Regulatory Alerts2026-08-27
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Economic Commentary: Are fiscal and monetary policy pulling in the same direction?
The analysis examines Swedish fiscal and monetary policy stance from 2006 to 2025 using ex-ante measures based on forecasts for the coming year. Monetary policy was expansionary when inflation forecasts were below target and contractionary when above, whereas fiscal policy was generally countercyclical. Both policies predominantly pulled in the same direction during this period, which likely mitigated economic fluctuations, although potential goal conflicts may arise if negative supply shocks become more common.
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