2026-01-23

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National Bank of Kazakhstan Maintains Base Rate at 18.0%

The Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank of Kazakhstan has decided to maintain its base rate at 18.0% with a one-percentage-point corridor, projecting the rate will remain unchanged through the first half of 2026. This decision reflects 2025 inflation of 12.3% driven by food prices and administrative tariffs, alongside sustained domestic demand outpacing supply capacity and elevated inflation expectations. The central bank will closely monitor pro-inflationary risks from upcoming tax reforms, utility tariff adjustments, and quasi-fiscal stimulus while continuing to support disinflation through moderately tight monetary conditions and tenge appreciation.

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