Sep-25 1.36 1.88 2.00 2.31 1.81 Oct-25 1.35 1.86 2.02 2.24 1.77 Nov-25 1.37 1.84 2.05 2.33 1.77 Dec-25 1.51 1.86 2.12 2.27 1.83 Jan-26 1.70 1.90 2.13 2.32 2.02 Feb-26 2.21 1.96 2.12 2.24 2.20 Mar-26 3.80 2.72 3.10 2.93 3.65 Apr-26 4.01 3.04 3.43 3.34 4.41 May-26 3.91 3.21 3.51 3.34 4.44 Jun-26 4.01 3.25 3.59 3.31 4.46 Jul-26 4.07 ↑ 3.34 ↑ 3.65 ↑ 3.35 ↑ 4.57 ↑ 1/ Re-weighted: Reduces the weight of items with greater volatility, dividing the original weights of each item by the standard deviation of their variations percentage monthly. 2/ Trimmed mean: Weighted average of the percentage price variations located between percentiles 34 and 84. 3/ Percentile 63: Corresponds to the percentage variation of the item located at the 63rd percentile. 4/ CPI excluding food and energy: CPI excluding food, fuels and electricity.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 12 / 31 9. In July, tradable products registered an annual variation of 1.41 percent (1.70 percent in June) and non-tradables of 5.23 percent (5.02 percent in June). In the case of tradables it reflects the deceleration of prices of other fresh fruits, vehicle fuels and culinary herbs. In the case of non-tradables it reflects the acceleration of prices of chicken meat, eggs and whole chili pepper. BCRPData/NEINF202607G6 Dispersion indices 10. In July, the CPI dispersion index reached 38.3 percent, higher than that observed in June (35.6 percent). This index has been decreasing since February 2023, the month in which it reached 76 percent. Between January 2001 and July 2026, the value of the dispersion index, considering only the months in which inflation was around 2.0 percent, was 27 percent. 1.41 5.23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jul-23 Oct-23 Jan-24 Apr-24 Jul-24 Oct-24 Jan-25 Apr-25 Jul-25 Oct-25 Jan-26 Apr-26 Jul-26 TRADABLE AND NON-TRADABLE PRICES (Percentage variation last twelve months) Tradables Non-tradables Maximum Minimum Inflation target range Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Jun-26 Jul-26 Tradables Monthly 0.38 0.17 -0.52 -0.24 -0.31 -0.19 0.00 0.10 0.26 1.77 0.25 0.21 0.21 -0.12 12 months 1.18 1.18 0.63 0.68 0.70 0.48 0.38 0.22 0.18 1.61 1.70 1.88 1.70 1.41 Non-tradables Monthly 0.02 0.26 -0.19 0.12 -0.01 0.24 0.35 0.09 0.88 2.64 0.63 -0.32 0.24 0.46 12 months 1.92 1.91 1.32 1.66 1.64 1.76 2.00 2.35 3.11 4.76 5.02 4.79 5.02 5.23
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BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 14 / 31
Seasonally adjusted inflation indicators
[Chart: Seasonally adjusted and unadjusted inflation (monthly % variation)] X-axis: Jul-19 to Jul-26 Y-axis: -1.00 to 3.00 Legend: IPC (Consumer Price Index), IPC (s.a.) (Seasonally Adjusted)
[Table: Monthly variations] Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul IPC 0.13 0.23 -0.29 0.01 -0.10 0.11 0.24 0.10 0.69 2.38 0.52 -0.16 0.23 0.29 IPC (s.a) 0.20 0.10 -0.29 0.13 0.08 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.69 1.82 0.54 -0.04 0.30 0.15
2025 2026 1/ For deseasonalization, Tramo Seats was used considering outlier and calendar effects. Seasonality factors are calculated considering the sample from Jan. 2002 - Dec. 2025.
[Chart: SAE inflation with and without seasonal adjustment (monthly % variation)] X-axis: Jul-19 to Jul-26 Y-axis: -0.50 to 3.00 Legend: SAE (Core Inflation), SAE (s.a.)
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 15 / 31
[Table: Monthly variations] Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul SAE 0.07 0.18 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.06 0.46 0.04 0.36 2.07 0.87 0.09 0.08 0.28 SAE (s.a) 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.18 0.10 0.18 0.25 0.30 0.34 1.53 0.92 0.14 0.15 0.24
2025 2026 1/ For deseasonalization, Tramo Seats was used considering outlier and calendar effects. Seasonality factors are calculated considering the sample from Jan. 2002 - Dec. 2025.
[Chart: Three-month annualized moving average of seasonally adjusted total inflation] X-axis: Jul-19 to Jul-26 Y-axis: -1.00 to 13.00
[Table: Monthly variations] Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Total IPC 2.20 1.32 0.41 -0.20 0.38 1.17 2.16 3.02 6.06 9.48 11.26 8.48 4.78
2025 2026 1/ For deseasonalization, Tramo Seats was used considering outlier and calendar effects. Seasonality factors are calculated considering the sample from Jan. 2002 - Dec. 2025.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 16 / 31
[Chart: Three-month annualized moving average of seasonally adjusted SAE inflation] X-axis: Jul-19 to Jul-26 Y-axis: 0.00 to 10.00
[Table: Monthly variations] Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul SAE 1.61 1.63 1.68 1.76 1.82 1.91 2.32 2.92 5.20 8.12 10.55 9.13 5.88
2025 2026 1/ For deseasonalization, Tramo Seats was used considering outlier and calendar effects. Seasonality factors are calculated considering the sample from Jan. 2002 - Dec. 2025.
[Chart: Three-month annualized moving average of seasonally adjusted SAE inflation excluding transport] X-axis: Jul-19 to Jul-26 Y-axis: 0.00 to 6.00
[Table: Monthly variations] Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul SAE excluding transport 1.80 1.52 1.34 1.16 1.04 0.99 1.27 1.94 2.17 2.13 1.54 1.68 1.85
2025 2026 1/ For deseasonalization, Tramo Seats was used considering outlier and calendar effects. Seasonality factors are calculated considering the sample from Jan. 2002 - Dec. 2025.
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[Chart: Three-month annualized moving average of seasonally adjusted SAE Services inflation] X-axis: Jul-19 to Jul-26 Y-axis: 0.00 to 15.00
[Table: Monthly variations] Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul SAE Services 2.12 2.52 2.65 2.67 2.58 2.58 2.97 3.64 6.86 11.18 14.85 12.75 8.07
2025 2026 1/ For deseasonalization, Tramo Seats was used considering outlier and calendar effects. Seasonality factors are calculated considering the sample from Jan. 2002 - Dec. 2025.
Inflation by cities
[Chart: Dispersion of city inflations - Standard Deviation] X-axis: 2017-Jul to 2026-Jul Y-axis: 0.0 to 2.0 Data points: Apr-20; 1.03, Ene-23; 1.26, Mar-23; 1.64, Jul-26; 0.21
[Bar Chart: July 2026 Inflation by Cities (Monthly % Variation)] Values: Puno 0.01, Tarapoto 0.01, Cajamarca 0.02, Abancay 0.04, Iquitos 0.08, Moyobamba 0.10, Pucallpa 0.10, Piura 0.13, Moquegua 0.14, Arequipa 0.16, Chachapoyas 0.20, Tumbes 0.25, Lima 0.29, IPC Nacional 0.30, Cerro de Pasco 0.34, Chiclayo 0.34, Puerto Maldonado 0.37, Trujillo 0.41, Huaraz 0.43, Cusco 0.44, Huancayo 0.49, Huánuco 0.52, Ayacucho 0.53, Huancavelica 0.53, Tacna 0.54, Ica 0.64, Chimbote 0.72
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In Chimbote, the result was explained by the rise in prices of meats and sausages due to increased production costs, associated with the higher cost of imported inputs such as yellow corn and soy, used in the preparation of balanced feeds. Also, the payment of bonuses, the long holiday, and increased tourist traffic boosted meat demand. The increase in fruit prices was associated with seasonal factors and lower availability of agricultural products. Fish and seafood prices increased due to oceanographic factors, such as variations in temperature and marine currents on the coast, which reduced the availability and landings of high-demand species.
In Ica, the month's result was explained by the rise in the price of chicken (3.5 percent), due to lower intake of live chickens at slaughter and distribution centers due to the effects of avian flu, as well as the increase in the price of beef (1.2 percent), due to the suspension of the municipal slaughterhouse in Ica, which forced the transfer of livestock for slaughter to slaughterhouses in other cities, such as Chincha, with the consequent higher freight cost. Accommodation services increased by 6.0 percent due to the greater flow of tourists during the National Holidays.
In Tacna, the result was explained by higher prices of meats (3.2 percent), particularly chicken and pork; fruits (5.2 percent), highlighting lemons and papaya due to lower supply from producer zones in the north and east of the country, as well as grapes and granadilla due to seasonal supply factors in other regions; and fish and seafood (3.23 percent), due to their lower availability in the region's ports and coves.
[Table: Monthly percentage variations: Cities with highest rates vs Cities with lowest rates - July 2026]
Highest Rates: Ica: Fish and seafood 8.6, Fruits 7.3, Accommodation services 6.0, Telephone and facsimile equipment 2.7, Meat 2.3 Tacna: Fruits 5.1, Air passenger transport 4.6, Fish and seafood 3.2, Meat 3.2, Other food products 1.2 Puno: Fruits 8.0, Fish and seafood 6.5, Air passenger transport 3.6, Other food products 2.6, Coffee, tea and cocoa 1.6 Cajamarca: Vegetables, legumes and tubers -2.9, Fuels and lubricants -2.5, Unspecified personal effects -2.0, Oils and fats -1.7, Mineral waters, soft drinks and fruit juices -0.9
Lowest Rates: Ayacucho: Fruits 8.0, Fish and seafood 6.5, Air passenger transport 3.6, Other food products 2.6, Coffee, tea and cocoa 1.6 Huánuco: Water supply 8.8, Fish and seafood 8.2, Air passenger transport 5.3, Meat 3.9, Paramedical services 2.1 Abancay: Fuels and lubricants -3.1, Fish and seafood -2.0, Air passenger transport -1.6, Meat -0.9, Bread and cereals -0.9 Iquitos: Fruits -2.6, Fuels and lubricants -1.8, Telephone and facsimile equipment -1.6, Gas -0.9, Household appliances -1.6
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Other price indices
Among national products that registered positive price variations, fuels stand out such as diesel fuel (6.3 percent), liquefied petroleum gas (1.2 percent), and gasohol (0.4 percent).
Price increases were recorded in imported products such as diesel fuel (6.7 percent), polypropylene resins (4.0 percent), and soybean meal (1.9 percent).
[Bar Chart: July 2026 Inflation by Cities (Annual % Variation)] Values: Tumbes 3.9, Iquitos 4.0, Tarapoto 4.0, Moyobamba 4.1, Chimbote 4.1, Chiclayo 4.3, Pucallpa 4.6, Huaraz 4.7, Chachapoyas 4.8, Huánuco 5.2, Trujillo 5.3, Ayacucho 5.4, Piura 5.8, Tacna 6.1, Cajamarca 6.8, Puno 7.7, Ica 8.0, Huancavelica 8.0, Cusco 8.0, IPC Nacional 8.0, Abancay 8.0, Cerro de Pasco 8.0, Huancayo 8.0, Lima 8.0, Moquegua 8.0, Arequipa 8.0, Puerto Maldonado 8.0
[Table: Annual percentage variations: Cities with highest rates vs Cities with lowest rates - July 2026]
Highest Rates: Puerto Maldonado: Fuels and lubricants 43.7, Road passenger transport 35.2, Fruits 25.6, Unspecified personal effects 20.6, Air passenger transport 18.6 Arequipa: Fuels and lubricants 21.9, Air passenger transport 21.3, Road passenger transport 18.6, Cultural services 17.0, Domestic and household services 15.5 Tumbes: Fruits -18.0, Telephone and facsimile equipment -11.6, Telephone and facsimile equipment -15.9, Household appliances -10.8, Tools and household equipment -9.0 Iquitos: Telephone and facsimile equipment -11.6, Receiving and recording equipment -9.9, Household appliances -6.4, Fish and seafood -6.5, Household appliances -6.4
Lowest Rates: Moquegua: Fuels and lubricants 25.0, Road passenger transport 16.8, Water supply 12.9, Meat 9.0, Therapeutic appliances and equipment 8.2 Huancayo: Fuels and lubricants 19.6, Fish and seafood 18.8, Water supply 16.5, Fruits 14.2, Road passenger transport 11.8 Moyobamba: Other food products -5.3, Receiving and recording equipment -8.6, Electricity -4.9, Products for pets -3.7, Bread and cereals -3.0 Chiclayo: Receiving and recording equipment -8.6, Electricity -5.3, Products for pets -3.7, Household appliances -5.1, Bread and cereals -4.7
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 20 / 31
Source: INEI BCRPData/NEINF202607G12
Among national origin goods that registered the largest price reductions are transportation machinery and equipment such as bodies (-0.8 percent) and vehicle docks (-0.1 percent). Negative variations were also recorded in fishing net prices (-0.8 percent).
Among imported origin goods that reduced their prices stand out agricultural machinery and equipment such as tractors (-0.9 percent) and lampas (-0.5 percent).
Of the 10 groups that make up the index, the ones that contributed most to the negative result are glass (-2.7 percent), electrical supplies (-1.9 percent), and metal products (-1.2 percent). The glass group presents the largest negative variation, among the main products is tempered glass (-6.1 percent). Additionally, in the electrical supplies group, the price of energy cables decreased (-4.5 percent).
[Chart: Wholesale Price Indices (December 2013 = 100)] X-axis: Jul-98 to Jul-26 Y-axis: 0 to 160 Data points: Oct-09; 88.8, May-21; 115.9, Ene-24; 131.9, Jul-26; 131.2
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 21 / 31
[Table: Price Indices] Month | 12 months | Month | 12 months | Month | 12 months | Month | 12 months | Month | 12 months | WPI | WPI National | WPI Imported | Machinery & Equipment | Construction Materials | Dec-20 | 0.65 | 1.56 | 0.66 | 1.04 | 0.63 | 3.27 | -0.31 | 4.79 | 1.45 | 4.99 Dec-21 | 0.36 | 13.58 | 0.20 | 12.82 | 0.87 | 16.01 | 1.05 | 12.64 | 1.07 | 15.40 Dec-22 | -1.11 | 7.03 | -0.82 | 9.28 | -2.05 | 0.03 | -1.10 | 0.34 | -0.16 | 4.77 Mar-23 | -0.51 | 5.68 | -0.21 | 7.49 | -1.56 | -0.18 | -1.18 | 4.98 | -0.30 | 2.93 Jun-23 | -0.75 | 0.51 | -0.59 | 2.42 | -1.29 | -5.78 | -0.72 | 1.18 | -0.54 | -0.42 Sep-23 | 0.13 | -0.22 | -0.05 | 1.61 | 0.80 | -6.28 | 0.81 | -1.73 | -0.12 | -0.81 Dec-23 | -0.72 | -1.04 | -0.58 | 0.05 | -1.22 | -4.75 | -0.77 | 0.17 | -0.71 | -1.39 Mar-24 | -0.41 | -2.52 | -0.07 | -1.95 | -1.62 | -4.52 | -1.69 | 0.98 | -0.42 | -2.17 Jun-24 | -0.01 | -1.23 | -0.10 | -1.31 | 0.32 | -0.94 | 1.01 | 4.34 | 0.03 | -1.03 Sep-24 | -0.39 | -2.38 | -0.45 | -2.47 | -0.18 | -2.08 | 1.00 | 3.60 | -0.08 | -0.42 Dec-24 | -0.29 | -1.38 | -0.22 | -1.39 | -0.52 | -1.33 | -0.70 | 1.88 | -0.28 | 0.21 Mar-25 | -0.15 | -0.97 | 0.12 | -0.72 | -1.15 | -1.88 | -0.94 | -0.03 | -0.17 | -1.07 Jun-25 | -0.34 | -1.17 | -0.26 | -0.65 | -0.65 | -3.03 | -0.58 | -1.53 | -0.25 | -0.61 Sep-25 | -0.35 | -2.92 | -0.18 | -2.22 | -0.99 | -5.43 | -0.64 | -3.86 | -0.35 | -1.22 Dec-25 | -0.07 | -3.83 | -0.01 | -2.46 | -0.27 | -8.69 | -0.33 | -7.18 | -0.20 | -1.77 Ene-26 | 0.07 | -3.86 | 0.16 | -2.36 | -0.28 | -9.18 | -0.16 | -7.48 | -0.03 | -1.89 Feb-26 | 0.38 | -3.14 | 0.42 | -1.71 | 0.25 | -8.28 | 0.17 | -6.56 | -0.02 | -1.61 Mar-26 | 3.11 | 0.02 | 2.98 | 1.09 | 3.61 | -3.86 | 1.54 | -4.23 | 0.88 | -0.57 Abr-26 | 1.42 | 1.24 | 1.35 | 2.27 | 1.67 | -2.46 | 0.36 | -4.58 | 1.13 | 0.42 May-26 | -0.44 | 1.20 | -0.69 | 1.92 | 0.51 | -1.41 | 0.50 | -3.61 | 0.91 | 1.19 Jun-26 | -0.96 | 0.58 | -1.02 | 1.15 | -0.72 | -1.48 | -0.70 | -3.72 | 0.34 | 1.78 Jul-26 | 0.55 | 1.88 | 0.57 | 2.38 | 0.45 | 0.07 | -0.15 | -3.01 | -0.16 | 1.70
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 22 / 31
Inflation in regional countries1
In June 2026, annual inflation increased in most of the main countries in the region, with the exception of Brazil and Mexico, with only the latter country having inflation within the target range.
Underlying inflation had a mixed variation in the countries of the region: it increased in Chile and Peru, decreased in Brazil and Mexico, and remained stable in Colombia. Underlying inflation was within the target range in Chile and Mexico (at the upper limit).
[Chart: Inflation in Latin America (Variation last 12 months)] X-axis: Dec-22 to Jun-26 (for each country) Y-axis: 0.0 to 16.0 Countries: Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru Data points (Jun-26): Brazil Total 4.6, Suby. 4.6; Chile Total 4.3, Suby. 3.1; Colombia Total 6.1, Suby. 6.0; Mexico Total 3.4, Suby. 4.0; Peru Total 4.0, Suby. 4.5
1 Prepared by the World Economy Department.
[Table: Inflation Rates]
| May-26 | Jun-26 | Max | May-26 | Jun-26 | Max | May-26 | Jun-26 | Max | May-26 | Jun-26 | Max | May-26 | Jun-26 | Max | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 4.7 | 4.6 | 12.1 (apr-22) | 3.9 | 4.3 | 14.1 (ago-22) | 5.8 | 6.1 | 13.3 (mar-23) | 3.9 | 3.4 | 8.7 (set-22) | 3.9 | 4.0 | 8.8 (jun-22) |
| Suby. | 4.8 | 4.6 | 9.7 (jun-22) | 2.9 | 3.1 | 10.9 (ago-22) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 10.5 (mar-23) | 4.2 | 4.0 | 8.5 (nov-22) | 4.4 | 4.5 | 5.9 (mar-23) |
Source: Central banks and national statistics institutes. BCRPData/NEINF202607G13
Chile had the largest increase in the annual variation of food prices, mainly in beef, bread and bakery products, vegetables and legumes, and potatoes. For the case of Colombia, which continues to register the highest variation, prices remain high for beef, fresh fruits, onions, and potatoes, which compensated for the moderation observed in banana and coffee prices.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 23 / 31
[Chart: Food Prices* in Latin America (Variation last 12 months)] X-axis: Jun-21 to Jun-26 Y-axis: 0.0 to 30.0 Countries: Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru
In the case of Chile, the growth in energy prices moderated, mainly vehicle fuel, which compensated for the increase in gas prices.
On the contrary, in Colombia, the increase in vehicle fuel prices remained unchanged, but higher gas prices and electricity tariffs were evident.
[Chart: Energy Prices in Latin America (Variation last 12 months)] X-axis: Jun-21 to Jun-26 Y-axis: -20.0 to 40.0 Countries: Brazil*, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru
For 2027, expected inflation increased in Brazil, Colombia, and Peru. Despite this, the expected result would be lower than that of 2026 in all countries, so that inflation would be within the target range of the main economies, with the exception of Colombia.
[Chart: Expected Inflation] X-axis: Jun-21 to Jun-26 Y-axis: -20.0 to 40.0 Countries: Brazil*, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 24 / 31
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 26 / 31 Source: Central banks and national statistical institutes BCRPData/NEINF202607G16 Real Exchange Rate
BCRPData/NEINF202607G17
5.0 4.0 6.6 4.0 3.9 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Jun-26 Jul-26
Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Target Range: 1.5-4.5 2.0-4.0 1.0-3.0 2026 5.0 4.0 6.6 4.0 3.9 2027 4.2 3.0 5.0 3.8 2.5 Jul-26; 96.71 Jul-26; 86.50 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0 105.0 110.0 115.0 120.0 125.0 Jul-96 Jul-97 Jul-98 Jul-99 Jul-00 Jul-01 Jul-02 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16 Jul-17 Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20 Jul-21 Jul-22 Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25 Jul-26 Multilateral exchange rate (Indices 2009=100) Multilateral Nominal Exchange Rate Index Multilateral Real Exchange Rate Index July-2026 Month 12 Months Var. % of TCRM -0.35 -4.44 Var. % of Sol/Basket -0.20 -2.76 Var. % of Nominal TC USD/ -0.13 -4.39 Internal Inflation 0.29 4.07 External Inflation 0.13 2.27 Inflation Expectations 2026 (Variation last 12 months)
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 27 / 31
BCRPData/NEINF202607G18
-7.0 -5.0 -3.0 -1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 Mar-22 May-22 Jul-22 Sep-22 Nov-22 Jan-23 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23 Sep-23 Nov-23 Jan-24 Mar-24 May-24 Jul-24 Sep-24 Nov-24 Jan-25 Mar-25 May-25 Jul-25 Sep-25 Nov-25 Jan-26 Mar-26 May-26 Jul-26 Multilateral Nominal Exchange Rate (contributions of monthly var.%) China USA Other developed 1/ Other emerging Asian 2/ Latam 3/ Eurozone 4/ TCNM July-2026 Var.% monthly Var.% 12 months China -0.18 1.18 United States -0.13 -4.39 Other developed 1/ -0.77 -8.67 Other emerging Asian 2/ -0.07 -13.10 Latam 3/ 0.59 3.48 Eurozone 4/ -0.84 -6.42 Sol/Basket TC 1/ Switzerland, United Kingdom, Japan and Canada. 2/ Taiwan, India and South Korea. 3/ Mexico, Ecuador, Colombia, Brazil and Chile. 4/ Italy, Germany, France, Netherlands, Spain and Belgium.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 28 / 31
BCRPData/NEINF202607C8
TC um/dollar TC sol/um um/dollar TC sol/um a. Developed countries United States - -0.13 - -4.39 Japan 0.73 -0.86 10.32 -13.33 Canada 0.57 -0.70 3.07 -7.24 Switzerland 1.12 -1.24 1.37 -5.68 Eurozone 0.71 -0.84 2.17 -6.42 United Kingdom -0.54 0.41 0.77 -5.13 b. Asia China 0.04 -0.18 -5.50 1.18 South Korea -2.41 2.33 8.55 -11.93 India 0.89 -1.02 11.24 -14.05 Vietnam -0.13 -0.01 4.52 -8.53 c. Latin America Brazil -0.22 0.08 -7.48 3.34 Chile 2.71 -2.77 -2.36 -2.08 Ecuador - -0.13 - -4.39 Mexico 0.43 -0.56 -6.61 2.38 Colombia -6.65 6.98 -19.42 18.64 1/ Source: Reuters and SBS. Nominal Exchange Rate Var.% Monthly Var.% 12 months July-2026
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 29 / 31
BCRPData/NEINF202607G19
The evolution of bilateral real exchange rates in July reflected the results of the evolution of nominal exchange rates. In terms of contributions to the reduction of the TCRM, the decrease in the bilateral real exchange rate - TCRB - with the Eurozone and China stands out.
The bilateral real exchange rate - TCRB - with the United States decreased by 0.47 percent in the month, mainly due to nominal appreciation (-0.13 percent). Year-on-year, the TCRB decreased by 5.08 percent in July, remaining below its long-term average. This year-on-year reduction in the TCRB is mainly due to the strengthening of the sol against the dollar, which recorded an appreciation of 4.39 percent.
-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 Mar-22 May-22 Jul-22 Sep-22 Nov-22 Jan-23 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23 Sep-23 Nov-23 Jan-24 Mar-24 May-24 Jul-24 Sep-24 Nov-24 Jan-25 Mar-25 May-25 Jul-25 Sep-25 Nov-25 Jan-26 Mar-26 May-26 Jul-26 Multilateral Real Exchange Rate and Components (12-month percentage variation) 12-month % variation of TCNM Annual inflation differential 1/ 12-month % variation of TCRM 1/ External annual inflation minus internal annual inflation.
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 30 / 31
BCRPData/NEINF202607C9
Jul-26/ Jul-26/ Jul-26/ Jul-26/ Jul-26/ Jul-26/ Jun-26 Jul-25 Jun-26 Jul-25 Jun-26 Jul-25 a. Developed countries 37.54 -0.72 -7.48 -0.52 -6.24 0.08 2.69 United States 16.04 -0.47 -5.08 -0.13 -4.39 -0.05 3.31 Japan 3.38 -0.93 -15.29 -0.86 -13.33 0.22 1.71 Canada 4.79 -0.66 -8.35 -0.70 -7.24 0.33 2.82 Switzerland 2.17 -1.52 -8.99 -1.24 -5.68 0.00 0.42 Germany 2.13 -0.79 -8.04 -0.84 -6.42 0.34 2.27 Spain 2.87 -1.10 -7.07 -0.84 -6.42 0.03 3.35 Italy 1.59 -1.06 -7.65 -0.84 -6.42 0.06 2.70 Netherlands 2.28 -0.96 -8.77 -0.84 -6.42 0.17 1.45 Belgium 0.71 -1.08 -7.43 -0.84 -6.42 0.04 2.94 France 0.71 -0.93 -8.55 -0.84 -6.42 0.20 1.70 United Kingdom 0.88 0.29 -6.27 0.41 -5.13 0.17 2.80 b. Asia 49.40 -0.26 -4.07 -0.16 -1.66 0.18 1.52 China 40.15 -0.21 -1.75 -0.18 1.18 0.25 1.06 South Korea 2.43 2.26 -12.61 2.33 -11.93 0.22 3.26 India 6.13 -1.54 -14.48 -1.02 -14.05 -0.24 3.54 Vietnam 0.69 -0.27 -8.07 -0.01 -8.53 0.02 4.60 c. Latin America 13.06 0.40 3.34 0.59 3.48 0.10 3.93 Brazil 3.85 -0.08 3.77 0.08 3.34 0.12 4.50 Chile 2.75 -2.98 -2.51 -2.77 -2.08 0.07 3.61 Ecuador 1.96 -0.15 -6.51 -0.13 -4.39 0.27 1.76 Mexico 2.06 -0.82 1.45 -0.56 2.38 0.03 3.12 Colombia 2.44 6.68 20.69 6.98 18.64 0.01 5.86 AGGREGATE 100.00 -0.35 -4.44 -0.20 -2.76 0.13 2.27 3/ Projected inflation data for most countries. 1/ Weights of international trade with main trading partners in 2025. 2/ Corresponds to the average exchange rate of the month. Sol/UM TC (2009=100) 2/ IPE (2009=100) 3/ Multilateral Exchange Rate (Percentage variations) Wt. 20251/ RER (2009=100) 1/
BCRP STUDY NOTES No. 55 - August 14, 2026 31 / 31
BCRPData/NEINF202607G20
You can find the tables and graphs of this report in BCRPData/NEINF202607.
Jul-26; 101.12 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0 105.0 110.0 115.0 120.0 125.0 Jul-96 Jul-97 Jul-98 Jul-99 Jul-00 Jul-01 Jul-02 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16 Jul-17 Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20 Jul-21 Jul-22 Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25 Jul-26 Bilateral Real Exchange Rate-USA (Index 2009=100) July-2026 Month 12 Months Var. % of TCRB -0.5 -5.1 Var. % of Nominal TC USD/ -0.1 -4.4 Internal Inflation 0.3 4.1 US Inflation -0.1 3.3 1/ SBS Average E.X.
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